02-04-2020, 11:44 PM
(02-04-2020, 02:15 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote:
Very interesting graph, John. The doubling time is under 2 days until January 29, at which point the graph starts dropping away from exponential growth.
You may be interested in this:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/japan-says-...listb_pos1
A man from Hong Kong had the coronavirus and was aboard a cruise ship with 3700 people. 273 people on the ship who had fevers or close contact with the infected man were tested. 31 tests have come back so far, and 10 of them are positive. With the ship being quarantined now, I'm not sure whether I should expect 100 our of the 273 people eventually to test positive, or 1000 out of the 3700, or maybe all 3700.