06-18-2020, 09:28 PM
*** 19-Jun-20 World View -- Nationwide protests in India demand revenge against China
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** Nationwide protests in India demand revenge against China
****
![[Image: g200619b.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g200619b.jpg)
This is the kind of crude weapon, made with iron rods studded with nails, used by Chinese soldiers on Monday to kill Indian soldiers, according to India.
Anti-China protests have erupted in cities across India by people
demanding retaliation for the killing of 20 Indian soldiers on Monday
in the growing Ladakh border confrontation that we described last
weekend. ( "13-Jun-20 World View -- China and India mobilize thousands of troops along border in Ladakh"
)
The protesters are burning the Chinese flag and calling for boycotts
of China-made products.
However, the calls for revenge grew even louder on Thursday, when
a photo emerged of a weapon used by Chinese soldiers to kill Indian
soldiers. The weapon, pictured at the beginning of this article,
is made with iron rods studded with nails, and is being called
"barbarous" by some Indian officials.
Former leader of the opposition, Rahul Gandhi, also demanded fiercer
retaliation from the government.
<QUOTE>"It is now clear that China has committed an
unforgivable war crime. The Chinese have used bayonets, nail
studded iron rods, wooden clubs wrapped with barbed wire ... to
mount a surprise attack on our unarmed soldiers."<END QUOTE>
Some MPs are demanding that Indian army forces invade the
Chinese-controlled territory Aksai Chin, a disputed region on the
Chinese side of the border. According to Jamyang Tsering Namgyal, the
MP for the Ladakh region:
<QUOTE>"We want a one-time solution. Not just the people of
Ladakh but people of the country too want a one-time solution.
After the sacrifice of our soldiers, I am starting to think the
time has come to take Aksai Chin back."<END QUOTE>
****
**** What happened in Ladakh on Monday evening?
****
Several days have passed, but there's very little confirmed
information about what took place.
Here's what we do know:
In the absence of statements by either the Indian or Chinese
side giving details of what happened, unauthorized reports are
beginning to appears, and they are highly explosive. Here's
one from India's News18:
<QUOTE>"Furious hand-to-hand fighting raged across the Galwan
river valley for over eight hours on Monday night, as People’s
Liberation Army assault teams armed with iron rods as well as
batons wrapped in barbed wire hunted down and slaughtered troops
of the 16 Bihar Regiment, a senior government official ... has
told News18.
The savage combat, with few parallels in the history of modern
armies, is confirmed to have claimed the lives of at least 23
Indian soldiers, including 16 Bihar’s commanding officer, Colonel
Santosh Babu, many because of protracted exposure to sub-zero
temperatures the Indian Army said late on Tuesday.
“Even unarmed men who fled into the hillsides were hunted down and
killed,” one officer said. “The dead include men who jumped into
the Galwan river in a desperate effort to escape.”
Government sources say at least another two dozen soldiers are
battling life-threatening injuries, and over 110 have needed
treatment. “The toll will likely go up,” a military officer with
knowledge of the issue said."<END QUOTE>
In the absence of official statements, it's impossible to determine
the veracity of this narrative, but it almost doesn't matter, because
this situation is rapidly growing out of control.
****
**** The core principle of Generational Dynamics
****
Indian and Chinese officials claim that they're conducting ongoing
negotiations to bring the crisis to an end and pull troops back on
both sides.
In dozens of articles in the last few years, I've stated and restated
the core principle of Generational Dynamics that, even in a
dictatorship, major decisions are made by masses of people, by
generations of people. The attitudes of politicians are irrelevant,
except insofar as they represent the attitudes of the people.
We're seeing that applied in this case. According to reports, Chinese
army teams hunted down, attacked and killed Indian soldiers, using
barbarous weapons like the one shown at the beginning of this article.
On the Indian side, we see increasing demands for retaliation and
revenge.
Recall what happened in 1937 in the Marco Polo Bridge incident that I
described in my article last weekend.
The Japanese and Chinese negotiated a settlement, but both
sides brought in reinforcements. Within a month, they were at full
scale war, leading soon after to the Rape of Nanking.
That's not to say India and China will be at war within a month, but
it does say that they're following a familiar pattern that leads to
full-scale war. If both the Chinese and Indian armies are pulled back
immediately, then a war can be avoided, but I see little desire on
either side to do so, or to do anything but escalate.
It's worth noting that the India government has ordered the armed
forces to make emergency procurements to stock up its war reserves in
case of war in Ladakh. These preparations even include the deployment
of navy military assets near the Malacca Strait, which would be a
focal point for any future India-China war.
