09-06-2021, 08:57 PM
*** 7-Sep-21 World View -- Taliban declares total victory in Afghanistan
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** Taliban declares total victory in Afghanistan
****
![[Image: g210906b.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g210906b.jpg)
Women's demonstration in Mazar-i-Sharif, Afghanistan, on 6-Sept (Reuters)
The Taliban have announced that they're in total control of
Afghanistan, now that they've won the last battle, the clash in
Panjshir Valley. It's not clear that this is true. The Taliban have
cut off electricity and communications to the Panjshir Valley, so it's
impossible to read what's going on. I'll discuss the Panjshir Valley
below.
Separately, there's already a potential hostage crisis in progress,
with the Taliban preventing Americans from leaving Mazar-i-Sharif
airport. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken is negotiating with the
Taliban to obtain safe passage. But as of this writing, the situation
is unclear.
The situation in Afghanistan is extremely complex. It's very hard to
provide a politically balanced exposition, since the evacuation was
clearly a disaster. Even many Democrats agree. I'm going to quote
from different, sometimes conflicting media sources, in order to sort
the issues out.
****
**** Afghanistan view: Biden administration and mainstream media
****
The view held by president Joe Biden, the Democrats, the
administration and by the left-wing mainstream media (CNN, MSNBC, CBS
news, etc.) is that the Afghanistan problem has now ended, and that
it's time to move on.
Biden says that the evacuation ws an "extraordinary success." He says
that he was handed an existing agreement that the Taliban had made
with former president Donald Trump, and that he had to implement it as
best as he could. He admits that only 90% of the Americans and Afghan
allies had been evacuated, leaving 10% behind, but he says that any
large historical evacuation has always been chaotic and had always
left people behind.
The Biden administration has been downplaying the problem. They
insist that only 100 or 200 Americans are left behind, and many of
those have families in Afghanistan and didn't want to leave.
In fact, the mainstream media are cooperating with the desire of the
administration to turn the page. MSNBC and CNN sometimes aggressively
covered the Afghan evacuation prior to 30-Aug, but since then,
coverage on those channels has fallen off a cliff, and typically the
Afghan was is never even mentioned.
The Biden administration now wants to turn the page back to the $1.3
trillion infrastructure bill that has passed in the Senate, but is
being held up in the house, and the $3.5 trillion "human
infrastructure" bill, which is an ill-defined collection of spending
on Democrat cronies, including labor unions, teachers unions,
debt-ridden Democrat states, and social services organizations.
****
**** Afghanistan view: Republicans, Conservatives and Fox News
****
The decision to "end the war" is overwhelmingly popular, but many
people believe that the evacuation was botched and America was
defeated, betrayed and forced to surrender. In particular, Bagram
airbase should not have been closed as the first act of the
evacuation. The result was that billions of dollars in advanced
American weapons have been left behind, as have hundreds, thousands,
or tens of thousands (depending on the report) of Americans and Afghan
allies have been left behind. Republicans say that people should have
been evacuated first, then weapons, and then Bagram could be closed.
Republicans refer to a newly leaked transcript of a phone call between
Joe Biden and Afghanistan President Ashraf Ghani on July 23, when
Biden said, "And there is a need, whether it is true or not, there is
a need to project a different picture." Soon after, Ghani fled the
country.
Many Republicans -- and many Democrats, especially veterans -- say
that Biden not only botched the evacuation but has betrayed America
and the veterans who fought in that war for 20 years, by letting the
Taliban take over as if we were back in 2001.
The Republicans point out that Biden's approval rating has crashed
from 60% a few months ago to 43% now.
A particularly bitter complaint is the number of Americans and Afghan
allies that have been left behind, and mostly ignored, and by the
repeated Administration lies about the number of these. As recently
as August 19 Biden said in an interview, "If there are American
citizens left, we're gonna stay till we get them all out." He said
the same was true of Afghan allies. It's believed that Biden never
had any intention of fulfilling this promise, since he wants to make a
grand "Mission Accomplished!" speech on 11-Sep-2021.
A separate issue for conservatives is that Afghan refugees are coming
into the country without being properly vetted. This subject will be
debated in the coming weeks.
****
**** Afghanistan view: The British, European and BBC view
****
The BBC receives a great deal of funding from NPR, so it normally just
repeats the same Democrat talking points as CNN and MSNBC.
However, this situation is different, because the British and
Europeans also feel completely betrayed. In fact, the mission in
Afghanistan was actually a NATO mission, and Biden made a unilateral
decision without even consulting NATO or any European leaders. So
neither NATO nor the individual countries had time to evacuate their
own troops or their citizens.
The result was that countries like Britain, France, Italy and Germany
each left behind a thousand or more citizens. The future of Nato
itself is in doubt.
Once Kabul fell to the Taliban, and Biden blamed it on the Afghan
government, criticism from Europe was sharp.
Tom Tugendhat, Tory chair of foreign affairs committee said:
<QUOTE>"To see their commander-in-chief [the US president,
Joe Biden] call into question the courage of men I fought with
– to claim that they ran – is shameful. Those who have not fought
for the colours they fly should be careful about criticising those
who have.
I leave the house with one image. In the year that I was
privileged to be the adviser to the governor of Helmand, we opened
girls’ schools. The joy it gave parents to see their little girls
going to school was extraordinary ...
The second image is one that the forever war that has just
reignited could lead to. It is the image of a man whose name I
never knew, carrying a child who had died hours earlier into our
firebase and begging for help. There was nothing we could do. It
was over. That is what defeat looks like; it is when you no longer
have the choice of how to help. This does not need to be defeat,
but at the moment it damn well feels like it."<END QUOTE>
Labor MP Dan Jarvis said the following:
<QUOTE>"Many of us who served in Afghanistan have a deep bond
of affection for the Afghan people, and I had the honour of
serving alongside them in Helmand. We trained together, fought
together and, in some cases, died together. They were our brothers
in arms. I shudder to think where those men are now. Many will be
dead, and I know others now consider themselves to be dead men
walking. Where were we in their hour of need? We were
nowhere. That is shameful, and it will have a very long-lasting
impact on Britain’s reputation right around the
world."<END QUOTE>
Norbert Röttgen, chairman of the German parliament’s foreign relations
committee and a senior member of Chancellor Angela Merkel’s Christian
Democrats, said:
<QUOTE>"I say this with a heavy heart and with horror over
what is happening, but the early withdrawal was a serious and
far-reaching miscalculation by the current administration. This
does fundamental damage to the political and moral credibility of
the West."<END QUOTE>
A number of European politicians are discussing the creation of a
European Rapid Reaction Force.
The UK and the EU have said that when the Taliban announce their new
government, there will be "operational engagement" with the new
government, but they will not recognize it until it's "stable."
They are particularly concerned that girls and women "will be erased
from life." The BBC already reports stories of rape, forced
marriages.
****
**** Afghanistan view: Qatar and Al-Jazeera
****
As a Muslim country, Qatar is much more sympathetic to the Taliban
than the West is.
Al-Jazeera has a very different view of the Afghanistan problem:
refugees.
