09-20-2020, 11:37 AM
** 20-Sep-2020 World View: Military exercises - rehearsals on taking over Taiwan
The quotes from the Global Times reflect a major new increase in
tensions over Taiwan. The claims from Chinese media that the
aggressive military actions are "rehearsals on taking over Taiwan" are
quite credible, and suggest that there will be even more aggressive
military actions to come. Combined with other disputes (trade,
TikTok, Wuhan Coronavirus, etc.), tensions have been increasing
rapidly this year.
Referring back to my earlier post to Cool Breeze, this is another step
along the trend line of increasing belligerence, hostility,
nationalism, and xenophobia. Generational Dynamics has been
predicting for 15 years that this trend line will continue with
increased tensions (not level off or have reduced tensions), and the
continually increased tensions will be unsustainable. "If something
can't go on forever, then it won't."
That doesn't mean that war will begin next week, though it might. But
as I've said many times, war is absolutely certain, and it might begin
next week, next month, next year, or later.
Guest Wrote:> China is sending rockets over Taiwan and violating Taiwan's
> airspace. Also Chinese hacking activity is becoming more
> brazen. The Chinese don't seem to care if they are caught
> anymore. Also the Chinese are becoming more and aggressive in the
> South China Sea. Look at what they have done to Hong Kong. The
> mainland Chinese have always been boorish, but things are
> different now. It seems the mainlanders don't even pretend to be
> peaceful anymore. The mainlanders have also said that if American
> officials visit Taiwan on a trade mission, the Beijing gangsters
> will retaliate. This Friday...
guest Wrote:> Quote from Japan Times:
> In what observers said was a response to Krach’s three-day visit
> and increasing high-level U.S.-Taiwan meetings, China sent a total
> of 19 fighter jets, bombers and surveillance aircraft across the
> so-called median line dividing the Taiwan Strait for the second
> consecutive day Saturday. The warplanes entered Taiwan’s air
> defense identification zone, prompting Taipei to scramble fighters
> in response.
> Chinese state-run media lashed out at the visit by Krach, with the
> hawkish Global Times on Friday calling the military exercises
> “rehearsals on taking over Taiwan.”
> Late Saturday, Global Times editor Hu Xin wrote in a signed
> editorial that Beijing could respond to Washington’s moves with
> force.
> “If the U.S. and the island continue their collusion to secede the
> island from China, we believe that the (Chinese People’s
> Liberation Army) is resolute enough to launch cruise missiles over
> through the island, send fighter jets above the island to declare
> sovereignty, and carry out military drills there,” he wrote. “As a
> result, a new military construct will be formed in the Taiwan
> Straits.”
> https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2020/0...JPiO3YwQj7
The quotes from the Global Times reflect a major new increase in
tensions over Taiwan. The claims from Chinese media that the
aggressive military actions are "rehearsals on taking over Taiwan" are
quite credible, and suggest that there will be even more aggressive
military actions to come. Combined with other disputes (trade,
TikTok, Wuhan Coronavirus, etc.), tensions have been increasing
rapidly this year.
Referring back to my earlier post to Cool Breeze, this is another step
along the trend line of increasing belligerence, hostility,
nationalism, and xenophobia. Generational Dynamics has been
predicting for 15 years that this trend line will continue with
increased tensions (not level off or have reduced tensions), and the
continually increased tensions will be unsustainable. "If something
can't go on forever, then it won't."
That doesn't mean that war will begin next week, though it might. But
as I've said many times, war is absolutely certain, and it might begin
next week, next month, next year, or later.
