11-26-2019, 05:11 PM
(11-24-2019, 10:08 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: Well, if that's true, then once again I have no idea what you're
talking about, except that every once in a while you enjoy emitting
some inane, incoherent criticism of me.
Just trying to get you to further improve your forecasts with more realistic views of what's going on. This, for instance:
Quote:In one sense it's only a symbolic victory. The district councils only
control such things as parks and taxicabs. They are not as powerful
as the city's Legislative Council, which controls the citywide
government.
Which is why, as you point out, the Chinese government will try to stay out of things unless the unrest threatens to spill over into the mainland, or, I would add, unless Carrie Lam's goverment starts entertaining thoughts of independence.
Quote:However, any sort of internal rebellion on the mainland would change
the CCP calculation, and lead to diversionary invasions of Japan and
Taiwan.
What would this be diverting from? If there were actually an internal rebellion, the rebels wouldn't be diverted because of an external war, and the government wouldn't want to divert loyalists from staying loyal. An external war with Japan or Taiwan would be far more likely to start because Japan or Taiwan intervened to extract their nationals or protect their interests.
