07-07-2020, 10:15 PM
*** 8-Jul-20 World View -- Learning to live with Wuhan Coronavirus
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** Learning to live with Wuhan Coronavirus
****
![[Image: vogelgrippe.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/vogelgrippe.jpg)
Cartoon from 2004: "BIRD FLU - The panic is spreading! -- Better safe than sorry!"
The following are some personal thoughts.
The administration is now saying that we have to learn to live with
coronavirus.
The good news is that once you get sick from Wuhan Coronavirus, then
doctors are a lot more able to treat you and possibly even cure you.
Furthermore, there are many therapeutics being successfully developed
for treating the illness. So the death rate for infected people has
been coming down.
On the other hand, I haven't heard anyone credibly claim that a
vaccine will be available until well into 2021, if then. And even if
one becomes available, how will it be administered? Will the
developing country (US, UK, China, etc.) restrict it to its own
citizens until they're all protected? That will create huge
international outrage, including violent riots. There are 330 million
Americans. How long would it take to provide a vaccine to all of
them? There are almost 8 billion people in the world. Same question.
In the US, there's been a big resurgence of infections in some
southern states -- California, Arizona, Texas, Florida. One reason
given for this is that there's been a kind of reversal from the north.
In March, people stayed indoors in the north to stay warm, and went
outside in the south. Today, people go outdoors in the north, but
stay indoors in the south to get air conditioning. The reasoning is
that the virus spreads most rapidly among a group of people indoors in
an enclosed area, so it spread rapidly in the north in March, and in
the south today.
It had been hoped (and expected) that the coronavirus would act like
the seasonal flu and slow down (or stop) during the warm summer
months. That seems to have been a false hope. The coronavirus seems
much more virulent than the seasonal flu.
All the experts seem to expect a "second wave" in the fall, as
happened in the fall 1918 with the Spanish Flu pandemic. Perhaps,
by that time, some of these therapeutics will be successful enough
so that most people can recover.
Every state and every country seems to be handling the pandemic in its
own way, but it always seems to end the same way. Israel started out
with a quick lockdown and strict controls, and thought that they had
conquered it, but now there's a big resurgence again. The same is
true in South Africa.
It's now winter in South America, and infections are growing
exponentially in almost every country. In fact, infections are
growing exponentially across Africa. That's going to cause a major
political explosion.
****
**** Should you wear a face mask?
****
Confusion over face masks continues. In February, Dr. Anthony Fauci
was saying that face masks were not necessary for anyone but medical
workers. The explanation now given for that advice is because there
were not enough face masks available for the general public, beyond
medical workers.
Since then the advice has changed to make face masks optional or
required, depending on the jurisdiction. Sometimes "social
distancing" is enough so that you don't need a mask, according to some
experts, but you always need a mask according to others. Also, do
people have to be one meter apart or two meters apart for social
distancing? It seems to vary.
Why do we wear face masks? "You wear a mask to protect me, and I wear
a mask to protect you," goes the standard explanation. This means
that if you're social distancing, then you don't have to worry about a
mask. But in the last couple of days, that advice has been changing.
It seems that the virus is spread not in large droplets that fall to
the ground quickly (as had been previously stated), but rather in a
fine mist that stays in the air for a long time. That means that if
you don't want to be infected, then you always have to wear a face
mask, and you have to inhale through your mask, even if you're
socially distancing.
If you get the virus and you survive, can you get it again? The
experts say they don't know. Apparently you have immunity for a few
weeks or months, but we don't have experience to judge whether the
immunity lasts longer than that. So if you've had the virus already,
you might get it again in the fall.
So only about 3% of the world's population have become infected so
far, according to one estimate, including those that show no symptoms.
That means that 97% of the world still has no immunity at all.
It's pretty random. Anyone could get infected just by touching the
wrong thing or breathing the wrong air or being at the wrong place at
the wrong time. Which means that, sooner or later, perhaps 5 billion,
6 billion or 7 billion more people have yet to be infected. I'm one
of those who believe that, sooner or later, everyone will be infected.
Personally, I know that I'm in multiple risk groups -- old,
overweight, high blood pressure -- so if I live long enough to get
infected, I won't live much longer after that. Young people, the
experts say, are far more likely to survive, though lately there have
been statistics challenging that claim. However, experience in other
countries shows that children in school are almost completely safe.
****
**** The Chinese Communist Party and Wuhan Coronavirus
****
As regular readers know, I follow the news about China constantly,
and I've written a book, "War Between China and Japan" which
describes how China is preparing to launch a war of revenge against
Japan, a war of annexation against Taiwan, and a war with America
because we will be defending Japan and Taiwan.
It's been increasingly clear since Xi Jinping came to power that China
is becoming more and more belligerent and hostile every day. With
regard to the situation in Hong Kong, it's been clear (again) that
China feels free to violate any international law, but still demands
that everyone else obey international law. The Chinese Communist
Party considers themselves to be the Master Race, and everyone else to
be barbarians and vassals, and the only purpose of international law
is to provide a means for the Chinese to control the barbarians.
