11-04-2020, 09:57 AM
** 04-Nov-2020 World View: Election
The vote counting has not yet determined who will be president, but
the Congress will be pretty much unchanged, which means that policies
will remain pretty much the same no matter who is president, which is
what I expect from a Generational Dynamics analysis, as I've said
recently and several times in the past.
The election appears to be a repudiation of Donald Trump's tweets,
which many people find offensive, and is a complete repudiation of the
loony left socialist agenda, which scared many people to death.
If Biden wins, the only major change will be in the rhetoric coming
out of Washington. But the policies will be largely the same,
changing only on the margins.
At least three issues remain from the campaign:
First, the antifa-blm fascists will not be satisfied with the
inconclusive results, and they'll almost certainly regroup and resume.
Second, the evidence of criminal behavior by the Biden family has
become enormous in the last month, and there's an official FBI
investigation, and Lindsey Graham will continue the investigation in
the Senate. If Biden becomes president, he will have to face a major
criminal scandal from day one of his presidency.
Third, there are serious concerns about Biden's competency, given that
he has exhibited signs of dementia. These concerns will continue if
he has to govern.
There are two major Generational Dynamics predictions that are unchanged.
First, the size of the global debt bubble continues to grow uncontrollably.
We don't know when that bubble will burst, but we can say for certain
that it will burst when everyone least expects it, and cause a massive
international financial crisis.
"If something can't go on forever, then it won't."
Second, the Chinese Communists continue to become increasingly
nationalistic and belligerent in several places -- on the border with
India, in the South China Sea, against Taiwan, against Japan, against
Russia's Far East, and elsewhere. At some point, someone will do
something stupid and that will lead to a major war. We don't know
when that will happen, but we can say for certain that a conflict will
break out when everyone least expects it, and cause a major war.
One interesting issue is that China, Iran, and other countries are
holding off on various actions pending the results of the American
election. It will be interesting to see what happens when the
election is finally decided.
The vote counting has not yet determined who will be president, but
the Congress will be pretty much unchanged, which means that policies
will remain pretty much the same no matter who is president, which is
what I expect from a Generational Dynamics analysis, as I've said
recently and several times in the past.
The election appears to be a repudiation of Donald Trump's tweets,
which many people find offensive, and is a complete repudiation of the
loony left socialist agenda, which scared many people to death.
If Biden wins, the only major change will be in the rhetoric coming
out of Washington. But the policies will be largely the same,
changing only on the margins.
At least three issues remain from the campaign:
First, the antifa-blm fascists will not be satisfied with the
inconclusive results, and they'll almost certainly regroup and resume.
Second, the evidence of criminal behavior by the Biden family has
become enormous in the last month, and there's an official FBI
investigation, and Lindsey Graham will continue the investigation in
the Senate. If Biden becomes president, he will have to face a major
criminal scandal from day one of his presidency.
Third, there are serious concerns about Biden's competency, given that
he has exhibited signs of dementia. These concerns will continue if
he has to govern.
There are two major Generational Dynamics predictions that are unchanged.
First, the size of the global debt bubble continues to grow uncontrollably.
We don't know when that bubble will burst, but we can say for certain
that it will burst when everyone least expects it, and cause a massive
international financial crisis.
"If something can't go on forever, then it won't."
Second, the Chinese Communists continue to become increasingly
nationalistic and belligerent in several places -- on the border with
India, in the South China Sea, against Taiwan, against Japan, against
Russia's Far East, and elsewhere. At some point, someone will do
something stupid and that will lead to a major war. We don't know
when that will happen, but we can say for certain that a conflict will
break out when everyone least expects it, and cause a major war.
One interesting issue is that China, Iran, and other countries are
holding off on various actions pending the results of the American
election. It will be interesting to see what happens when the
election is finally decided.
