02-04-2020, 12:51 PM
(02-04-2020, 11:36 AM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: The death rate for people who contract the virus is being estimated at
around 2.1%. However, another 15-20% become very ill and survive only
because because they've received intensive medical care in a hospital.
On the flip side, those are percentages of the people who get sick enough that they go to the hospital for it and have the virus confirmed. We have little data on how many people get the disease but never go to the hospital and are never confirmed as cases.
By the end of March we should have better information on that. Ironically, if the average case is mild, we should expect continued exponential growth in numbers infected and dying for a few weeks, since there will be a lot of infection outside of the hospitals. If most cases get hospitalized, we should expect slow growth of the numbers infected, since there will be a lot fewer "carriers" "in the wild", so to speak.