This has been really clear in the last few days as the CCP has imposed
a harsh National Security law on Hong Kong, completely ignoring
international law and their own commitment in the 1984 handover
agreement with the UK. The same is true of their arrest, torture and
enslavement of millions of Uighurs, and their illegal annexation of
the South China Sea. The CCP attitude is that they're superior to
everyone else, and not bound even by their own commitments.
The CCP thugs don't have a strategy. They are increasingly paranoid
and desperate, and lash out in all directions at once. They're
absolutely furious that they're being blamed (correctly) for having
unleashed the Wuhan Coronavirus on the world, lied about it, purposely
spread it to hundreds of countries, and purposely purchased all
available PPE (face masks, gowns, goggles, etc.) around the world so
that those materials wouldn't be available to anyone but the Chinese.
The CCP have managed to piss off almost every country in the world,
even countries that are forced to support them.
On Tuesday, FBI director Christopher Wray gave a press conference on
the enormous threat to the United States from the Chinese Communist
Party:
<QUOTE>"The greatest long-term threat to our nation’s
information and intellectual property, and to our economic
vitality, is the counterintelligence and economic espionage threat
from China. It’s a threat to our economic security—and by
extension, to our national security.
And at this very moment, China is working to compromise American
health care organizations, pharmaceutical companies, and academic
institutions conducting essential COVID-19 research."<END QUOTE>
As Wray suggests, the CCP are desperate to be the first to develop
therapeutics and a vaccine for Wuhan Coronavirus to use as leverage
against America and the West. He says that the Chinese want to
"compromise American ... institutions conducting essential COVID-19
research." He doesn't say whether the Chinese simply want to steal
the intellectual property, or to hack into company services and
somehow destroy them - probably both.
Meanwhile, the hostility towards China has grown substantially in the
last year in the West. The mutual xenophobia between China and
Western nations grows almost every day. This will not end well.
Sources:
Related Articles:
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Wuhan Coronavirus, China,
California, Arizona, Texas, Florida,
Israel, South Africa, Africa, South America,
Dr. Anthony Fauci, face masks,
Chinese Communist Party, CCP, Japan, Taiwan,
Hong Kong, FBI, Christopher Wray
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- Learning to live with Wuhan Coronavirus
- Should you wear a face mask?
- The Chinese Communist Party and Wuhan Coronavirus
****
**** Learning to live with Wuhan Coronavirus
****
Cartoon from 2004: "BIRD FLU - The panic is spreading! -- Better safe than sorry!"
The following are some personal thoughts.
The administration is now saying that we have to learn to live with
coronavirus.
The good news is that once you get sick from Wuhan Coronavirus, then
doctors are a lot more able to treat you and possibly even cure you.
Furthermore, there are many therapeutics being successfully developed
for treating the illness. So the death rate for infected people has
been coming down.
On the other hand, I haven't heard anyone credibly claim that a
vaccine will be available until well into 2021, if then. And even if
one becomes available, how will it be administered? Will the
developing country (US, UK, China, etc.) restrict it to its own
citizens until they're all protected? That will create huge
international outrage, including violent riots. There are 330 million
Americans. How long would it take to provide a vaccine to all of
them? There are almost 8 billion people in the world. Same question.
In the US, there's been a big resurgence of infections in some
southern states -- California, Arizona, Texas, Florida. One reason
given for this is that there's been a kind of reversal from the north.
In March, people stayed indoors in the north to stay warm, and went
outside in the south. Today, people go outdoors in the north, but
stay indoors in the south to get air conditioning. The reasoning is
that the virus spreads most rapidly among a group of people indoors in
an enclosed area, so it spread rapidly in the north in March, and in
the south today.
It had been hoped (and expected) that the coronavirus would act like
the seasonal flu and slow down (or stop) during the warm summer
months. That seems to have been a false hope. The coronavirus seems
much more virulent than the seasonal flu.
All the experts seem to expect a "second wave" in the fall, as
happened in the fall 1918 with the Spanish Flu pandemic. Perhaps,
by that time, some of these therapeutics will be successful enough
so that most people can recover.
Every state and every country seems to be handling the pandemic in its
own way, but it always seems to end the same way. Israel started out
with a quick lockdown and strict controls, and thought that they had
conquered it, but now there's a big resurgence again. The same is
true in South Africa.
It's now winter in South America, and infections are growing
exponentially in almost every country. In fact, infections are
growing exponentially across Africa. That's going to cause a major
political explosion.
****
**** Should you wear a face mask?
****
Confusion over face masks continues. In February, Dr. Anthony Fauci
was saying that face masks were not necessary for anyone but medical
workers. The explanation now given for that advice is because there
were not enough face masks available for the general public, beyond
medical workers.
