12-15-2019, 12:45 PM
The Israel-Hezbollah war wasn't triggered by a chaotic event, though. Abduction of two Israeli soldiers could certainly trigger a war, but there isn't any credible circumstance where abduction of the two Israeli soldiers would prevent the war, when it would otherwise be triggered by lack of an abduction.
To take an historical example, the policy of Appeasement by Chamberlain before WWII most certainly delayed the Europe wide portion of WWII. Some argue that the delay was critical to rearmament efforts.
Actions to delay or accelerate a crisis war are just as possible as efforts to prepare for them. However, insofar as crisis wars are not entirely predictable, these efforts may be ineffective. For example, if the crisis war involving China ends up being a civil war, any preparations for war with the US will be largely useless.
To take an historical example, the policy of Appeasement by Chamberlain before WWII most certainly delayed the Europe wide portion of WWII. Some argue that the delay was critical to rearmament efforts.
Actions to delay or accelerate a crisis war are just as possible as efforts to prepare for them. However, insofar as crisis wars are not entirely predictable, these efforts may be ineffective. For example, if the crisis war involving China ends up being a civil war, any preparations for war with the US will be largely useless.
