Generational Dynamics World View

[Bob Butler 54]

(08-11-2020, 08:46 AM)David Horn Wrote:

(08-10-2020, 08:27 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: ** 10-Aug-2020 World View: Crisis wars

(08-10-2020, 02:42 PM)pbrower2a Wrote: >   The last Crisis Era could have gone very badly.

I won't attempt to explain it now, but after almost 20 years of analyzing crisis wars, I've become convinced that they can't end any other way, almost to the point of being preordained.  Generational crisis wars are forces of nature, huge existential struggles between entire populations and generations.  One individual battle may go either way, but in the end, the war will end where it had to end.

That sounds a lot more like religion than historical analysis.

I don’t know. It might be sort of true of the small power ‘crisis wars’ which Xenakis has been looking at.

World War II? If Hitler had died in World War I and a more sane leader had ended up on top of the Nazi, things could have gone differently. If the Axis had been content in picking their opponents and a bit less racist in their making of enemies, they might have expanded their colonial influence without making the western powers mad at them. As is though, they made enough enemies to be defeated. They were so confident of their military culture that they took on everybody. Was that inevitable? Hard to know.