11-02-2020, 03:46 PM
** 02-Nov-2020 World View: Election polling
The polling situation is bizarre. The mainstream media polls are all
showing that Biden is ahead nationally, as well in the important
individual states, and so a Biden victory is almost certain.
Some of these polls show Trump very far behind. Trump himself is
calling these "suppression polls," saying that they're fake polls with
the purpose of discouraging Trump supporters from voting. However, it
seems to me that they would also discourage Biden supporters from
voting.
The Fox News poll also predicts a Biden victory. But some of the
analysts appearing on Fox News are saying that the mainstream polls
are fake, that they're over-counting Democrats, and that they're not
counting the "shy Trump voters," people who are afraid to say that
they're voting for Trump.
The principal pollster predicting a Trump victory is the Trafalgar
Group.
https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/
They claim to be the only pollsters who correctly predicted that Trump
would win in 2016, and that the mainstream pollsters are making the
same mistakes in their models as in 2016. I saw the head of the
Trafalgar Group on Fox News yesterday, and he actually laughed at the
mainstream polls and mocked them, and said that Trump is going to win.
I have no idea which side to believe, and with the mail-in ballot
chaos, we may not know for a few days or weeks, as each side is
sending armies of lawyers into each state, ready to argue over which
mail-in ballots are valid, and which are to be thrown out.
Xeraphim1 Wrote:> Here's the thing, most voters are low information and don't know
> very much about who the candidates actually are. For Democrats,
> they only pay attention to Big News which is fully in the bag for
> Biden. They are voting for an illusion which has been presented to
> them rather than an actual person. You can blame them for not
> doing any research, but who would really expect the sheer amount
> of lies and distortion coming out of the Corporate News? It's
> unprecedented.
The polling situation is bizarre. The mainstream media polls are all
showing that Biden is ahead nationally, as well in the important
individual states, and so a Biden victory is almost certain.
Some of these polls show Trump very far behind. Trump himself is
calling these "suppression polls," saying that they're fake polls with
the purpose of discouraging Trump supporters from voting. However, it
seems to me that they would also discourage Biden supporters from
voting.
The Fox News poll also predicts a Biden victory. But some of the
analysts appearing on Fox News are saying that the mainstream polls
are fake, that they're over-counting Democrats, and that they're not
counting the "shy Trump voters," people who are afraid to say that
they're voting for Trump.
The principal pollster predicting a Trump victory is the Trafalgar
Group.
https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/
They claim to be the only pollsters who correctly predicted that Trump
would win in 2016, and that the mainstream pollsters are making the
same mistakes in their models as in 2016. I saw the head of the
Trafalgar Group on Fox News yesterday, and he actually laughed at the
mainstream polls and mocked them, and said that Trump is going to win.
I have no idea which side to believe, and with the mail-in ballot
chaos, we may not know for a few days or weeks, as each side is
sending armies of lawyers into each state, ready to argue over which
mail-in ballots are valid, and which are to be thrown out.