****
**** Brief list of Chinese Communist Party crises
****
The following is a reference list of the major crises
currently being faced by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and
dictator Xi Jinping:
So those who think that America and the West have a lot of problems
are absolutely correct, but they do not have nearly as many problems
as China, which has been turning into an international pariah.
John Xenakis is author of: "World View: War Between China and Japan:
Why America Must Be Prepared" (Generational Theory Book Series, Book
2), June 2019, Paperback: 331 pages, with over 200 source references,
$13.99 https://www.amazon.com/World-View-Betwee...732738637/
Sources:
Related Articles:
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, China, India, Ladakh,
Rahul Gandhi, Aksai Chin, Jamyang Tsering Namgyal,
Marco Polo Bridge Incident, Japan, Rape of Nanking,
Wuhan Coronavirus, Covid-19, North Korea,
Hong Kong, Taiwan, Uighurs, Xinjiang province,
Africa, Belt and Road Initiative, BRI, Debt Trap Diplomacy
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- Nationwide protests in India demand revenge against China
- What happened in Ladakh on Monday evening?
- The core principle of Generational Dynamics
- Brief list of Chinese Communist Party crises
****
**** Nationwide protests in India demand revenge against China
****
This is the kind of crude weapon, made with iron rods studded with nails, used by Chinese soldiers on Monday to kill Indian soldiers, according to India.
Anti-China protests have erupted in cities across India by people
demanding retaliation for the killing of 20 Indian soldiers on Monday
in the growing Ladakh border confrontation that we described last
weekend. ( "13-Jun-20 World View -- China and India mobilize thousands of troops along border in Ladakh"
)
The protesters are burning the Chinese flag and calling for boycotts
of China-made products.
However, the calls for revenge grew even louder on Thursday, when
a photo emerged of a weapon used by Chinese soldiers to kill Indian
soldiers. The weapon, pictured at the beginning of this article,
is made with iron rods studded with nails, and is being called
"barbarous" by some Indian officials.
Former leader of the opposition, Rahul Gandhi, also demanded fiercer
retaliation from the government.
<QUOTE>"It is now clear that China has committed an
unforgivable war crime. The Chinese have used bayonets, nail
studded iron rods, wooden clubs wrapped with barbed wire ... to
mount a surprise attack on our unarmed soldiers."<END QUOTE>
Some MPs are demanding that Indian army forces invade the
Chinese-controlled territory Aksai Chin, a disputed region on the
Chinese side of the border. According to Jamyang Tsering Namgyal, the
MP for the Ladakh region:
<QUOTE>"We want a one-time solution. Not just the people of
Ladakh but people of the country too want a one-time solution.
After the sacrifice of our soldiers, I am starting to think the
time has come to take Aksai Chin back."<END QUOTE>
****
**** What happened in Ladakh on Monday evening?
****
Several days have passed, but there's very little confirmed
information about what took place.
Here's what we do know:
- 20 Indian soldiers were killed.
- There's no information on the number of soldiers injured.
- There's no statement on how the clashes started.
- There's no statement on how the clashes escalated.
- The Indian army says that China also suffered casualties,
but China has not confirmed any casualties. According to some
reports, about 40 Chinese soldiers were killed.
- No guns were fired by either side. Both sides are honoring
a decades-old agreement that everyone be unarmed. Firing a gun
would be a declaration of war.
- The Indian Army says that no soldiers were captured. However,
early Friday morning there were reports that the Chinese released
10 captured Indian soldiers.
In the absence of statements by either the Indian or Chinese
side giving details of what happened, unauthorized reports are
beginning to appears, and they are highly explosive. Here's
one from India's News18:
<QUOTE>"Furious hand-to-hand fighting raged across the Galwan
river valley for over eight hours on Monday night, as People’s
Liberation Army assault teams armed with iron rods as well as
batons wrapped in barbed wire hunted down and slaughtered troops
of the 16 Bihar Regiment, a senior government official ... has
told News18.
The savage combat, with few parallels in the history of modern
armies, is confirmed to have claimed the lives of at least 23
Indian soldiers, including 16 Bihar’s commanding officer, Colonel
Santosh Babu, many because of protracted exposure to sub-zero
temperatures the Indian Army said late on Tuesday.
“Even unarmed men who fled into the hillsides were hunted down and
killed,” one officer said. “The dead include men who jumped into
the Galwan river in a desperate effort to escape.”
Government sources say at least another two dozen soldiers are
battling life-threatening injuries, and over 110 have needed
treatment. “The toll will likely go up,” a military officer with
knowledge of the issue said."<END QUOTE>
In the absence of official statements, it's impossible to determine
the veracity of this narrative, but it almost doesn't matter, because
this situation is rapidly growing out of control.
****
**** The core principle of Generational Dynamics
****
Indian and Chinese officials claim that they're conducting ongoing
negotiations to bring the crisis to an end and pull troops back on
both sides.