Al-Jazeera is headquartered in Doha, Qatar's capital city, and is
funded by Qatar's monarchy.
Qatar has friendly relations with the Taliban, and Qatar also has
friendly relations with the United States and the West. Qatar hosts a
major American naval base. So I understand that al-Jazeera Arabic has
been cheering for the Taliban. Of course, I watch al-Jazeera English,
which is much more guarded.
Qatar is playing a pivotal role in Afghanistan's relationship with the
United States. The thousands of Americans and Afghans that were
evacuated from Afghanistan were first transited through Doha, before
going on to other destinations. Qatar's government cooperated by
providing hotel rooms and the essentials of food and medical
treatment. The housing planned for the 2022 FIFA World Cup (soccer)
contests next year is being used.
Since 30-Aug, the Qataris have taken on another important role. With
the Americans gone, Kabul's airport was no longer operational for
commercial use. The Qataris and the Turks are sending technicians to
Kabul to make the airport operational. I understand that there's a
dispute about who will operate the airport, once it's operational.
Al-Jazeera has been reporting heavily on the refugee issue.
****
**** Potential flood of refugees into Central Asia and Europe
****
The issue that may be very explosive in 2022 is a potential flood of
hundreds of thousands of Afghan refugees. The size of this flood will
depend on the depth of the growing humanitarian disaster and the
growing violence by the Taliban against people in the Tajik, Hazara
and Uzbek ethnic groups that formed the backbone of the Northern
Alliance that fought against the Taliban in the 1990s civil war.
Europeans still have sharp memories of the millions of refugees that
flooded into Europe in 2015 and 2016. Those were mostly Syrian
refugees, but a large percentage were Afghans. Now many Afghan
refugees are once again crossing borders, hoping to find a better life
in the European Union.
The flood of refugees was only slowed in 2016 when the EU reached an
agreement to pay Turkey a great deal of money to host millions of
refugees.
The EU is looking for ways to prevent a new refugee crisis. Greece is
strengthening its border wall with Turkey. EU negotiators are
desperately trying to reach agreements to pay other countries to host
a potential flood of Afghan refugees. Turkey has already said it
wants no more refugees. Central Asian countries -- Tajikistan,
Uzbekistan -- are closing their borders and, so far, are rebuffing EU
offers to pay for housing of refugees.
According to the United Nations, Afghanistan is facing a looming
humanitarian disaster. Even before the evacuation, Afghanistan's
economy was in severe trouble, with a severe drought going on, but now
the economy and the currency are collapsing. In addition, the entire
health system is near collapse. According to a United Nations
spokesman, "One in three Afghans do not know where their next meal
will come from. Nearly half of all children under the age of 5 are
predicted to be acutely malnourished in the next 12 months."
The United Nations has warned that up to half a million Afghans could
flee the country by the end of the year and has called on neighbouring
countries to keep their borders open. The current crisis comes on top
of the 2.2 million Afghan refugees already in neighboring countries
and 3.5 million people forced to flee their homes within Afghanistan's
borders.
The UN says that more than 600,000 Afghans were displaced this year,
80% of which are women and children. But with the growing
humanitarian crisis, it's possible that millions more will become
refugees in the next year.
Other countries are helping out. Uganda, Mexico, Colombia and Rwanda
are temporarily hosting Afghan refugees.
Belarus, arguably the worst country in Europe, is weaponizing
refugees. They're inviting refugees into the country, and then
transporting them across the border into Poland.
****
**** Pakistan and refugees fleeing Afghan Taliban
****
Pakistan's government has denied years of accusations that it was
funding the Afghan Taliban. However, the accusations have really been
directed at Pakistan's extremely powerful intelligence agency, the
Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) agency, which is known to fund
terrorist organizations in Afghanistan and India, and to have
protected Osama bin Laden when he was hiding out in Pakistan.
Pakistan was formerly part of the British empire, and so the people in
the government, the agencies, and the élite almost always speak
English. Among rural citizens, Punjabi and Sinhi are most widely
spoken. In Afghanistan, most people speak Dari (Afghan variant of
Persian), while the majority Pashtun ethnic group speak Pashto. So
there is no particular advantage to other ethnic groups besides the
Pashtuns to flee to Pakistan.
Nonetheless, Pakistan is the first country of choice for many
displaced Pakistanis, especially Pashtuns. However, Pakistan has
closed its borders with Afghanistan because it already hosts three
million Afghan refugees and refuses to take more because of its own
ravaged economy.
In 2020, Pakistan and Iran saw the highest numbers of Afghanistan's
refugees and asylum seekers. Almost 1.5 million fled to Pakistan in
2020, while Iran hosted 780,000, according to UNHCR figures.
Furthermore, Pakistan has its own Pakistan Taliban (Tehrik-e-Taliban
or TTP), different than the Afghan Taliban, that has conducted
numerous violent terrorist attacks in Pakistan. The TTP has been
opposed to the Afghan government for the last 20 years, but with the
return of the Taliban government, the TTP is pledging allegiance to
the Afghan Taliban.
According to analyst Walid Phares, the combined Afghan Taliban and TTP
would like would like to take over all of Pakistan. Among other
things, this would give them control of nuclear weapons.
Pakistan's government has expressed concerns that some TTP terrorists
were let out of jail by the Taliban.
****
**** Battle of Panjshir Valley
****
The Taliban leadership promised that once the American forces were
withdrawn, the Taliban would stop fighting and would govern
peacefully. Nobody seriously believes any Taliban promises, but this
one was broken instantly. As soon as the last American left, Taliban
forces moved hundreds of fighters to subdue the Panjshir Valley.
Panjshir Valley has an almost mythical quality. When the Soviet Union
invaded in the 1980s, and when the Taliban attacked during the 1990s,
the Panjshir Valley was not conquered. The people of Panjshir Valley
are Tajiks. The valley itself is surrounded by high mountains, and
there is only one road used as an entrance and one road used as an
exit. The Soviets attacked from the air, but were defeated when their
helicopters were shot down with missiles. In the 1990s, the Taliban
were defeated by blockading the entrance and exit roads. The Panjshir
Valley was supported by the Americans against the Soviets, and by
Central Asians against the Pashtuns.
In the 1990s, Panjshir Valley was the stronghold of the Northern
Alliance, fighting the Taliban. Today, it's the stronghold of the
National Resistance Front of Afghanistan (NRF), once again fighting
against the Taliban.
There have been heavy clashes during the last week between the Taliban
and the National Resistance Front of Afghanistan (NRF) in Panjshir
Valley, with both sides claiming to have the upper hand.
This time, the Taliban have several advantages that they didn't have
during the 1990s. First, they have a huge multi-billion stash of
advanced weaponry that the Americans left behind, and those weapons
are being used to attack the NRF. Second, the NRF does not have any
foreign support, as it did in the past.
The Taliban have already cut off electricity and all communications to
the valley. If the the clashes continue, they can impose a full
siege, depriving the value of food and fuel, crippling their ability
to fight.
****
**** The Taliban, Haqqani Network, Al-Qaeda and ISIS-K
****
Joe Biden said at once point that America had no further interest in
Afghanistan because al-Qaeda was gone. This claim was considered by
almost everyone to be outrageous. It's hard to guess whether that was
a lie, or because he had no idea, but no one ever seriously believed
that al-Qaeda was gone.
