03-31-2020, 08:35 PM
** 31-Mar-2020 World View: Civil war in China
I assume that, as usual, your intent is to mock me, since I've written
on this subject hundreds of times in the last 15 years.
In the unlikely event that you know enough to pick out China on a map,
and you're actually interested in this subject, my suggestion is that
you buy my book:
John Xenakis is author of: "World View: War Between China and Japan:
Why America Must Be Prepared" (Generational Theory Book Series, Book
2), June 2019
Paperback: 331 pages, over 200 source references, $13.99
https://www.amazon.com/World-View-Betwee...732738637/
The direct answer to your question is as follows: China has had
numerous mass anti-government rebellions (civil wars) at regular
intervals throughout its millennia of history.
The last two of these massive rebellions were the the Taiping
Rebellion (1850-64) and Mao's Communist Revolution (1934-49) -- and
both of these rebellions began in Guangzho province and spread north.
China is overdue for a new massive civil war, and any sort of economic
setback could be the trigger. The CCP leadership are very well aware
of this history, and are extremely paranoid about it.
In terms of timing, the 58-Year Rule applies. A new generational
crisis civil war begins at the earliest 58 years after the genocidal
climax of the preceding crisis war. The probability of a war in year
58 is low, say around 20%. But each year after that, probability goes
up a little that a new war will begin in that year. So it might be
21% in year 59, 22% in year 60, and so forth. It's extremely rare for
a delay past year 80. (The specific values of the percentages would
require a bunch more research.)
So for China, year 58 is 2007. This year, 2020, is year 71. So the
probability for this year is getting pretty high.
So I hope that gives you all the information that you wanted.
zzazz Wrote:> Is it official? Does GD predict civil war in China? Is there a
> time frame on that or is it anytime in the next 1000
> years?
I assume that, as usual, your intent is to mock me, since I've written
on this subject hundreds of times in the last 15 years.
In the unlikely event that you know enough to pick out China on a map,
and you're actually interested in this subject, my suggestion is that
you buy my book:
John Xenakis is author of: "World View: War Between China and Japan:
Why America Must Be Prepared" (Generational Theory Book Series, Book
2), June 2019
Paperback: 331 pages, over 200 source references, $13.99
https://www.amazon.com/World-View-Betwee...732738637/
The direct answer to your question is as follows: China has had
numerous mass anti-government rebellions (civil wars) at regular
intervals throughout its millennia of history.
The last two of these massive rebellions were the the Taiping
Rebellion (1850-64) and Mao's Communist Revolution (1934-49) -- and
both of these rebellions began in Guangzho province and spread north.
China is overdue for a new massive civil war, and any sort of economic
setback could be the trigger. The CCP leadership are very well aware
of this history, and are extremely paranoid about it.
In terms of timing, the 58-Year Rule applies. A new generational
crisis civil war begins at the earliest 58 years after the genocidal
climax of the preceding crisis war. The probability of a war in year
58 is low, say around 20%. But each year after that, probability goes
up a little that a new war will begin in that year. So it might be
21% in year 59, 22% in year 60, and so forth. It's extremely rare for
a delay past year 80. (The specific values of the percentages would
require a bunch more research.)
So for China, year 58 is 2007. This year, 2020, is year 71. So the
probability for this year is getting pretty high.
So I hope that gives you all the information that you wanted.
