06-24-2020, 08:00 PM
*** 25-Jun-20 World View -- Both India and China reinforce armies in Ladakh, as China makes new claim
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** Both India and China reinforce armies in Ladakh, as China makes new claim
****
![[Image: g200624b.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g200624b.jpg)
China military exercise
The situation in Ladakh, on the China-India border, continues to
worsen.
As I've been writing for some time, China and India have been
mobilizing thousands of troops in Ladakh on either side of the Line of
Actual Control (LAC), the nominal boundary between the two countries.
Then, on June 15, Chinese forces ambushed Indian forces in Ladakh's
Galwan Valley, using barbaric weapons consisting of bayonets, poles
studded with steel nails, and wooden clubs wrapped with barbed wire,
killing 20 unarmed Indian soldiers.
While officials from China and India are continuing negotiations for a
"peaceful resolution" to the border conflict in Ladakh, both sides
have been moving in even more reinforcements. According to Indian
media, both the Chinese and India armies have moved troops and tanks
into the regions adjacent to the Line of Actual Control (LAC).
According to a 1993 agreement between China and India:
<QUOTE>"The two sides are of the view that the India-China
boundary question shall be resolved through peaceful and friendly
consultations. Neither side shall use or threaten to use force
against the other by any means."<END QUOTE>
The Chinese took advantage of the unarmed Indians with bayonets, clubs
wrapped with barbed wire, and rocks, despite the agreement that
requires both sides to be unarmed. Last week, in response to the June
15 ambush, the Indians repudiated the agreement and changed the rules
of engagement, so that the Indian soldiers are now armed.
I've said in the past that this dispute is remarkably similar to the
1937 Marco Polo Bridge incident that triggeredd World War II fighting
between Japan and China. The Ladakh dispute looks more and more like
it every day.
****
**** Chinese Communists make new claims
****
In the midst of the latest peace negotiations, the Chinese Defense
Ministry made a new claim on Tuesday that the Galwan Valley in Ladakh
is sovereign Chinese territory:
<QUOTE>"China has sovereignty over the Galwan Valley region
and the Chinese border troops have been patrolling and on duty in
this region for many years."<END QUOTE>
The Indians were jolted by this new claim, and say that this is a lie,
that Galwan Valley is well within Indian territory, and that this is
the first time that China has made such a claim.
It seems that every day, I get a new reason to be impatient with the
Chinese Communist Party (CCP). I see the CCP lie all the time.
They've repeatedly lied about the South China Sea that they've
illegally annexed, they've repeatedly lied about the Uighurs that
they're arresting, torturing and enslaving, and they've repeatedly
lied about the Christians and Buddhists who are regularly beaten and
jailed. They also lied for weeks about the Wuhan Coronavirus, and
purposely infected hundreds of other countries, so that they wouldn't
be alone in dealing with the virus. They're apparently congratulating
themselves for this victory in infecting the world. As I wrote in my
book, "War Between China and Japan," the Chinese Communists consider
themselves to be the Master Race, and everyone else to be barbarians
and vassals.
So the CCP are criminal thugs and liars, and if they're now claiming
sovereignty to the Galwan Valley, then there is absolutely no reason
to believe anything they say.
At any rate, nationalism is very high on both the Chinese and Indian
sides, and neither side will back down. Both the Chinese and Indians
are sending troops and tanks into the regions around the Galway
Valley, and tensions are continuing to rise.
Neither Chinese nor Indian officials have made official statements
about what happened on June 15, except that 20 Indian soldiers were
killed. Chinese media have been claiming that China dealt a "heavy
blow" to the Indians.
According to Chinese media:
<QUOTE>"The PLA is a glorious army. After the founding of the
People's Republic of China, it fought with the armies of the two
superpowers, the US and the former Soviet Union. It has punished
the Indian army for the latter's outright provocations. Some in
India preach that the PLA, which has not fought a war for more
than 30 years now, is an army that does not know how to fight.