Biden's remark was particularly shocking in retrospect, after ISIS-K
caused a massive explosion at Kabul airport, killing 13 American
forces and hundreds of Afghans.
Al-Qaeda is deeply embedded in the Taliban and the Haqqani network,
which has historical ties to Pakistan’s powerful Inter-Services
Intelligence (ISI) spy agency, though Pakistan denies that.
The fear now is that Afghanistan next year will become a cauldron of
international terrorism. The international jihadists networks are
thrilled and excited that the Taliban have humiliated and defeated the
Great Satan, the United States. There have already been reports of
jihadists from Syria and northern Africa going to Afghanistan to join
up with other jihadists and to receive training. This had led a
number of people to conclude that it will be necessary for American
forces to re-enter Afghanistan, possibly next year.
****
**** Is this the end of the war in Afghanistan?
****
When Saigon was evacuated in 1975, it was claimed that the Vietnam War
"was over," something that continues to be believed today, even though
nothing can be further from the truth, as I described in my book
"Vietnam, Buddhism, and the Vietnam War," published earlier this year.
Once Saigon fell to the Communists, the war was completely over for
most Americans. But that wasn't true for the Vietnamese people. They
knew what was going to happen because they'd seen it all before,
especially in 1954 when the evacuation of French forces led to
massacres of Catholics and other "pro-French" civilians in North
Vietnam, forcing almost a million of them to flee to South Vietnam.
Now that the North Vietnamese Communists were going to take over
Saigon, they knew that they would probably have to flee again.
The new Communist government in Saigon acted in a very brutal way,
using policies that they had learned from Communist China. There were
harsh "re-education programs," as there are still in Communist China
today. The peasants had their land taken from them and collectivized
into state farms, as in China's disastrous Great Leap Forward, with
similar results.
North Vietnam sent administrators to Saigon to establish a new regime.
Officials in the defeated government were killed, and hundreds of
thousands of people were sent to concentration camps, ostensibly to
re-educate them to live in a socialist society. A system of
registering the population was instituted to ensure that those whose
families had supported the Second Republic were penalized by denial of
employment, education, and food rations.
There was a massive exodus of refugees, and they became known as the
"Vietnamese Boat People." Experts estimate that up to 1.5 million
refugees escaped but a high estimate of 10 percent died from drowning,
piracy, dehydration, or otherwise never made landfall.
The point of remembering that history of "the end of the Vietnam War"
is that the Vietnam War was not over in 1975, and the Afghanistan war
is not over today.
Afghanistan's last generational crisis war was an extremely bloody,
horrific civil war, in 1991-96. The war was a civil war, fought
between the Pashtuns in southern Afghanistan versus the Northern
Alliance of Tajiks, Hazaras and Uzbeks in northern Afghanistan.
As I've written many times before, the ethnic groups in Afghanistan
are COMPLETELY NON-UNITED and loathe each other. Pashtuns still have
scores to settle with the Tajiks, Hazaras and Uzbeks that formed the
Northern Alliance, especially the Shias. These opposing groups have
fresh memories of the atrocities, torture, rape, beatings,
dismemberments, mutilations, and so forth that the other side
performed on their friends, wives and other family members, and they
have no desire to be friends or to work together. They'd rather kill
each other.
The media-savvy Taliban spokesmen are promising a kinder, gentler
"Taliban 2.0" that will govern wisely and will respect women and
girls, allowing them to go to school and work. That this is nonsense
is made clear by the Vietnam example.
It's even worse, because the North Vietnamese were relatively
disciplined, but the Taliban are a collection of tribes headed by
warlords who may or may not obey the directions of the central
leadership in Kabul. Any one of these tribal warlords might decide to
revert to the harsh, violent practics of "Taliban 1.0," including
brutality and abuse of girls and women.
Furthermore, there are Americans and American allies scattered in
provinces across Afghanistan. Any one of the Americans can be used to
provoke a hostage crisis, even worse than the Iran Hostage Crisis of
1979 that lasted over a year.
****
**** Did Joe Biden intentionally sabotage the Afghanistan evacuation?
****
![[Image: g210906c.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g210906c.jpg)
Iconic photo of Joe Biden at press conference on 27-Aug, in response to a question (Telegraph)
Up until a few months ago, I would never have believed that any
President of the United States would intentionally sabotage a major
foreign policy effort like the Afghanistan evacuation.
My mind was opened to the possibility by my work on my recent book,
"Vietnam, Buddhism, and the Vietnam War," published earlier this year.
I concluded, after months of research involving dozens of sources,
that John F. Kennedy intentionally sabotaged the Vietnam war effort.
Two major decisions -- first, neutralization of Laos and ceding it to
Hanoi, and second, ousting South Vietnam's strong anti-Communist
leader Ngo Dinh Diem, resulting in Diem's assassination. After these
two disastrous mistakes, the war was lost, as I described in great
detail in my book.
JFK was a Democrat, and obviously deeply embedded in the Democrat
Party culture that was humiliated and infuriated by losing the Civil
War and having the end of slavery imposed on them. That culture had
spawned the KKK and the Jim Crow laws, and had as its slogan, "The
South will rise again!" The Democrats were further humiliated by
proposed Civil Rights legislation that was bitterly opposed by the
Democrats, and did not pass until JFK himself was assassinated.
Although President Truman was strongly anti-Communist and created the
Truman Doctrine, Communism became a highly politicized issue in 1954
because of the Army-McCarthy hearings, which were shut down soon after
a Senate Democrat said to Republican Joseph McCarthy "Have you no
sense of decency, sir?" After that, McCarthyism was used synonymously
by Democrats as being anti-Communist.
So JFK became president, and the Vietnam war was forced on him,
probably against his will, because it was another anti-Communist
fight. As I describe in my book, the Vietnam War was pushed on JFK by
the worldwide march of Communism at the time -- the Iron Curtain in
Eastern Europe, the victory of North Korea, and the victory of North
Vietnam. Then, in 1960, there was Fidel Castro's Communist revolution
in Cuba.
So two other factors may have contributed to JFK's desire to sabotage
the Vietnam War effort. One was the disastrous Bay of Pigs invasion
in April 1961, which was a losing attempt to defeat Communism in Cuba.
And the other was the Civil Rights Act that Democrats bitterly
opposed, and in fact did not pass until after JFK himself was
assassinated.
So I've concluded that JFK sabotaged the Vietnam war, and did so
intentionally.
As a child, Joe Biden was in the same Democrat party culture that had
supported ending America with the Civil War. His mentor was Senator
Robert Byrd, who had been a Grand Wizard in the KKK.
Now, Joe Biden is in office, and he has adopted one policy after
another to sabotage the United States. These include: open the
border, flood the country with illegal immigrants from 170 countries,
flood the country with Chinese fentanyl and meth, open the prisons,
let violent criminals out of jail, defund the police, destroy black
families, encourage the murder of thousands of young black men by
other black men in Democrat-run cities, close Keystone pipeline then
beg Saudi Arabia for more oil, destroy America's energy independence,
teach racial hatred in school (critical race theory), censor political
opposition, paying people not to work, etc.
