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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 30-Aug-20 World View -- South China Sea: Vietnam prepares new lawsuit against China, as China launches missile barrage

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • South China Sea tensions soar after China launches missile barrage
  • Vietnam prepares new arbitration lawsuit against China
  • The path to war with China

****
**** South China Sea tensions soar after China launches missile barrage
****


[Image: g200829b.jpg]
U-2 spy plane (Reuters)

China's military launched a barrage of ballistic missiles into
the South China Sea on Tuesday, triggering a further escalation of
tensions between China and the United States.

China's state media said that they were DF-21D and DF-26 missiles,
which China developed specifically to target moving American aircraft
carriers, with the ability to adjust their path after launch to follow
the moving carrier. According to the Global Times, "China's DF-26 and
DF-21D are the world's first ballistic missiles capable of targeting
large and medium-sized vessels, earning them the title of 'aircraft
carrier killers.'"

The missile launches set off a flurry of statements on both sides.

According to a Pentagon statement:

<QUOTE>"Conducting military exercises over disputed territory
in the South China Sea is counterproductive to easing tensions and
maintaining stability. The PRC's [China's] actions, including
missile tests, further destabilize the situation in the South
China Sea."<END QUOTE>


According to Chinese military commentators:

<QUOTE>"This is China’s response to the potential risks
brought by the increasingly frequent incoming US warplanes and
military vessels in the South China Sea. China doesn’t want the
neighboring countries to misunderstand Beijing’s goals. ...

The US continues to test China’s bottom line in Taiwan and South
China Sea issues, and this pushed China to showcase its military
strength to let Washington know that even US aircraft carriers
cannot flex their full muscle near China’s coast."<END QUOTE>


The "incoming US warplanes and military vessels" phrase refers to an
American U-2 spy plane sent on Tuesday into an area illegally claimed
by China, and a Freedom of Navigation operation (FONO) by the US guided
missile destroyer USS Mustin near the Paracel Islands, which are
illegally claimed by China.

Laughably, when the FONO operation ended, the Chinese claimed that
they had driven the Mustin away:

<QUOTE>"The USS Mustin, a US Navy guided missile destroyer,
trespassed into the China's territorial waters in the [Paracel]
Islands on Thursday, and the [Chinese military] dispatched naval
and air forces to track, identify and warn it leave, said Senior
Colonel Li Huamin, a spokesperson.

The US ignored the rules of the international law, repeatedly
stirred up troubles in the South China Sea, exercised navigational
hegemony in the name of "freedom of navigation," seriously
undermined China's sovereignty and security interests, and
severely sabotaged the international navigation order in the South
China Sea, Li said.

China has undisputable sovereignty over the islands in the South
China Sea and their adjacent waters in the region, and the command
troops are always on high alert to resolutely protect national
sovereignty and safeguard peace and stability in the region of the
South China Sea, Li said."<END QUOTE>


You know, Dear Reader, writing these articles over the years, I've had
to deal with so many trolls, from China, Russia, Iran, Syria, and
elsewhere, and after a while one just gets tired of the bullshit.
China does not have "indisputable sovereignty" over the islands. They
have no sovereignty whatsoever. The US plus everyone in the region is
disputing it. Furthermore in July 2016, the United Nations Permanent
Court of Arbitration in The Hague ruled that China had no sovereignty,
and that its activities in the South China Sea are illegal.

Furthermore, the Chinese are highly contemptuous of international law
as it applies to them, but they demand that everyone else conform.

As I've said in the past, the Chinese are unique in a highly racist
way, as I described in my book, "War Between China and Japan." While
people in America consider themselves to be ordinary people who were
lucky enough to be born in the greatest nation in world history, the
Chinese Communists view themselves as the Master Race -- yellow race,
black hair, brown eyes, yellow skin -- and the rest of us as
barbarians. They see international law as a way to control us, the
barbarians. They'll sign an international agreement knowing that
they'll violate it at will, because they're the Master Race, and the
rest of us are just there to serve the Chinese.

Since completing my book on China and Japan, I've been working on a
book on the history of Vietnam. It's clear that nobody has a claim on
the South China Sea, but if anyone does, it's Vietnam. Vietnam's
Champa Kingdom, in particular, has been guardian of the sea for
centuries. The Chinese were never interested in it until Chiang
Kai-Shek, an admirer of Adolf Hitler, took an interest in it in 1947,
and decided to claim it just as Hitler had claimed Poland. Mao Zedong
continued to claim it for Communist China.