Since then the advice has changed to make face masks optional or
required, depending on the jurisdiction. Sometimes "social
distancing" is enough so that you don't need a mask, according to some
experts, but you always need a mask according to others. Also, do
people have to be one meter apart or two meters apart for social
distancing? It seems to vary.
Why do we wear face masks? "You wear a mask to protect me, and I wear
a mask to protect you," goes the standard explanation. This means
that if you're social distancing, then you don't have to worry about a
mask. But in the last couple of days, that advice has been changing.
It seems that the virus is spread not in large droplets that fall to
the ground quickly (as had been previously stated), but rather in a
fine mist that stays in the air for a long time. That means that if
you don't want to be infected, then you always have to wear a face
mask, and you have to inhale through your mask, even if you're
socially distancing.
If you get the virus and you survive, can you get it again? The
experts say they don't know. Apparently you have immunity for a few
weeks or months, but we don't have experience to judge whether the
immunity lasts longer than that. So if you've had the virus already,
you might get it again in the fall.
So only about 3% of the world's population have become infected so
far, according to one estimate, including those that show no symptoms.
That means that 97% of the world still has no immunity at all.
It's pretty random. Anyone could get infected just by touching the
wrong thing or breathing the wrong air or being at the wrong place at
the wrong time. Which means that, sooner or later, perhaps 5 billion,
6 billion or 7 billion more people have yet to be infected. I'm one
of those who believe that, sooner or later, everyone will be infected.
Personally, I know that I'm in multiple risk groups -- old,
overweight, high blood pressure -- so if I live long enough to get
infected, I won't live much longer after that. Young people, the
experts say, are far more likely to survive, though lately there have
been statistics challenging that claim. However, experience in other
countries shows that children in school are almost completely safe.
****
**** The Chinese Communist Party and Wuhan Coronavirus
****
As regular readers know, I follow the news about China constantly,
and I've written a book, "War Between China and Japan" which
describes how China is preparing to launch a war of revenge against
Japan, a war of annexation against Taiwan, and a war with America
because we will be defending Japan and Taiwan.
It's been increasingly clear since Xi Jinping came to power that China
is becoming more and more belligerent and hostile every day. With
regard to the situation in Hong Kong, it's been clear (again) that
China feels free to violate any international law, but still demands
that everyone else obey international law. The Chinese Communist
Party considers themselves to be the Master Race, and everyone else to
be barbarians and vassals, and the only purpose of international law
is to provide a means for the Chinese to control the barbarians.
This has been really clear in the last few days as the CCP has imposed
a harsh National Security law on Hong Kong, completely ignoring
international law and their own commitment in the 1984 handover
agreement with the UK. The same is true of their arrest, torture and
enslavement of millions of Uighurs, and their illegal annexation of
the South China Sea. The CCP attitude is that they're superior to
everyone else, and not bound even by their own commitments.
The CCP thugs don't have a strategy. They are increasingly paranoid
and desperate, and lash out in all directions at once. They're
absolutely furious that they're being blamed (correctly) for having
unleashed the Wuhan Coronavirus on the world, lied about it, purposely
spread it to hundreds of countries, and purposely purchased all
available PPE (face masks, gowns, goggles, etc.) around the world so
that those materials wouldn't be available to anyone but the Chinese.
The CCP have managed to piss off almost every country in the world,
even countries that are forced to support them.
On Tuesday, FBI director Christopher Wray gave a press conference on
the enormous threat to the United States from the Chinese Communist
Party:
<QUOTE>"The greatest long-term threat to our nation’s
information and intellectual property, and to our economic
vitality, is the counterintelligence and economic espionage threat
from China. It’s a threat to our economic security—and by
extension, to our national security.
And at this very moment, China is working to compromise American
health care organizations, pharmaceutical companies, and academic
institutions conducting essential COVID-19 research."<END QUOTE>
As Wray suggests, the CCP are desperate to be the first to develop
therapeutics and a vaccine for Wuhan Coronavirus to use as leverage
against America and the West. He says that the Chinese want to
"compromise American ... institutions conducting essential COVID-19
research." He doesn't say whether the Chinese simply want to steal
the intellectual property, or to hack into company services and
somehow destroy them - probably both.
Meanwhile, the hostility towards China has grown substantially in the
last year in the West. The mutual xenophobia between China and
Western nations grows almost every day. This will not end well.
Sources:
Related Articles:
- Gleeful China wins big Hong Kong victory at UN Human Rights Council (05-Jul-2020)
- CNBC's Jim Cramer: Hostility to China grows in America (27-Apr-2020)
- Today's Wuhan Coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic vs 1918 Spanish Flu (22-Mar-2020)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Wuhan Coronavirus, China,
California, Arizona, Texas, Florida,
Israel, South Africa, Africa, South America,
Dr. Anthony Fauci, face masks,
Chinese Communist Party, CCP, Japan, Taiwan,
Hong Kong, FBI, Christopher Wray
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