When a policy has unintended consequences, and the unintended
consequences go on for a long time, with no attempt to stop them, then
it's reasonable to conclude that the consequences are intentional.
Many of the above policies have gone on for a long time with no
attempt to repair them. In some cases, further policies have worsened
the "unintended conquences," making it all but certain that they were
"intended consequences."
At this point, there's no doubt that the Biden administration
repeatedly lied and made one decision after another that "botched" the
evacuation effort. Based on JFK's actions, and based on Biden's
actions in other areas, I now believe that the circumstantial evidence
points to intentional sabotage, imitating JFK's sabotage of the
Vietnam war effort.
****
**** Will there be a new Afghanistan civil war?
****
U.S. General Mark Milley is predicting a new civil war because the
Taliban won't "be able to consolidate power and establish governance."
Milley and the other generals have had no idea what's been going on in
Afghanistan for the last 20 years, and this comment indicates that
they still don't.
Milley's observation about the Taliban is correct, but it will not
lead to a civil war, since Afghanistan is in a generational Awakening
era. As I described in my previous article on Afghanistan, we're
going to see the Generational Dynamics Democide Pattern played out.
(See "23-Aug-21 World View -- The Afghanistan catastrophe"
for an explanation.)
This means that there won't be a new civil war, but there will be
continual clashes and brutal treatment by the Taliban of its old
Northern Alliance enemy. The Taliban will use violence, beatings,
rape, and extrajudicial torture and jailing as needed or desired.
Furthermore, because of the undisciplined, tribal nature of the
Taliban, these events, sometimes using American hostages as pawns, are
expected to increase.
The Panjshir Valley clashes are only the beginning. These clashes
will spread and grow, and it's quite possible that Americans left
behind will be used as pawns by either side.
Milley's observations about the Taliban confirm what a number of other
politicians, both Democrat and Republican, have been suggesting --
that it will be necessary for the US to go back into Afghanistan, as
it becomes a crucible of international terrorism.
****
**** Political fallout
****
The Democrats are hoping that the whole Afghanistan catastrophe will
pass quickly from public memory, and they can go back to one
destructive policy after another. If the opposite happens -- that the
situation continues to worsen -- then Biden's presidency will be
untenable. The next two in line - Kamala Harris and Nancy Pelosi --
are just as incompetent as Biden.
Any other president would at least have fired several people after
this debacle. If Biden continues to make decisions destructive to
America, then it will be necessary to find a way, within the
Constitution, to find a way to replace Biden with someone competent to
govern.
John Xenakis is author of: "World View: Vietnam, Buddhism, and the
Vietnam War: How Vietnam became an economic powerhouse after the
Vietnam War" (Generational Theory Book Series, Book 4), March 2021
Paperback: 325 pages, over 200 source references, $13.99 Complete Table of Contents
https://www.amazon.com/dp/1732738645/
John Xenakis is author of: "World View: War Between China and Japan:
Why America Must Be Prepared" (Generational Theory Book Series, Book
2), June 2019, Paperback: 331 pages, with over 200 source references,
$13.99
Complete Table of Contents
https://www.amazon.com/World-View-Betwee...732738637/
John Xenakis is author of: "World View: Iran's Struggle for Supremacy
-- Tehran's Obsession to Redraw the Map of the Middle East"
(Generational Theory Book Series, Book 1), September 2018 Paperback:
153 pages, over 100 source references, $7.00 Complete Table of Contents https://www.amazon.com/World-View-Suprem...732738610/
John Xenakis is author of: "Generational Dynamics Anniversary Edition - Forecasting
America's Destiny",
(Generational Theory Book Series, Book 3), January 2020,
Paperback: 359 pages, $14.99,
Complete Table of Contents
https://www.amazon.com/Generational-Dyna...732738629/
Sources:
Related Articles:
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Afghanistan, Panjshir Valley, Mazar-i-Sharif,
Antony Blinken, Kabul airport, Bagram airbase, Ashraf Ghani,
Britain, EU, Nato, Tom Tugendhat, Dan Jarvis, Norbert Röttgen,
BBC, al-Jazeera, Qatar, Doha, Turkey,
Taliban, al-Qaeda, ISIS Khorasan, ISIS-K, Haqqani Network,
Tajiks, Hazaras, Uzbeks, Northern Alliance,
Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Iran, Persian, Dari, Pashtun, Pashto,
Uganda, Mexico, Colombia, Rwanda, Belarus, Poland,
Pakistan, Inter-Services Intelligence, ISI,
Pakistan Taliban, Tehrik-e-Taliban, TTP, Walid Phares,
Panjshir Valley, National Resistance Front of Afghanistan, NRF,
Vietnam, Saigon, North Vietnam, Vietnamese boat people,
John F. Kennedy, JFK, American Civil War, KKK, Jim Crow laws,
Laos, Ngo Dinh Diem, Civil Rights Act, Joseph McCarthy,
Harry Truman, Truman Doctrine, Iron Curtain,
Korean War, Cuban, Bay of Pigs, Robert Byrd,
fentanyl, Keystone pipeline, critical race theory,
Mark Milley, civil war, Democide Pattern
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This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- Taliban declares total victory in Afghanistan
- Afghanistan view: Biden administration and mainstream media
- Afghanistan view: Republicans, Conservatives and Fox News
- Afghanistan view: The British, European and BBC view
- Afghanistan view: Qatar and Al-Jazeera
- Potential flood of refugees into Central Asia and Europe
- Pakistan and refugees fleeing Afghan Taliban
- Battle of Panjshir Valley
- The Taliban, Haqqani Network, Al-Qaeda and ISIS-K
- Is this the end of the war in Afghanistan?
- Did Joe Biden intentionally sabotage the Afghanistan evacuation?
- Will there be a new Afghanistan civil war?
- Political fallout
****
**** Taliban declares total victory in Afghanistan
****
Women's demonstration in Mazar-i-Sharif, Afghanistan, on 6-Sept (Reuters)
The Taliban have announced that they're in total control of
Afghanistan, now that they've won the last battle, the clash in
Panjshir Valley. It's not clear that this is true. The Taliban have
cut off electricity and communications to the Panjshir Valley, so it's
impossible to read what's going on. I'll discuss the Panjshir Valley
below.
Separately, there's already a potential hostage crisis in progress,
with the Taliban preventing Americans from leaving Mazar-i-Sharif
airport. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken is negotiating with the
Taliban to obtain safe passage. But as of this writing, the situation
is unclear.
The situation in Afghanistan is extremely complex. It's very hard to
provide a politically balanced exposition, since the evacuation was
clearly a disaster. Even many Democrats agree. I'm going to quote
from different, sometimes conflicting media sources, in order to sort
the issues out.
****
**** Afghanistan view: Biden administration and mainstream media
****
The view held by president Joe Biden, the Democrats, the
administration and by the left-wing mainstream media (CNN, MSNBC, CBS
news, etc.) is that the Afghanistan problem has now ended, and that
it's time to move on.