Their arrogance is frivolous. It is now clear who is the egg and
who is the rock."<END QUOTE>
At a briefing on Wednesday, the Chinese finally officially admitted
that they had casualties in the June 15 encounter:
<QUOTE>"Exact casualties were not publicised as China did not
want the media to play it up. Now was the time for both sides to
find ways to de-escalate the situation and restore stability.
Comparisons may trigger antagonism on both sides, which is not
helpful."<END QUOTE>
There have been media reports of anywhere from 25-45 Chinese
casualties on June 15. No wonder the Chinese don't want to admit the
exact numbers.
****
**** Russia will speed up delivery of weapons systems to India
****
And so, Dear Reader, start placing your bets. How long can this
"peaceful" standoff remain peaceful?
Donald Trump has offered to mediate, but it seems unlikely that
his offer will be accepted.
The Russians have met with both sides, but India's Defense Minister
said on Tuesday that the Russians will speed up delivery of advanced
S-400 air defense systems and other weapons systems to India. This
gives the impression that Russia is on India's side. This is not
surprising, since Russia has its own problems with China making false
claims to parts of Russia's Far East. China is even claiming that
Vladivostok, the home of Russia's Pacific Fleet, is really China's
sovereign territory.
This is also not surprising in view of the Generational Dynamics
prediction, which I've stated repeatedly for many years, that in the
coming Clash of Civilizations world war, China will be allied with
Pakistan and the Sunni Muslim countries versus the United States,
allied with India, Russia and Iran. In particular, India and Russia
are historic allies.
I keep seeing claims that Russia and China will be allied. There
isn't a snowflake's chance in hell that will happen. The Russians
have hated the Chinese ever since the Mongols defeated the Chinese in
1206, and then went on to attack and conquer almost all the Russian
principalities, and made them bitter vassals of the Mongol Empire, in
a relationship called the "Mongol Yoke." This hated period, two
centuries long, has defined the relationship between the Russian and
Chinese people forever. There is no possibility that China and Russia
will remain "strategic partners" for long. In fact, Soviet Russia and
China almost went to full-scale war as recently as the 1960s, just as
China and India went to war in the 1960s. So Russia's delivery of
advanced weapons systems to India is just one more step along the same
path.
Another common claim is that World War III will be won by means of
nuclear weapons. Nuclear weapons can do an enormous amount of damage,
and they will be heavily used. But a war cannot be won with just by
bombing, even by bombing with nuclear weapons. The war, whether it
occurs this year, next year, or later, will be won with ground forces,
and nuclear weapons will be used tactically.
John Xenakis is author of: "World View: War Between China and Japan:
Why America Must Be Prepared" (Generational Theory Book Series, Book
2), June 2019, Paperback: 331 pages, with over 200 source references,
$13.99 https://www.amazon.com/World-View-Betwee...732738637/
Sources:
Related Articles:
=eod
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, China, India, Ladakh, Galwan Valley,
Marco Polo Bridge Incident, Wuhan Coronavirus,
Hong Kong, Taiwan, Uighurs, Xinjiang province,
Russia, Mongols, Genghis Khan, Mongol Yoke
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- Both India and China reinforce armies in Ladakh, as China makes new claim
- Chinese Communists make new claims
- Russia will speed up delivery of weapons systems to India
****
**** Both India and China reinforce armies in Ladakh, as China makes new claim
****
China military exercise
The situation in Ladakh, on the China-India border, continues to
worsen.
As I've been writing for some time, China and India have been
mobilizing thousands of troops in Ladakh on either side of the Line of
Actual Control (LAC), the nominal boundary between the two countries.
Then, on June 15, Chinese forces ambushed Indian forces in Ladakh's
Galwan Valley, using barbaric weapons consisting of bayonets, poles
studded with steel nails, and wooden clubs wrapped with barbed wire,
killing 20 unarmed Indian soldiers.
While officials from China and India are continuing negotiations for a
"peaceful resolution" to the border conflict in Ladakh, both sides
have been moving in even more reinforcements. According to Indian
media, both the Chinese and India armies have moved troops and tanks
into the regions adjacent to the Line of Actual Control (LAC).