In dozens of articles in the last few years, I've stated and restated
the core principle of Generational Dynamics that, even in a
dictatorship, major decisions are made by masses of people, by
generations of people. The attitudes of politicians are irrelevant,
except insofar as they represent the attitudes of the people.
We're seeing that applied in this case. According to reports, Chinese
army teams hunted down, attacked and killed Indian soldiers, using
barbarous weapons like the one shown at the beginning of this article.
On the Indian side, we see increasing demands for retaliation and
revenge.
Recall what happened in 1937 in the Marco Polo Bridge incident that I
described in my article last weekend.
The Japanese and Chinese negotiated a settlement, but both
sides brought in reinforcements. Within a month, they were at full
scale war, leading soon after to the Rape of Nanking.
That's not to say India and China will be at war within a month, but
it does say that they're following a familiar pattern that leads to
full-scale war. If both the Chinese and Indian armies are pulled back
immediately, then a war can be avoided, but I see little desire on
either side to do so, or to do anything but escalate.
It's worth noting that the India government has ordered the armed
forces to make emergency procurements to stock up its war reserves in
case of war in Ladakh. These preparations even include the deployment
of navy military assets near the Malacca Strait, which would be a
focal point for any future India-China war.
****
**** Brief list of Chinese Communist Party crises
****
The following is a reference list of the major crises
currently being faced by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and
dictator Xi Jinping:
- Dozens of countries are blaming China for purposely spreading
the Wuhan Coronavirus (Covid-19) to other countries, so that China
wouldn't have to deal with it alone. Attempts by China to blame the
United States have backfired. This is a much bigger problem than you
might think, since it attacks the competency of Xi Jinping.
- And now, China is facing a major new outbreak of Covid-19 in
Beijing, after having declared the city to be free of the virus.
- North Korea's government appears to be increasingly chaotic,
and an unstable North Korean government is a big problem for the CCP.
- The India-China border crisis in Ladakh is growing.
- Hong Kong pro-democracy protesters are starting up again, after
being quiet because of Covid-19. The new proposed security bill is
provoking unrest in Hong Kong, and a great deal of international
concern.
- Taiwan pro-independence activists are becoming emboldened
by the situation in Hong Kong.
- China is receiving increased international condemnation for
the Uighur concentration camps in Xinjiang province.
- One issue that's seldom talked about is that many African
countries have huge debt obligations to the Chinese, thanks
to the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and Debt Trap Diplomacy,
and because of the Covid-19 crises, many countries are missing
their debt payments. These countries are pressuring China to
forgive or postpone much of the debt. Laughably, the Chinese are
asking the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and other international
organizations to bail out these African countries, so that they
can make their payments to China.
So those who think that America and the West have a lot of problems
are absolutely correct, but they do not have nearly as many problems
as China, which has been turning into an international pariah.
John Xenakis is author of: "World View: War Between China and Japan:
Why America Must Be Prepared" (Generational Theory Book Series, Book
2), June 2019, Paperback: 331 pages, with over 200 source references,
$13.99 https://www.amazon.com/World-View-Betwee...732738637/
Sources:
- Ladakh / Galwan Valley: Image appears to show nail-studded rods used in India-China brawl (BBC, 18-Jun-2020)
- Anti-China Protests Across India, Delhi's Defence Colony Declares 'War' (New Delhi TV, 18-Jun-2020)
- India should curb ‘boycott China’ voices after border clash (Global Times, Beijing, 17-Jun-2020)
- Fighters, warships moved to forward bases after bloodiest day in Ladakh (India Times, 18-Jun-2020)
- WHO map shows parts of Ladakh as Chinese territory (India Times, 29-Apr-2020)
- PLA Death Squads Hunted Down Indian Troops in Galwan in Savage Execution Spree, Say Survivors (News18, India, 18-Jun-2020)
- Indian MPs demand government take revenge on China after photographs emerge of spiked club used in clash (Telegraph, London, 18-Jun-2020)
- China releases 10 Indian soldiers after border battle (AFP, 19-Jun-2020)
Related Articles:
- China and India mobilize thousands of troops along border in Ladakh (13-Jun-2020)
- Generational Theory: Is nuclear war with China inevitable? (17-May-2020)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, China, India, Ladakh,
Rahul Gandhi, Aksai Chin, Jamyang Tsering Namgyal,
Marco Polo Bridge Incident, Japan, Rape of Nanking,
Wuhan Coronavirus, Covid-19, North Korea,
Hong Kong, Taiwan, Uighurs, Xinjiang province,
Africa, Belt and Road Initiative, BRI, Debt Trap Diplomacy
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