Biden says that the evacuation ws an "extraordinary success." He says
that he was handed an existing agreement that the Taliban had made
with former president Donald Trump, and that he had to implement it as
best as he could. He admits that only 90% of the Americans and Afghan
allies had been evacuated, leaving 10% behind, but he says that any
large historical evacuation has always been chaotic and had always
left people behind.
The Biden administration has been downplaying the problem. They
insist that only 100 or 200 Americans are left behind, and many of
those have families in Afghanistan and didn't want to leave.
In fact, the mainstream media are cooperating with the desire of the
administration to turn the page. MSNBC and CNN sometimes aggressively
covered the Afghan evacuation prior to 30-Aug, but since then,
coverage on those channels has fallen off a cliff, and typically the
Afghan was is never even mentioned.
The Biden administration now wants to turn the page back to the $1.3
trillion infrastructure bill that has passed in the Senate, but is
being held up in the house, and the $3.5 trillion "human
infrastructure" bill, which is an ill-defined collection of spending
on Democrat cronies, including labor unions, teachers unions,
debt-ridden Democrat states, and social services organizations.
****
**** Afghanistan view: Republicans, Conservatives and Fox News
****
The decision to "end the war" is overwhelmingly popular, but many
people believe that the evacuation was botched and America was
defeated, betrayed and forced to surrender. In particular, Bagram
airbase should not have been closed as the first act of the
evacuation. The result was that billions of dollars in advanced
American weapons have been left behind, as have hundreds, thousands,
or tens of thousands (depending on the report) of Americans and Afghan
allies have been left behind. Republicans say that people should have
been evacuated first, then weapons, and then Bagram could be closed.
Republicans refer to a newly leaked transcript of a phone call between
Joe Biden and Afghanistan President Ashraf Ghani on July 23, when
Biden said, "And there is a need, whether it is true or not, there is
a need to project a different picture." Soon after, Ghani fled the
country.
Many Republicans -- and many Democrats, especially veterans -- say
that Biden not only botched the evacuation but has betrayed America
and the veterans who fought in that war for 20 years, by letting the
Taliban take over as if we were back in 2001.
The Republicans point out that Biden's approval rating has crashed
from 60% a few months ago to 43% now.
A particularly bitter complaint is the number of Americans and Afghan
allies that have been left behind, and mostly ignored, and by the
repeated Administration lies about the number of these. As recently
as August 19 Biden said in an interview, "If there are American
citizens left, we're gonna stay till we get them all out." He said
the same was true of Afghan allies. It's believed that Biden never
had any intention of fulfilling this promise, since he wants to make a
grand "Mission Accomplished!" speech on 11-Sep-2021.
A separate issue for conservatives is that Afghan refugees are coming
into the country without being properly vetted. This subject will be
debated in the coming weeks.
****
**** Afghanistan view: The British, European and BBC view
****
The BBC receives a great deal of funding from NPR, so it normally just
repeats the same Democrat talking points as CNN and MSNBC.
However, this situation is different, because the British and
Europeans also feel completely betrayed. In fact, the mission in
Afghanistan was actually a NATO mission, and Biden made a unilateral
decision without even consulting NATO or any European leaders. So
neither NATO nor the individual countries had time to evacuate their
own troops or their citizens.
The result was that countries like Britain, France, Italy and Germany
each left behind a thousand or more citizens. The future of Nato
itself is in doubt.
Once Kabul fell to the Taliban, and Biden blamed it on the Afghan
government, criticism from Europe was sharp.
Tom Tugendhat, Tory chair of foreign affairs committee said:
<QUOTE>"To see their commander-in-chief [the US president,
Joe Biden] call into question the courage of men I fought with
– to claim that they ran – is shameful. Those who have not fought
for the colours they fly should be careful about criticising those
who have.
I leave the house with one image. In the year that I was
privileged to be the adviser to the governor of Helmand, we opened
girls’ schools. The joy it gave parents to see their little girls
going to school was extraordinary ...
The second image is one that the forever war that has just
reignited could lead to. It is the image of a man whose name I
never knew, carrying a child who had died hours earlier into our
firebase and begging for help. There was nothing we could do. It
was over. That is what defeat looks like; it is when you no longer
have the choice of how to help. This does not need to be defeat,
but at the moment it damn well feels like it."<END QUOTE>
Labor MP Dan Jarvis said the following:
<QUOTE>"Many of us who served in Afghanistan have a deep bond
of affection for the Afghan people, and I had the honour of
serving alongside them in Helmand. We trained together, fought
together and, in some cases, died together. They were our brothers
in arms. I shudder to think where those men are now. Many will be
dead, and I know others now consider themselves to be dead men
walking. Where were we in their hour of need? We were
nowhere. That is shameful, and it will have a very long-lasting
impact on Britain’s reputation right around the
world."<END QUOTE>
Norbert Röttgen, chairman of the German parliament’s foreign relations
committee and a senior member of Chancellor Angela Merkel’s Christian
Democrats, said:
<QUOTE>"I say this with a heavy heart and with horror over
what is happening, but the early withdrawal was a serious and
far-reaching miscalculation by the current administration. This
does fundamental damage to the political and moral credibility of
the West."<END QUOTE>
A number of European politicians are discussing the creation of a
European Rapid Reaction Force.
The UK and the EU have said that when the Taliban announce their new
government, there will be "operational engagement" with the new
government, but they will not recognize it until it's "stable."
They are particularly concerned that girls and women "will be erased
from life." The BBC already reports stories of rape, forced
marriages.
****
**** Afghanistan view: Qatar and Al-Jazeera
****
As a Muslim country, Qatar is much more sympathetic to the Taliban
than the West is.
Al-Jazeera has a very different view of the Afghanistan problem:
refugees.
Al-Jazeera is headquartered in Doha, Qatar's capital city, and is
funded by Qatar's monarchy.
Qatar has friendly relations with the Taliban, and Qatar also has
friendly relations with the United States and the West. Qatar hosts a
major American naval base. So I understand that al-Jazeera Arabic has
been cheering for the Taliban. Of course, I watch al-Jazeera English,
which is much more guarded.
Qatar is playing a pivotal role in Afghanistan's relationship with the
United States. The thousands of Americans and Afghans that were
evacuated from Afghanistan were first transited through Doha, before
going on to other destinations. Qatar's government cooperated by
providing hotel rooms and the essentials of food and medical
treatment. The housing planned for the 2022 FIFA World Cup (soccer)
contests next year is being used.
Since 30-Aug, the Qataris have taken on another important role. With
the Americans gone, Kabul's airport was no longer operational for
commercial use. The Qataris and the Turks are sending technicians to
Kabul to make the airport operational. I understand that there's a
dispute about who will operate the airport, once it's operational.
Al-Jazeera has been reporting heavily on the refugee issue.
****
**** Potential flood of refugees into Central Asia and Europe
****
The issue that may be very explosive in 2022 is a potential flood of
hundreds of thousands of Afghan refugees. The size of this flood will
depend on the depth of the growing humanitarian disaster and the
growing violence by the Taliban against people in the Tajik, Hazara
and Uzbek ethnic groups that formed the backbone of the Northern
Alliance that fought against the Taliban in the 1990s civil war.
