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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 14-Aug-20 World View -- Mideast leaders split on Israel-UAE 'historic' peace agreement

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Mideast leaders split on Israel-UAE 'historic' peace agreement
  • Palestinians infuriated by UAE-Israel peace agreement
  • Text of the UAE-Israel peace agreement

****
**** Mideast leaders split on Israel-UAE 'historic' peace agreement
****


[Image: g200813b.jpg]
Egypt-Israel peace agreement handshake, on September 6, 1978, at Camp David. Left to right: Egypt's president Anwar Sadat, US president Jimmy Carter, Israel's prime minister Menachem Begin (CNN)

US President Donald Trump has mediated a peace agreement between
Israel and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) being described as
"historic," since the agreement will lead to normalization of
diplomatic relations between the two countries, for the first time.
They will exchange embassies and ambassadors, and cooperate in
numerous areas, including commerce, trade, security, anti-terrorism,
and health.

Historically, this is the third agreement between Israel and an Arab
country since Israel was created in 1948. In 1979, Egypt and Israel
signed a peace agreement between the two countries, and in 1994,
Jordan signed a peace agreement with Israel. Thus, the UAE becomes
the third country to take this step.

According to Trump, both Israel and UAE were anxious to reach this
agreement, because Israel and UAE are united in their opposition to
Iran. Trump said that the agreement only became possible because the
Trump administration backed out of the Iran nuclear deal, and because
Trump then developed personal relations of friendship with several
Arab nations, including Saudi Arabia.

A significant part of the new agreement is that Israel will suspend
plans to annex a portion of the West Bank occupied by Israeli
settlers. These plans to annex a portion of the West Bank have been
extremely controversial since they were announced several months ago.
This has infuriated Jewish settler organizations. David Elhayani,
head of the Yesha Council of settlers, said: "He deceived us. He has
deceived half a million residents of the area and hundreds of
thousands of voters."

Trump is claiming that this agreement is an important step on the path
to Mideast peace. This is political fantasy. The Palestinians are
not part of this deal, and they will not be in favor of it.

Another country that won't be happy will be Qatar. Qatar is still
under an air, sea and ground blockade by Sunni Arabia and UAE. The
blockade began in 2016, and attempts at mediation by Trump have
failed. However, the US has a large military naval base in Qatar, so
that relationship is important.

****
**** Palestinians infuriated by UAE-Israel peace agreement
****


As long-time readers know, the first Generational Dynamics analysis
that I posted was on May 1, 2003, when I predicted that President
George Bush's "Mideast Roadmap to Peace" peace plan would fail,
because the Jews and the Palestinians would be re-fighting the bloody
1948 war the followed the partitioning of Palestine and the creation
of the state of Israel. Since then, there have been several smaller
Mideast wars, with but there has been no sign of an acceptable peace
agreement. Indeed, I have said any number of times that the so-called
"two-state solution" is impossible.

So it's not surprising that Palestian leadership is denouncing this
agreement, and accusing the UAE of betrayal of the Palestinians, and
even of "stabbing them in the back." Palestinian president Mahmoud
Abbas's senior adviser said, "The Palestinian leadership rejects and
denounces the UAE, Israeli and US trilateral, surprising,
announcement."

A former deputy foreign minister of Iran tweeted:

<QUOTE>"UAE's new approach for normalizing ties w/fake,
criminal #Israel doesn't maintain peace & security, but serves
ongoing Zionists' crimes. Abu Dhabi behavior has no justification,
turning back on the Palestine cause. W/ that strategic mistake,
#UAE will be engulfed in Zionism fire.

— H.amirabdollahian (@Amirabdolahian) August 13,
2020"<END QUOTE>


Other Mideast leaders reacted as expected.

Jordan, Egypt, Bahrain and European countries endorsed the agreement
with varying levels of enthusiasm. At the very least, individual
spokesmen hoped that it would advance the "peace process." Saudi
Arabia has not commented on the agreement, but it's thought that the
UAE would not have taken this step without the Saudi's tacit approval.

