12-16-2020, 12:51 PM
** 16-Dec-2020 World View: False dystopic predictions
No one would accuse me of being a Pollyanna, with predictions of a
global financial crisis and WW III, but there seem to be an increasing
number of dystopic predictions being made that have no basis in
reality or history.
Let's start with the incipient war between Latinos and blacks.
Several people in this forum have complained that unlike the
antifa-blm violence, violence between Latinos and blacks is being
ignored by the media.
I've been doing some research, and it's true that there is a great
deal of hatred from Latinos directed at blacks (and also at whites),
but there is no organized violence as in the case of antifa-blm
violence. The violence by Latinos is, as far as I can tell, sporadic
street violence by Latino street gangs (as in West Side Story).
That would explain why there's almost no media coverage of Latino
violence. The antifa-blm fascist violence was massive, in multiple
cities across the country, violently attacking people and burning down
minority businesses, including businesses owned by Latinos, which has
infuriated the Latino community. That news was censored by the
Democrats and the mainstream press, but it's important news and was
thoroughly covered by Fox News and non-Democrat controlled media.
However, the Latino violence does not rise to that level. Street
gangs have been around for decades, just like blacks murdering blacks
on the streets of Chicago, but none of that is considered important or
novel enough for coverage, even by Fox News.
Some people have been predicting a major civil war between Latinos and
blacks or between Latinos and whites. As I've previously indicated, I
was concerned about that myself during the Latino street marches in
2006, but those activities have fizzled.
So in response to these predictions: There is evidence of a great deal
of Latino hatred directed at blacks, and there is evidence of sporadic
Latino gang violence directed at blacks, but there is no evidence of
massive violence anywhere comparable to the massive antifa-blm fascist
violence of the last few months. That would explain why there has
been no systematic media coverage of Latino-black violence.
***
*** Other dystopic predictions
***
Here are some religion-based predictions that I've seen in the
Generational Dynamics forum, in the media, in e-mail, or in news
reports:
The above dystopic predictions are based on religious beliefs that
have no historical support at all.
Here are the two major Generational Dynamics predictions:
You do not have to "believe" in Generational Dynamics or any religion
to consider these predictions valid.
There were two world wars in the last century, plus massive additional
wars on several continents, and there have been massive wars in every
region in every century for millennia. So it's 100% certain that
there will be multiple crisis wars in this century.
If you don't believe that, then you must believe in your own religion
-- that the problem of war has been "solved." Maybe you'd be like the
believers in the historial fantasy in 1929 when the US led the world
in signing the Kellogg-Briand Pact, which outlawed war and made war
illegal. Frank Kellogg earned the Nobel Peace Prize in 1929 for his
work on the Peace Pact. Maybe Xi Jinping is looking forward to
getting his own Nobel Peace Prize.
It's like "La Belle Époque." There were two world wars in the last
century, plus massive wars on every continent, and there have been
massive wars on every continent in every century for millennia, but
everyone believes their own fantasies and nobody believes that war is
even possible until it starts. Then they ruefully wish that they had
taken even some simple steps to prepare.
https://www.thoughtco.com/the-belle-epoq...ge-1221300
So the prediction of multiple world wars and crisis wars does not
require any religious belief. It is based entirely on millennia of
history, and the "religious" belief would be that there would be no
world wars.
The prediction of a global financial crisis is, once again, based on
millennia of history. You don't have to believe in any religion to
recognize a series of international bubbles and financial crises that
occurred at regular intervals: the 1637 Tulipomania bubble, the South
Sea bubble of the 1710s-20s, the bankruptcy of the French monarchy in
the 1789, the Panic of 1857, and the 1929 Wall Street crash. We're now
overdue for the next one. If you don't like those examples, there are
plenty of other examples that you can research in every country in
every century throughout history.
Once again, for you to believe that there won't be a global financial
crisis then you'd have to have a "religious" belief that global
interlocking debt can increase indefinitely. There actually is a
religion that holds this belief. That religion is called Modern
Monetary Theory (MMT), which says that an infinite amount of money can
be printed and debt can be accumulated, and it will never have to be
paid back. This is a great religion, but it has no basis in reality,
or in history.
However, I would like to commend "tim", whose predictions have been
consistent with history and reality.
No one would accuse me of being a Pollyanna, with predictions of a
global financial crisis and WW III, but there seem to be an increasing
number of dystopic predictions being made that have no basis in
reality or history.