Europeans still have sharp memories of the millions of refugees that
flooded into Europe in 2015 and 2016. Those were mostly Syrian
refugees, but a large percentage were Afghans. Now many Afghan
refugees are once again crossing borders, hoping to find a better life
in the European Union.
The flood of refugees was only slowed in 2016 when the EU reached an
agreement to pay Turkey a great deal of money to host millions of
refugees.
The EU is looking for ways to prevent a new refugee crisis. Greece is
strengthening its border wall with Turkey. EU negotiators are
desperately trying to reach agreements to pay other countries to host
a potential flood of Afghan refugees. Turkey has already said it
wants no more refugees. Central Asian countries -- Tajikistan,
Uzbekistan -- are closing their borders and, so far, are rebuffing EU
offers to pay for housing of refugees.
According to the United Nations, Afghanistan is facing a looming
humanitarian disaster. Even before the evacuation, Afghanistan's
economy was in severe trouble, with a severe drought going on, but now
the economy and the currency are collapsing. In addition, the entire
health system is near collapse. According to a United Nations
spokesman, "One in three Afghans do not know where their next meal
will come from. Nearly half of all children under the age of 5 are
predicted to be acutely malnourished in the next 12 months."
The United Nations has warned that up to half a million Afghans could
flee the country by the end of the year and has called on neighbouring
countries to keep their borders open. The current crisis comes on top
of the 2.2 million Afghan refugees already in neighboring countries
and 3.5 million people forced to flee their homes within Afghanistan's
borders.
The UN says that more than 600,000 Afghans were displaced this year,
80% of which are women and children. But with the growing
humanitarian crisis, it's possible that millions more will become
refugees in the next year.
Other countries are helping out. Uganda, Mexico, Colombia and Rwanda
are temporarily hosting Afghan refugees.
Belarus, arguably the worst country in Europe, is weaponizing
refugees. They're inviting refugees into the country, and then
transporting them across the border into Poland.
****
**** Pakistan and refugees fleeing Afghan Taliban
****
Pakistan's government has denied years of accusations that it was
funding the Afghan Taliban. However, the accusations have really been
directed at Pakistan's extremely powerful intelligence agency, the
Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) agency, which is known to fund
terrorist organizations in Afghanistan and India, and to have
protected Osama bin Laden when he was hiding out in Pakistan.
Pakistan was formerly part of the British empire, and so the people in
the government, the agencies, and the élite almost always speak
English. Among rural citizens, Punjabi and Sinhi are most widely
spoken. In Afghanistan, most people speak Dari (Afghan variant of
Persian), while the majority Pashtun ethnic group speak Pashto. So
there is no particular advantage to other ethnic groups besides the
Pashtuns to flee to Pakistan.
Nonetheless, Pakistan is the first country of choice for many
displaced Pakistanis, especially Pashtuns. However, Pakistan has
closed its borders with Afghanistan because it already hosts three
million Afghan refugees and refuses to take more because of its own
ravaged economy.
In 2020, Pakistan and Iran saw the highest numbers of Afghanistan's
refugees and asylum seekers. Almost 1.5 million fled to Pakistan in
2020, while Iran hosted 780,000, according to UNHCR figures.
Furthermore, Pakistan has its own Pakistan Taliban (Tehrik-e-Taliban
or TTP), different than the Afghan Taliban, that has conducted
numerous violent terrorist attacks in Pakistan. The TTP has been
opposed to the Afghan government for the last 20 years, but with the
return of the Taliban government, the TTP is pledging allegiance to
the Afghan Taliban.
According to analyst Walid Phares, the combined Afghan Taliban and TTP
would like would like to take over all of Pakistan. Among other
things, this would give them control of nuclear weapons.
Pakistan's government has expressed concerns that some TTP terrorists
were let out of jail by the Taliban.
****
**** Battle of Panjshir Valley
****
The Taliban leadership promised that once the American forces were
withdrawn, the Taliban would stop fighting and would govern
peacefully. Nobody seriously believes any Taliban promises, but this
one was broken instantly. As soon as the last American left, Taliban
forces moved hundreds of fighters to subdue the Panjshir Valley.
Panjshir Valley has an almost mythical quality. When the Soviet Union
invaded in the 1980s, and when the Taliban attacked during the 1990s,
the Panjshir Valley was not conquered. The people of Panjshir Valley
are Tajiks. The valley itself is surrounded by high mountains, and
there is only one road used as an entrance and one road used as an
exit. The Soviets attacked from the air, but were defeated when their
helicopters were shot down with missiles. In the 1990s, the Taliban
were defeated by blockading the entrance and exit roads. The Panjshir
Valley was supported by the Americans against the Soviets, and by
Central Asians against the Pashtuns.
In the 1990s, Panjshir Valley was the stronghold of the Northern
Alliance, fighting the Taliban. Today, it's the stronghold of the
National Resistance Front of Afghanistan (NRF), once again fighting
against the Taliban.
There have been heavy clashes during the last week between the Taliban
and the National Resistance Front of Afghanistan (NRF) in Panjshir
Valley, with both sides claiming to have the upper hand.
This time, the Taliban have several advantages that they didn't have
during the 1990s. First, they have a huge multi-billion stash of
advanced weaponry that the Americans left behind, and those weapons
are being used to attack the NRF. Second, the NRF does not have any
foreign support, as it did in the past.
The Taliban have already cut off electricity and all communications to
the valley. If the the clashes continue, they can impose a full
siege, depriving the value of food and fuel, crippling their ability
to fight.
****
**** The Taliban, Haqqani Network, Al-Qaeda and ISIS-K
****
Joe Biden said at once point that America had no further interest in
Afghanistan because al-Qaeda was gone. This claim was considered by
almost everyone to be outrageous. It's hard to guess whether that was
a lie, or because he had no idea, but no one ever seriously believed
that al-Qaeda was gone.
Biden's remark was particularly shocking in retrospect, after ISIS-K
caused a massive explosion at Kabul airport, killing 13 American
forces and hundreds of Afghans.
Al-Qaeda is deeply embedded in the Taliban and the Haqqani network,
which has historical ties to Pakistan’s powerful Inter-Services
Intelligence (ISI) spy agency, though Pakistan denies that.
The fear now is that Afghanistan next year will become a cauldron of
international terrorism. The international jihadists networks are
thrilled and excited that the Taliban have humiliated and defeated the
Great Satan, the United States. There have already been reports of
jihadists from Syria and northern Africa going to Afghanistan to join
up with other jihadists and to receive training. This had led a
number of people to conclude that it will be necessary for American
forces to re-enter Afghanistan, possibly next year.
****
**** Is this the end of the war in Afghanistan?
****
When Saigon was evacuated in 1975, it was claimed that the Vietnam War
"was over," something that continues to be believed today, even though
nothing can be further from the truth, as I described in my book
"Vietnam, Buddhism, and the Vietnam War," published earlier this year.
Once Saigon fell to the Communists, the war was completely over for
most Americans. But that wasn't true for the Vietnamese people. They
knew what was going to happen because they'd seen it all before,
especially in 1954 when the evacuation of French forces led to
massacres of Catholics and other "pro-French" civilians in North
Vietnam, forcing almost a million of them to flee to South Vietnam.