As regular readers know, Generational Dynamics predicts that there is
an approaching Clash of Civilizations world war, pitting the "axis" of
China, Pakistan and the Sunni Muslim countries against the "allies,"
the US, India, Russia and Iran. Part of it will be a major new war
between Jews and Arabs, re-fighting the bloody the war of 1948-49 that
followed the partitioning of Palestine and the creation of the state
of Israel. The war between Jews and Arabs will be part of a major
regional war, pitting Sunnis versus Shias, Jews versus Arabs, and
various ethnic groups against each other.

****
**** Text of the UAE-Israel peace agreement
****


The following is the text of the agreement announced on Thursday:

<QUOTE>"Joint Statement of the United States, the State of
Israel, and the United Arab Emirates

President Donald J. Trump, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of
Israel, and Sheilch Mohammed Bin Zayed, Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi
and Deputy Supreme Commander of the United Arab Emirates spoke
today and agreed to the full normalization of relations between
Israel and the United Arab Emirates.

This historic diplomatic breakthrough will advance peace in the
Middle East region and is a testament to the bold diplomacy and
vision of the three leaders and the courage of the United Arab
Emirates and Israel to chart a new path that will unlock the great
potential in the region. All three countries face many common
challenges and will mutually benefit from today's historic
achievement.

Delegations from Israel and the United Arab Emirates will meet in
the coming weeks to sign bilateral agreements regarding
investment, tourism, direct flights, security, telecommunications,
technology, energy, healthcare, culture, the environment, the
establishment of reciprocal embassies, and other areas of mutual
benefit. Opening direct ties between two of the Middle East's most
dynamic societies and advanced economies will transform the region
by spurring economic growth, enhancing technological innovation,
and forging closer people-to-people relations.

As a result of this diplomatic breakthrough and at the request of
President Trump with the support of the United Arab Emirates,
Israel will suspend declaring sovereignty over areas outlined in
the President's Vision for Peace and focus its efforts now on
expanding ties with other countries in the Arab and Muslim
world. The United States, Israel and the United Arab Emirates are
confident that additional diplomatic breakthroughs with other
nations are possible, and will work together to achieve this goal.

The United Arab Emirates and Israel will immediately expand and
accelerate cooperation regarding the treatment of and the
development of a vaccine for the coronavirus. Working together,
these efforts will help save Muslim, Jewish, and Christian lives
throughout the region.

This normalization of relations and peaceful diplomacy will bring
together two of America's most reliable and capable regional
partners. Israel and the United Arab Emirates will join with the
United States to launch a Strategic Agenda for the Middle East to
expand diplomatic, trade, and security cooperation. Along with the
United States, Israel and the United Arab Emirates share a similar
outlook regarding the threats and opportunities in the region, as
well as a shared conimilment to promoting stability through
diplomatic engagement, increased economic integration, and closer
security coordination. Today's agreement will lead to better lives
for the peoples of the United Arab Emirates, Israel, and the
region.

The United States and Israel recall with gratitude the appearance
of the United Arab Emirates at the White House reception held on
January 28, 2020, at which President Trump presented his Vision
for Peace, and express their appreciation for United Arab
Emirates' related supportive statements. The parties will continue
their efforts in this regard to achieve a just, comprehensive and
enduring resolution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. As set
forth in the Vision for Peace, all Muslims who come in peace may
visit and pray at the Al Aqsa Mosque, and Jerusalem's other holy
sites should remain open for peaceful worshippers of all fifths.

Prime Minister Netanyahu and Crown Prince Sheilch Mohammed bin
Zayed Al Nahyan express their deep appreciation to President Trump
for his dedication to peace in the region and to the pragmatic and
unique approach he has taken to achieve it."<END QUOTE>


Sources:

Related articles:



KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Mideast, Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu,
Gaza, West Bank, Jerusalem, Jordan, Lebanon, Egypt,
Oman, Bahrain, United Arab Emirates, UAE, Mahmoud Abbas,
Iran, Qatar, Sheilch Mohammed Bin Zayed

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