The whole claim has always been a hoax, based on one lie after
another. One of the biggest lies occurred at a September 25, 2015,
press conference on the White House lawn, where Xi Jinping blatantly
lied to President Barack Obama, saying that China had no intention to
militarize the South China Sea, at a time when China was already moving
rapidly to militarize the South China Sea. This was a significant lie
about a major military matter, and it shows that the thugs in
the Chinese Communist Party are never anything but trolls, even at
the top.

So now the Chinese are still claiming "indisputable sovereignty." After
a while, one just gets sick and tired of listening to all this crap
from the Chinese Communists.

The US retaliated on Wednesday with sanctions, blacklisting 24 Chinese
companies and individuals involved in China's illegal construction and
military actions in the South China Sea.

****
**** Vietnam prepares new arbitration lawsuit against China
****


The Association of Southeast Nations (ASEAN) has ten members: Brunei,
Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines,
Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam.

This association has always worked very hard not to anger China, which
means saying very little about China's illegal claims to the South
China Sea. In particular, very little is said at their meetings about
the 2016 victory by the Philippines at International Tribunal for the
Law of the Sea in the Hague. The ruling declared China's activities
in the South China Sea to be illegal.

However, positions have been hardening this year. The US and
Australia have already issued "notes verbales", or formal diplomatic
requests, to the United Nations, challenging China's claims to the
South China Sea, quoting the 2016 Tribunal ruling. Japan is taking
similar steps.

What's new is that several ASEAN states are also losing their fear
of angering China, and are issuing their own notes. These
include Malaysia, Philippines, Indonesia, Vietnam and Brunei.

In particular, Vietnam has been taking steps to file a new lawsuit
with International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea to reaffirm the
2016 decision for the Philippines, and provide additional support for
Vietnam's own claims. This would be politically explosive.

In July 2016, one day after the Hague Tribunal issued its ruling
against China, the Master Race's vice foreign minister Liu Zhenmin
said, "It is just a piece of waste paper. You may just chuck it in the
bin, leave it on the shelf, or put it in archives." Whether it's
China's 1984 agreement on Hong Kong, or China's commitments to
the World Trade Organization, or any other agreement, the
Chinese are contemptuous of all such agreements, and see their
only use as keeping the barbarians (the rest of us) under control.

****
**** The path to war with China
****


China has gotten away with that for decades, as the world kept hoping
that China would slowly turn a liberal democracy. Instead, each year
it's become more and more criminal.

As I'm working on my book on Vietnam, I have to point out one irony.
After the Vietnam war, Vietnam was a hardcore communist country
led by a fanatic, Le Duan. When he died in April 1986, the country
actually did open up and institute many reforms. It's far from
a liberal democracy today, but it has been moving in that direction.

The opposite is true in China. After the 1989 Tiananmen Square
massacre in 1989 and the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, the
Chinese Communist Party became paranoid, desperate and belligerent,
increasingly so every year.

Now the world is turning against China, especially after they seeded
hundreds of nations, apparently intentionally, with the Wuhan
Coronavirus, while controlling it with China itself. I've often said
that Mao Zedong's Great Leap Forward, which killed 50 million innocent
Chinese for nor reason at all, was the stupidest policy enacted by any
nation in the history of the world. But I may have to change that
opinion now that China has adopted an even stupider policy with regard
to the Wuhan Coronavirus.

So China is becoming increasingly belligerent every year, and the
Western nations are becoming increasingly hostile to China every
year. This has resulted in tit-for-tat confrontations that have
been escalating and will continue to escalate.

These escalating tit-for-tat escalations are exactly the path that
always leads to war. There's no way to stop this, given the
paranoia and desperation of the Chinese Communist thugs.

This past week, China's military launched four "carrier killer" missiles
into the South China Sea, in a "signal" to the United States. That's
just the next escalating step. Sooner or later, it will escalate
to full scale war.

Sources:

Related Articles:



KEYS: Generational Dynamics, China, South China Sea,
DF-21D, DF-26, U-2 spy plane, USS Mustin, Xi Jinping,
Association of Southeast Nations, ASEAN, Brunei,
Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines,
Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam, Japan, Australia,
International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea

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John J. Xenakis
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