Now that the North Vietnamese Communists were going to take over
Saigon, they knew that they would probably have to flee again.
The new Communist government in Saigon acted in a very brutal way,
using policies that they had learned from Communist China. There were
harsh "re-education programs," as there are still in Communist China
today. The peasants had their land taken from them and collectivized
into state farms, as in China's disastrous Great Leap Forward, with
similar results.
North Vietnam sent administrators to Saigon to establish a new regime.
Officials in the defeated government were killed, and hundreds of
thousands of people were sent to concentration camps, ostensibly to
re-educate them to live in a socialist society. A system of
registering the population was instituted to ensure that those whose
families had supported the Second Republic were penalized by denial of
employment, education, and food rations.
There was a massive exodus of refugees, and they became known as the
"Vietnamese Boat People." Experts estimate that up to 1.5 million
refugees escaped but a high estimate of 10 percent died from drowning,
piracy, dehydration, or otherwise never made landfall.
The point of remembering that history of "the end of the Vietnam War"
is that the Vietnam War was not over in 1975, and the Afghanistan war
is not over today.
Afghanistan's last generational crisis war was an extremely bloody,
horrific civil war, in 1991-96. The war was a civil war, fought
between the Pashtuns in southern Afghanistan versus the Northern
Alliance of Tajiks, Hazaras and Uzbeks in northern Afghanistan.
As I've written many times before, the ethnic groups in Afghanistan
are COMPLETELY NON-UNITED and loathe each other. Pashtuns still have
scores to settle with the Tajiks, Hazaras and Uzbeks that formed the
Northern Alliance, especially the Shias. These opposing groups have
fresh memories of the atrocities, torture, rape, beatings,
dismemberments, mutilations, and so forth that the other side
performed on their friends, wives and other family members, and they
have no desire to be friends or to work together. They'd rather kill
each other.
The media-savvy Taliban spokesmen are promising a kinder, gentler
"Taliban 2.0" that will govern wisely and will respect women and
girls, allowing them to go to school and work. That this is nonsense
is made clear by the Vietnam example.
It's even worse, because the North Vietnamese were relatively
disciplined, but the Taliban are a collection of tribes headed by
warlords who may or may not obey the directions of the central
leadership in Kabul. Any one of these tribal warlords might decide to
revert to the harsh, violent practics of "Taliban 1.0," including
brutality and abuse of girls and women.
Furthermore, there are Americans and American allies scattered in
provinces across Afghanistan. Any one of the Americans can be used to
provoke a hostage crisis, even worse than the Iran Hostage Crisis of
1979 that lasted over a year.
****
**** Did Joe Biden intentionally sabotage the Afghanistan evacuation?
****
Iconic photo of Joe Biden at press conference on 27-Aug, in response to a question (Telegraph)
Up until a few months ago, I would never have believed that any
President of the United States would intentionally sabotage a major
foreign policy effort like the Afghanistan evacuation.
My mind was opened to the possibility by my work on my recent book,
"Vietnam, Buddhism, and the Vietnam War," published earlier this year.
I concluded, after months of research involving dozens of sources,
that John F. Kennedy intentionally sabotaged the Vietnam war effort.
Two major decisions -- first, neutralization of Laos and ceding it to
Hanoi, and second, ousting South Vietnam's strong anti-Communist
leader Ngo Dinh Diem, resulting in Diem's assassination. After these
two disastrous mistakes, the war was lost, as I described in great
detail in my book.
JFK was a Democrat, and obviously deeply embedded in the Democrat
Party culture that was humiliated and infuriated by losing the Civil
War and having the end of slavery imposed on them. That culture had
spawned the KKK and the Jim Crow laws, and had as its slogan, "The
South will rise again!" The Democrats were further humiliated by
proposed Civil Rights legislation that was bitterly opposed by the
Democrats, and did not pass until JFK himself was assassinated.
Although President Truman was strongly anti-Communist and created the
Truman Doctrine, Communism became a highly politicized issue in 1954
because of the Army-McCarthy hearings, which were shut down soon after
a Senate Democrat said to Republican Joseph McCarthy "Have you no
sense of decency, sir?" After that, McCarthyism was used synonymously
by Democrats as being anti-Communist.
So JFK became president, and the Vietnam war was forced on him,
probably against his will, because it was another anti-Communist
fight. As I describe in my book, the Vietnam War was pushed on JFK by
the worldwide march of Communism at the time -- the Iron Curtain in
Eastern Europe, the victory of North Korea, and the victory of North
Vietnam. Then, in 1960, there was Fidel Castro's Communist revolution
in Cuba.
So two other factors may have contributed to JFK's desire to sabotage
the Vietnam War effort. One was the disastrous Bay of Pigs invasion
in April 1961, which was a losing attempt to defeat Communism in Cuba.
And the other was the Civil Rights Act that Democrats bitterly
opposed, and in fact did not pass until after JFK himself was
assassinated.
So I've concluded that JFK sabotaged the Vietnam war, and did so
intentionally.
As a child, Joe Biden was in the same Democrat party culture that had
supported ending America with the Civil War. His mentor was Senator
Robert Byrd, who had been a Grand Wizard in the KKK.
Now, Joe Biden is in office, and he has adopted one policy after
another to sabotage the United States. These include: open the
border, flood the country with illegal immigrants from 170 countries,
flood the country with Chinese fentanyl and meth, open the prisons,
let violent criminals out of jail, defund the police, destroy black
families, encourage the murder of thousands of young black men by
other black men in Democrat-run cities, close Keystone pipeline then
beg Saudi Arabia for more oil, destroy America's energy independence,
teach racial hatred in school (critical race theory), censor political
opposition, paying people not to work, etc.
When a policy has unintended consequences, and the unintended
consequences go on for a long time, with no attempt to stop them, then
it's reasonable to conclude that the consequences are intentional.
Many of the above policies have gone on for a long time with no
attempt to repair them. In some cases, further policies have worsened
the "unintended conquences," making it all but certain that they were
"intended consequences."
At this point, there's no doubt that the Biden administration
repeatedly lied and made one decision after another that "botched" the
evacuation effort. Based on JFK's actions, and based on Biden's
actions in other areas, I now believe that the circumstantial evidence
points to intentional sabotage, imitating JFK's sabotage of the
Vietnam war effort.
****
**** Will there be a new Afghanistan civil war?
****
U.S. General Mark Milley is predicting a new civil war because the
Taliban won't "be able to consolidate power and establish governance."
Milley and the other generals have had no idea what's been going on in
Afghanistan for the last 20 years, and this comment indicates that
they still don't.
Milley's observation about the Taliban is correct, but it will not
lead to a civil war, since Afghanistan is in a generational Awakening
era. As I described in my previous article on Afghanistan, we're
going to see the Generational Dynamics Democide Pattern played out.
(See "23-Aug-21 World View -- The Afghanistan catastrophe"
for an explanation.)
