Generational Dynamics World View

[Bob Butler 54]

(08-08-2020, 08:32 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: ****
**** Seeking a political solution in Lebanon
****

Lebanon is in a generational Awakening era, a time when older traumatized generations who had survived the war to anything possible to prevent it from happening again, which the younger naive generations rebel against the strict rules and institutions that their parents had put in place.  In America and Europe, the last Awakening era was the 1960s, following the horrors of World War II.

One thing that WON'T happen in this current crisis in Lebanon is a new civil war.  There are too many people who are still traumatized by the memories of the last one, and they won't let it happen again.

But what does happen during an Awakening era is a political climax -- a regime change, a "velvet revolution," "palace coup" or non-violent coup that fundamentally changes the government in a significant way.  In America, this was the resignation of Richard Nixon in 1974.  Another example is Germany's change of government that led to the Weimar Republic in 1918.

Those examples don't seem encouraging.  I guess what you are saying is that awakenings are followed by unravellings.  After the protests demanding reform stop, you get an unravelling period that leads to a government of selfishness.  Eventually you get a Hitler or a Trump out of it.  I'm not sure this is what Lebanon needs.