Let's start with the incipient war between Latinos and blacks.
Several people in this forum have complained that unlike the
antifa-blm violence, violence between Latinos and blacks is being
ignored by the media.
I've been doing some research, and it's true that there is a great
deal of hatred from Latinos directed at blacks (and also at whites),
but there is no organized violence as in the case of antifa-blm
violence. The violence by Latinos is, as far as I can tell, sporadic
street violence by Latino street gangs (as in West Side Story).
That would explain why there's almost no media coverage of Latino
violence. The antifa-blm fascist violence was massive, in multiple
cities across the country, violently attacking people and burning down
minority businesses, including businesses owned by Latinos, which has
infuriated the Latino community. That news was censored by the
Democrats and the mainstream press, but it's important news and was
thoroughly covered by Fox News and non-Democrat controlled media.
However, the Latino violence does not rise to that level. Street
gangs have been around for decades, just like blacks murdering blacks
on the streets of Chicago, but none of that is considered important or
novel enough for coverage, even by Fox News.
Some people have been predicting a major civil war between Latinos and
blacks or between Latinos and whites. As I've previously indicated, I
was concerned about that myself during the Latino street marches in
2006, but those activities have fizzled.
So in response to these predictions: There is evidence of a great deal
of Latino hatred directed at blacks, and there is evidence of sporadic
Latino gang violence directed at blacks, but there is no evidence of
massive violence anywhere comparable to the massive antifa-blm fascist
violence of the last few months. That would explain why there has
been no systematic media coverage of Latino-black violence.
***
*** Other dystopic predictions
***
Here are some religion-based predictions that I've seen in the
Generational Dynamics forum, in the media, in e-mail, or in news
reports:
- Christianity: Imminent second coming of Jesus Christ as the
Messiah.
- Buddhism: The Maitreya -- that a new Buddha is to appear on earth,
and will achieve complete enlightenment.
- Shia Islam: The return of the 12th Imam as the messiah to avenge
injustices to the Shia.
- Climate Change: End of humanity through drowning or burning or
freezing or whatever.
- Attacks by aliens from flying saucers.
The above dystopic predictions are based on religious beliefs that
have no historical support at all.
Here are the two major Generational Dynamics predictions:
- World War III, most likely with China.
- Global financial crisis.
You do not have to "believe" in Generational Dynamics or any religion
to consider these predictions valid.
There were two world wars in the last century, plus massive additional
wars on several continents, and there have been massive wars in every
region in every century for millennia. So it's 100% certain that
there will be multiple crisis wars in this century.
If you don't believe that, then you must believe in your own religion
-- that the problem of war has been "solved." Maybe you'd be like the
believers in the historial fantasy in 1929 when the US led the world
in signing the Kellogg-Briand Pact, which outlawed war and made war
illegal. Frank Kellogg earned the Nobel Peace Prize in 1929 for his
work on the Peace Pact. Maybe Xi Jinping is looking forward to
getting his own Nobel Peace Prize.
It's like "La Belle Époque." There were two world wars in the last
century, plus massive wars on every continent, and there have been
massive wars on every continent in every century for millennia, but
everyone believes their own fantasies and nobody believes that war is
even possible until it starts. Then they ruefully wish that they had
taken even some simple steps to prepare.
https://www.thoughtco.com/the-belle-epoq...ge-1221300
So the prediction of multiple world wars and crisis wars does not
require any religious belief. It is based entirely on millennia of
history, and the "religious" belief would be that there would be no
world wars.
The prediction of a global financial crisis is, once again, based on
millennia of history. You don't have to believe in any religion to
recognize a series of international bubbles and financial crises that
occurred at regular intervals: the 1637 Tulipomania bubble, the South
Sea bubble of the 1710s-20s, the bankruptcy of the French monarchy in
the 1789, the Panic of 1857, and the 1929 Wall Street crash. We're now
overdue for the next one. If you don't like those examples, there are
plenty of other examples that you can research in every country in
every century throughout history.
Once again, for you to believe that there won't be a global financial
crisis then you'd have to have a "religious" belief that global
interlocking debt can increase indefinitely. There actually is a
religion that holds this belief. That religion is called Modern
Monetary Theory (MMT), which says that an infinite amount of money can
be printed and debt can be accumulated, and it will never have to be
paid back. This is a great religion, but it has no basis in reality,
or in history.
However, I would like to commend "tim", whose predictions have been
consistent with history and reality.