This means that there won't be a new civil war, but there will be
continual clashes and brutal treatment by the Taliban of its old
Northern Alliance enemy. The Taliban will use violence, beatings,
rape, and extrajudicial torture and jailing as needed or desired.
Furthermore, because of the undisciplined, tribal nature of the
Taliban, these events, sometimes using American hostages as pawns, are
expected to increase.
The Panjshir Valley clashes are only the beginning. These clashes
will spread and grow, and it's quite possible that Americans left
behind will be used as pawns by either side.
Milley's observations about the Taliban confirm what a number of other
politicians, both Democrat and Republican, have been suggesting --
that it will be necessary for the US to go back into Afghanistan, as
it becomes a crucible of international terrorism.
****
**** Political fallout
****
The Democrats are hoping that the whole Afghanistan catastrophe will
pass quickly from public memory, and they can go back to one
destructive policy after another. If the opposite happens -- that the
situation continues to worsen -- then Biden's presidency will be
untenable. The next two in line - Kamala Harris and Nancy Pelosi --
are just as incompetent as Biden.
Any other president would at least have fired several people after
this debacle. If Biden continues to make decisions destructive to
America, then it will be necessary to find a way, within the
Constitution, to find a way to replace Biden with someone competent to
govern.
John Xenakis is author of: "World View: Vietnam, Buddhism, and the
Vietnam War: How Vietnam became an economic powerhouse after the
Vietnam War" (Generational Theory Book Series, Book 4), March 2021
Paperback: 325 pages, over 200 source references, $13.99 Complete Table of Contents
https://www.amazon.com/dp/1732738645/
John Xenakis is author of: "World View: War Between China and Japan:
Why America Must Be Prepared" (Generational Theory Book Series, Book
2), June 2019, Paperback: 331 pages, with over 200 source references,
$13.99
Complete Table of Contents
https://www.amazon.com/World-View-Betwee...732738637/
John Xenakis is author of: "World View: Iran's Struggle for Supremacy
-- Tehran's Obsession to Redraw the Map of the Middle East"
(Generational Theory Book Series, Book 1), September 2018 Paperback:
153 pages, over 100 source references, $7.00 Complete Table of Contents https://www.amazon.com/World-View-Suprem...732738610/
John Xenakis is author of: "Generational Dynamics Anniversary Edition - Forecasting
America's Destiny",
(Generational Theory Book Series, Book 3), January 2020,
Paperback: 359 pages, $14.99,
Complete Table of Contents
https://www.amazon.com/Generational-Dyna...732738629/
Sources:
- Exclusive: Before Afghan collapse, Biden pressed Ghani to ‘change perception’ (Reuters, 31-Aug-2021)
- Excerpts of call between Joe Biden and Ashraf Ghani July 23 (Reuters, 31-Aug-2021)
- Mohammed / Afghan interpreter who helped rescue Biden in 2008 left behind after US evacuation, report says (USA Today, 31-Aug-2021)
- ‘This is a shame on all of us’: British MPs debate the fall of Kabul (Guardian, London, 18-Aug-2021)
- Biden says he’s seen no ‘questioning’ of Afghan policy by allies – despite angry scenes in UK parliament (Independent, London, 20-Aug-2021)
- Disbelief and betrayal: Europe reacts to Biden’s Afghanistan ‘miscalculation’ (Politico EU, 17-Aug-2021)
- Black unemployment rises in August jobs report despite more job seekers (CNBC, 3-Sep-2021)
- Panjshir / 'I have not left Afghanistan,' says resistance leader Amrullah Saleh (Euro News, 3-Sep-2021)
- Staggering Costs – U.S. Military Equipment Left Behind In Afghanistan (Forbes, 23-Aug-2021)
- Majority of U.S. public favors Afghanistan troop withdrawal; Biden criticized for his handling of situation (Pew Research, 31-Aug-2021)
- Two Decades Later, the Enduring Legacy of 9/11 (PewResearch, 2-Sep-2021)
- 'Major' humanitarian crisis looms in Afghanistan, as UN convenes fundraising conference (United Nations, 3-Sep-2021)
- US wrestles with strategy to sanction Taliban as humanitarian crisis looms over Afghanistan (NY Times, 4-Sep-2021)
- UN to seek funds for ‘looming humanitarian catastrophe’ in Afghanistan (NY Post, 4-Sep-2021)
- Afghanistan: How many refugees are there and where will they go? (BBC, 1-Sep-2021)
- Balochistan / Several soldiers killed in southwestern Pakistan suicide bombing (Al-Jazeera, 5-Sep-2021)
- Afghanistan: What rise of Taliban means for Pakistan (BBC, 4-Sep-2021)
- Panjshir / Taliban, opposition fight for Afghan holdout province, top U.S. general warns of civil war (Reuters, 5-Sep-2021)
- Mazar-i-Sharif airport / Hundreds wait for clearance to leave Afghanistan’s Mazar airport (Al-Jazeera, 6-Sep-2021)
Related Articles:
- The Afghanistan catastrophe (23-Aug-2021)
- US withdrawal from Afghanistan threatens Central Asia stability (03-May-2021)
- High farce and tragedy continue in Afghanistan, as Biden announces Sept 11 troop withdrawal (15-Apr-2021)
- Afghanistan prepares for war, as Nato postpones military withdrawal decision (19-Feb-2021)
- Chaos grows in Afghanistan as American troops leave in hope of delusional peace plan (18-Jan-2021)
- US and Taliban to sign laughable 'reduction in violence' agreement in Afghanistan (16-Feb-2020)
- Why we can never prevail in Afghanistan (16-Dec-2019)
- ISIS-K suicide bomber kills over 50 in Kabul, Afghanistan, registering to vote (23-Apr-2018)
- Taliban launches major military operation in Farah province in Afghanistan (16-May-2018)
- People are shocked! shocked! at Obama's war plan in Afghanistan. (06-Dec-2009)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Afghanistan, Panjshir Valley, Mazar-i-Sharif,
Antony Blinken, Kabul airport, Bagram airbase, Ashraf Ghani,
Britain, EU, Nato, Tom Tugendhat, Dan Jarvis, Norbert Röttgen,
BBC, al-Jazeera, Qatar, Doha, Turkey,
Taliban, al-Qaeda, ISIS Khorasan, ISIS-K, Haqqani Network,
Tajiks, Hazaras, Uzbeks, Northern Alliance,
Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Iran, Persian, Dari, Pashtun, Pashto,
Uganda, Mexico, Colombia, Rwanda, Belarus, Poland,
Pakistan, Inter-Services Intelligence, ISI,
Pakistan Taliban, Tehrik-e-Taliban, TTP, Walid Phares,
Panjshir Valley, National Resistance Front of Afghanistan, NRF,
Vietnam, Saigon, North Vietnam, Vietnamese boat people,
John F. Kennedy, JFK, American Civil War, KKK, Jim Crow laws,
Laos, Ngo Dinh Diem, Civil Rights Act, Joseph McCarthy,
Harry Truman, Truman Doctrine, Iron Curtain,
Korean War, Cuban, Bay of Pigs, Robert Byrd,
fentanyl, Keystone pipeline, critical race theory,
Mark Milley, civil war, Democide Pattern
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