Generational Dynamics World View

[John J. Xenakis]

** 11-Nov-2020 World View: A harsh new turning point in Hong Kong

Hong Kong's pro-democracy legislators have resigned en masse
from Hong Kong's Legislative Council (LegCo), after China took
a major new step to bring Hong Kong under full dictatorial control,
making the Legislative Council pretty much worthless and irrelevant.

On Wednesday, China disqualified four "pro-democracy activists" from
Hong Kong's Legislative Council (LegCo), as the immediate consequence
of imposing a new law disqualifying anyone supporting anything from a
list of "unpatriotic" views. This prompted the en masse
resignation of the 15 remaining pro-democracy legislators.

The law applies to anyone who supports independence, refuses to
recognise Beijing’s sovereignty over Hong Kong, seeks help from
"foreign countries or foreign forces to interfere in the affairs of
the region" or commits "other acts that endanger national security."

Pro-Beijing lawmaker Regina Ip explained why the new law, disqualifying
pro-democracy lawmakers, was in reality a benefit to democracy
in Hong Kong:

Quote: "They cannot be just democrats in name. They have to
not only embrace true democratic values in the sense of respecting
the rule of law and the rights of other people with whom they
disagree, they also have to respect the sovereignty, security of
our country.

They have been opposing everything that has to do with the nation,
whether it is national security, national education, national
anthem, co-location... anything to do with integration with the
nation. Hong Kong being part of China, this sort of position is
not viable."

One of the "unpatriotic" acts is filibustering, according to another
pro-Beijing lawmaker Martin Liao:

Quote: "We've been wasting a lot of time dealing with
filibustering by the pan-dems. If the atmosphere in Legco can be
more quiet, I think the establishment parties and members can
really monitor, look into the government policy, public policy and
legislation a lot more carefully and more critical about
it."

It's been obvious for years that the "One Country, Two Systems" concept
would not last. China's National Security Law, passed in
June of last year, pretty much killed it off, and the new
disqualification law is just beating on a dead body.

This has been an objective of Xi Jinping rose to power in 2011. In
2013, the CCP issued "Document Number 9" which listed evil "anti-China
forces," such as democracy, human rights, civil society,
neoliberalism, and a free press. In particular, the CCP considers
democracy to be not a method of government, but a Western ideology
designed to destroy Chinese Communism. At the time the document was
issued, it was believed that Xi Jinping wanted it particularly to be
used to target Hong Kong, and indeed it has.

The following is speculative, based on the timing of Wednesday's
actions, one week after the American election. I can't predict
what the CCP is going to do, except that I know that they do
one stupid thing after another, thanks to their dictatorship which
forbids criticism, even of the stupidest decisions. Some historical
examples are Mao's Great Leap Forward, which needlessly killed 50
million innocent Chinese and destroyed China's economy for decades,
and the 1989 Tiananmen Square massacre disaster.

So now we speculate on the timing of the next major stupid thing that
the CCP will do. We know that the CCP plans a military invasion of
Taiwan, because they've said so many times. We know that for years,
they were trying to charm the Taiwanese by telling them they would get
the same wonderful "One Country, Two Systems" deal as in Hong Kong.
That whole charm offensive is now dead, and in fact is backfiring,
since the Taiwanese are watching Hong Kong and know that China has the
same plans for Taiwan.

We can be certain that China plans an invasion of Taiwan, because
they've said so, and we can speculate on the timing. The new Hong
Kong crackdown means that there is no longer any pretense. The
speculation is that the harsh Hong Kong crackdown is a signal that the
timing of the Taiwan invasion is imminent. If it's not imminent, then
the invasion still has to occur sometime, and the CCP thugs know that
they can't wait forever.


John Xenakis is author of: "World View: War Between China and Japan:
Why America Must Be Prepared" (Generational Theory Book Series, Book
2), June 2019
Paperback: 331 pages, over 200 source references, $13.99
https://www.amazon.com/World-View-Betwee...732738637/

***
*** Sources:
***

-- Hong Kong opposition lawmakers all quit after four members ousted
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/n...ition-oust
(Guardian, London, 11-Nov-2020)

-- Only patriots will govern Hong Kong, says Beijing
https://news.rthk.hk/rthk/en/component/k...angeable=0
(Radio Television Hong Kong, RTHK, 11-Nov-2020)

-- Hong Kong / Pan-dems have only themselves to blame: Regina Ip
https://news.rthk.hk/rthk/en/component/k...htm (Radio
Television Hong Kong, RTHK, 11-Nov-2020)

-- China has completed its takeover of Hong Kong’s legislature
https://qz.com/1931705/china-exerts-its-...e-council/
(Quartz, 11-Nov-2020)

-- Document Number 9: A ChinaFile Translation
https://www.chinafile.com/document-9-chi...ChinaFile,
22-Apr-2013)

-- Hong Kong gov’t ousts four democratically-elected lawmakers from
legislature
https://hongkongfp.com/2020/11/11/breaki...gislature/
(HongKongFP, 11-Nov-2020)

-- Hong Kong: Snitch hotline gets more than 1,000 calls
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-chin...-Nov-2020)

***
*** Related articles
***

** 26-Oct-19 World View -- Mike Pence harshly criticizes China as US bans Chinese surveillance equipment
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e191026


** 27-Jan-19 World View -- George Soros speech at Davos marks significant global shift against China
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e190127