According to a 1993 agreement between China and India:
<QUOTE>"The two sides are of the view that the India-China
boundary question shall be resolved through peaceful and friendly
consultations. Neither side shall use or threaten to use force
against the other by any means."<END QUOTE>
The Chinese took advantage of the unarmed Indians with bayonets, clubs
wrapped with barbed wire, and rocks, despite the agreement that
requires both sides to be unarmed. Last week, in response to the June
15 ambush, the Indians repudiated the agreement and changed the rules
of engagement, so that the Indian soldiers are now armed.
I've said in the past that this dispute is remarkably similar to the
1937 Marco Polo Bridge incident that triggeredd World War II fighting
between Japan and China. The Ladakh dispute looks more and more like
it every day.
****
**** Chinese Communists make new claims
****
In the midst of the latest peace negotiations, the Chinese Defense
Ministry made a new claim on Tuesday that the Galwan Valley in Ladakh
is sovereign Chinese territory:
<QUOTE>"China has sovereignty over the Galwan Valley region
and the Chinese border troops have been patrolling and on duty in
this region for many years."<END QUOTE>
The Indians were jolted by this new claim, and say that this is a lie,
that Galwan Valley is well within Indian territory, and that this is
the first time that China has made such a claim.
It seems that every day, I get a new reason to be impatient with the
Chinese Communist Party (CCP). I see the CCP lie all the time.
They've repeatedly lied about the South China Sea that they've
illegally annexed, they've repeatedly lied about the Uighurs that
they're arresting, torturing and enslaving, and they've repeatedly
lied about the Christians and Buddhists who are regularly beaten and
jailed. They also lied for weeks about the Wuhan Coronavirus, and
purposely infected hundreds of other countries, so that they wouldn't
be alone in dealing with the virus. They're apparently congratulating
themselves for this victory in infecting the world. As I wrote in my
book, "War Between China and Japan," the Chinese Communists consider
themselves to be the Master Race, and everyone else to be barbarians
and vassals.
So the CCP are criminal thugs and liars, and if they're now claiming
sovereignty to the Galwan Valley, then there is absolutely no reason
to believe anything they say.
At any rate, nationalism is very high on both the Chinese and Indian
sides, and neither side will back down. Both the Chinese and Indians
are sending troops and tanks into the regions around the Galway
Valley, and tensions are continuing to rise.
Neither Chinese nor Indian officials have made official statements
about what happened on June 15, except that 20 Indian soldiers were
killed. Chinese media have been claiming that China dealt a "heavy
blow" to the Indians.
According to Chinese media:
<QUOTE>"The PLA is a glorious army. After the founding of the
People's Republic of China, it fought with the armies of the two
superpowers, the US and the former Soviet Union. It has punished
the Indian army for the latter's outright provocations. Some in
India preach that the PLA, which has not fought a war for more
than 30 years now, is an army that does not know how to fight.
Their arrogance is frivolous. It is now clear who is the egg and
who is the rock."<END QUOTE>
At a briefing on Wednesday, the Chinese finally officially admitted
that they had casualties in the June 15 encounter:
<QUOTE>"Exact casualties were not publicised as China did not
want the media to play it up. Now was the time for both sides to
find ways to de-escalate the situation and restore stability.
Comparisons may trigger antagonism on both sides, which is not
helpful."<END QUOTE>
There have been media reports of anywhere from 25-45 Chinese
casualties on June 15. No wonder the Chinese don't want to admit the
exact numbers.
****
**** Russia will speed up delivery of weapons systems to India
****
And so, Dear Reader, start placing your bets. How long can this
"peaceful" standoff remain peaceful?
Donald Trump has offered to mediate, but it seems unlikely that
his offer will be accepted.
The Russians have met with both sides, but India's Defense Minister
said on Tuesday that the Russians will speed up delivery of advanced
S-400 air defense systems and other weapons systems to India. This
gives the impression that Russia is on India's side. This is not
surprising, since Russia has its own problems with China making false
claims to parts of Russia's Far East. China is even claiming that
Vladivostok, the home of Russia's Pacific Fleet, is really China's
sovereign territory.
