02-18-2020, 11:49 PM
** 18-Feb-2020 World View: Turkey faces imminent crisis in Idlib, Syria
The Syrian regime, backed by Russian warplanes, is moving rapidly
through Idlib province. Syrian and Russian airplanes are particularly
targeting hospitals and markets.
This is leading to the usual cries of "This is not acceptable!" from
the usual United Nations officials.
Hundreds of thousands of additional Syrians, mostly women and children,
have been forced to leave their homes, and now there are over
900,000 of these Arab Sunnis packed along the border with Turkey.
The weather is bitterly cold, and many of them are forced to sleep
outdoors with little or no protection.
Syria's sociopathic war criminal president Bashar al-Assad gave a
televised speech on Monday reaffirming his intention to take control
of Idlib as quickly as possible. With Turkey's border closed to
Syria, this puts the lives 900,000+ Sunni Arabs at imminent risk.
I've written many times in the last year or two that there is a
massive disaster unfolding in Idlib. Bashar al-Assad will threaten
the massive slaughter of a million innocent men, women and children,
current huddled along Turkey's border. If Turkey opens its border,
then they'll flood into Turkey as refugees, and from there into
Europe.
Turkey's other option is to send its army to fight al-Assad's Syrian
Arab army. That army has become so weak that Turkey would have no
problm defeating it, but then Turkey would be at war with Iran and
Russia.
According to one analyst I heard, Russia has been preparing for this
day since 2015. After Turkey shot down a Russian plane in 2015,
Russia imposed sanctions on Turkey that eventually forced Turkey to
back down. Russia has also provided Turkey with a nuclear power plant
and a pipeline, and an S-400 anti-aircraft missile system.
According to the analyst, Russia has been preparing to use these
developments as leverage, to leave Turkey with no choice but to do as
Russia says. Under these circumstances, Turkey may be forced to open
its border, and allow the refugees to flow into Turkey and Europe.
Things are moving quickly now, and these choices may have to be made
within the next week or two.
---- Sources:
-- Analysis Turkey and Russia Clash Over Syria, and Idlib's Residents
Are Paying the Price
https://www.haaretz.com/middle-east-news...-1.8552759
(Haaretz, 18-Feb-2020)
-- As Assad advances in Idlib – Turkey finds itself in a tough spot
between Trump and Putin
https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/syr...42616.html
(Independent, London, 18-Feb-2020)
---- Related articles:
** 16-Feb-20 World View -- US and Taliban to sign laughable 'reduction in violence' agreement in Afghanistan
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e200216
** 11-Feb-20 World View -- Syria war escalates into new phase with military clashes between al-Assad and Turkey
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e200211
** 9-Feb-20 World View -- Turkey sends tanks across border into Syria to confront al-Assad regime in Idlib
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e200209
** 1-Dec-18 World View -- Evidence grows of Assad's 'final solution', extermination of Arab Sunnis in Syria
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e181201
The Syrian regime, backed by Russian warplanes, is moving rapidly
through Idlib province. Syrian and Russian airplanes are particularly
targeting hospitals and markets.
This is leading to the usual cries of "This is not acceptable!" from
the usual United Nations officials.
Hundreds of thousands of additional Syrians, mostly women and children,
have been forced to leave their homes, and now there are over
900,000 of these Arab Sunnis packed along the border with Turkey.
The weather is bitterly cold, and many of them are forced to sleep
outdoors with little or no protection.
Syria's sociopathic war criminal president Bashar al-Assad gave a
televised speech on Monday reaffirming his intention to take control
of Idlib as quickly as possible. With Turkey's border closed to
Syria, this puts the lives 900,000+ Sunni Arabs at imminent risk.
I've written many times in the last year or two that there is a
massive disaster unfolding in Idlib. Bashar al-Assad will threaten
the massive slaughter of a million innocent men, women and children,
current huddled along Turkey's border. If Turkey opens its border,
then they'll flood into Turkey as refugees, and from there into
Europe.
Turkey's other option is to send its army to fight al-Assad's Syrian
Arab army. That army has become so weak that Turkey would have no
problm defeating it, but then Turkey would be at war with Iran and
Russia.
According to one analyst I heard, Russia has been preparing for this
day since 2015. After Turkey shot down a Russian plane in 2015,
Russia imposed sanctions on Turkey that eventually forced Turkey to
back down. Russia has also provided Turkey with a nuclear power plant
and a pipeline, and an S-400 anti-aircraft missile system.
According to the analyst, Russia has been preparing to use these
developments as leverage, to leave Turkey with no choice but to do as
Russia says. Under these circumstances, Turkey may be forced to open
its border, and allow the refugees to flow into Turkey and Europe.
Things are moving quickly now, and these choices may have to be made
within the next week or two.
---- Sources:
-- Analysis Turkey and Russia Clash Over Syria, and Idlib's Residents
Are Paying the Price
https://www.haaretz.com/middle-east-news...-1.8552759
(Haaretz, 18-Feb-2020)
-- As Assad advances in Idlib – Turkey finds itself in a tough spot
between Trump and Putin
https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/syr...42616.html
(Independent, London, 18-Feb-2020)
---- Related articles:
** 16-Feb-20 World View -- US and Taliban to sign laughable 'reduction in violence' agreement in Afghanistan
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e200216
** 11-Feb-20 World View -- Syria war escalates into new phase with military clashes between al-Assad and Turkey
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e200211
** 9-Feb-20 World View -- Turkey sends tanks across border into Syria to confront al-Assad regime in Idlib
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e200209
** 1-Dec-18 World View -- Evidence grows of Assad's 'final solution', extermination of Arab Sunnis in Syria
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e181201
