Generational Dynamics World View

[Bob Butler 54]

(08-11-2020, 09:44 AM)John J. Xenakis Wrote:

(08-11-2020, 08:46 AM)David Horn Wrote: That sounds a lot more like religion than historical analysis.

If that's a religion, then so is generational theory, and so is S&H.  As I often point out, I'm the only remaining member of the FT forum who believes that generational theory is valid.

I think parts generational theory are valid, but they developed their theory based on the Industrial Age observations without accounting for how the Information Age and its nukes, insurgent wars and computer networks could make things different.  More non violent change has made awakenings able to transform cultures.  There are fewer crisis war triggers among nuclear powers.  In merging turning theory, age theory and civilizations, you have to combine the wisdom of one perspective with the wisdom of others.

I think there is much validity still.  I have defended S&H orthodoxy against many who take it astray.  But it was a theory.  It was and remains not the only source of wisdom.  They missed some stuff.  Seeing your Industrial Age interpretation of crisis triggers applied to the Information Age situation I cringe.  Seeing you not count nukes as making major powers want to avoid crisis wars as much as have one in living memory is doubtful. 

It is a theory, susceptible to 'I see farther because I stand on the shoulders of giants.'  It is not something like a fundamentalist view of the Bible, fixed, absolute and unchanging.