This is also not surprising in view of the Generational Dynamics
prediction, which I've stated repeatedly for many years, that in the
coming Clash of Civilizations world war, China will be allied with
Pakistan and the Sunni Muslim countries versus the United States,
allied with India, Russia and Iran. In particular, India and Russia
are historic allies.
I keep seeing claims that Russia and China will be allied. There
isn't a snowflake's chance in hell that will happen. The Russians
have hated the Chinese ever since the Mongols defeated the Chinese in
1206, and then went on to attack and conquer almost all the Russian
principalities, and made them bitter vassals of the Mongol Empire, in
a relationship called the "Mongol Yoke." This hated period, two
centuries long, has defined the relationship between the Russian and
Chinese people forever. There is no possibility that China and Russia
will remain "strategic partners" for long. In fact, Soviet Russia and
China almost went to full-scale war as recently as the 1960s, just as
China and India went to war in the 1960s. So Russia's delivery of
advanced weapons systems to India is just one more step along the same
path.
Another common claim is that World War III will be won by means of
nuclear weapons. Nuclear weapons can do an enormous amount of damage,
and they will be heavily used. But a war cannot be won with just by
bombing, even by bombing with nuclear weapons. The war, whether it
occurs this year, next year, or later, will be won with ground forces,
and nuclear weapons will be used tactically.
John Xenakis is author of: "World View: War Between China and Japan:
Why America Must Be Prepared" (Generational Theory Book Series, Book
2), June 2019, Paperback: 331 pages, with over 200 source references,
$13.99 https://www.amazon.com/World-View-Betwee...732738637/
Sources:
- Ladakh / India gained only casualties from border clash (Global Times, Beijing, 24-Jun-2020)
- China issues statement on border clash, proving Indian troops were fully responsible (Global Times, Beijing, 24-Jun-2020)
- Amid Talks, China Ramps up Military Presence in Friction Points in Ladakh, Other Areas along LAC (News18, India, 24-Jun-2020)
- Ladakh Clash Fallout: Centre Changes Rules of Engagement With China, Army Allowed to Use Firearms (India.com, 21-Jun-2020)
- Modi and the Illusion of Chinese Intrusions at Ladakh (The Wire, India, 24-Jun-2020)
- Russia will honour weapons contract with India amid Ladakh tension (Deccan Chronicle, India, 24-Jun-2020)
- India deploys T-90 Bhishma tank in Ladakh amid border row with China at LAC (India.com, 24-Jun-2020)
- Ladakh faceoff will not change locals’ perception towards us, says Shimla’s Chinese community (HindustanTimes, 24-Jun-2020)
- China finally admits casualties in Galwan clash, claims ‘numbers not very high’ (HindustanTimes, 24-Jun-2020)
- After Occupying Tibet, Chinese Leaders Said They'll Go For Nepal, Ladakh, Bhutan: President Of Tibetan Govt In Exile (Business World, India, 24-Jun-2020)
Related Articles:
- Nationwide protests in India demand revenge against China (19-Jun-2020)
- China and India mobilize thousands of troops along border in Ladakh (13-Jun-2020)
- Russia's Far East, Siberia and Vladivostok under threat from China (31-Mar-2018)
- China resumes military buildup in Bhutan's Doklam Plateau (19-Dec-2017)
- Analysts draw lessons from the China vs India Doklam border standoff (24-Sep-2017)
- India and China battle for strategic influence in the Indian Ocean (18-Mar-2015)
- Generational Theory: Is nuclear war with China inevitable? (17-May-2020)
=eod
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, China, India, Ladakh, Galwan Valley,
Marco Polo Bridge Incident, Wuhan Coronavirus,
Hong Kong, Taiwan, Uighurs, Xinjiang province,
Russia, Mongols, Genghis Khan, Mongol Yoke
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
