12-16-2019, 09:59 PM
(12-15-2019, 06:23 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: Did the 1929 panic have to occur at all? I believe so. Did the 2006
Israeli panic have to occur at all? I think so, but I can't prove it.
Some things are just "in the air," and are going to happen one way or
another.
Sure. The exact timing is random. That doesn't mean you can't do things that can speed it up or slow it down, like kidnap Israeli soldiers or sell off large blocks of stock. It's just that it's probabilistic, rather than deterministic, so you can't be sure that what you do will work; it probably won't, so it's hard to plan for.
Quote:The invasion of Poland was not the start of WW II. At that time, WW
II had already been going on for several years. I count the beginning
of WW II as 1937, when a Japanese soldier had to pee and got lost in
the woods, and his commander assumed that he had been abducted by the
Chinese, triggering the China-Japan war and quickly leading to the
rape of Nanking. That's a good example of a chaotic event triggering
a war.
Sure. That's why I said, "the Europe wide portion" of WWII.