11-06-2021, 07:13 PM
*** 7-Nov-21 World View -- China's grand geopolitical strategy threatened by Myanmar / Burma civil war
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** UN warns Myanmar / Burma of 'crimes against humanity' and threats of civil war
****
![[Image: g210623c.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g210623c.jpg)
Globe showing China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) (Switzerland's Federal Intelligence Service)
For six weeks after the February 1 military coup in Myanmar, the army,
known as the Tatmadaw, took a measured approach to the peaceful
pro-democracy demonstrations. However, this was followed by "an
uptick in violence and much more violent methods used to suppress the
demonstrators," according to a UN report issued on Friday:
<QUOTE>"We do feel now having observed the events and
collected preliminary evidence that the facts show a widespread
and systematic attack on the civilian population amounting to
crimes against humanity.
This was happening in different places at the same time,
indicating to us it would be logical to conclude this was from a
central policy. And, also, we saw that particular groups were
targeted, especially for arrests and detentions that appear to be
without due process of law. And this includes, of course,
journalists, medical workers and political
opponents."<END QUOTE>
According to Nicholas Koumjian, the UN official who issued the report,
there are more and more groups within Myanmar calling for a full civil
war, which is not surprising, as the junta continues to escalate its
violence.
It's worth pointing out that the junta really couldn't care less what
some United Nations agency claims. Myanmar is in the opening stages
of a full-scale generational crisis civil war, and no outside
political pressure can have much of an effect, just as a tsunami could
not be stopped by a UN agency.
In fact, none of this is particularly surprising. Myanmar entered a
generational Crisis era in 2016, and the Buddhist army began by
committing genocide and ethnic cleansing of Muslim Rohingyas. So now,
the army is performing the same "clearance operations" against the
Chin people in northern Myanmar, and is preparing similar operations
against other non-favored ethnic populations.
****
**** Violence and crime along the China-Myanmar border
****
According to China's state media, there are over 10,000 Chinese
nationals in Myanmar waiting to cross the border into Ruili, China.
Regulations and restrictions by China's government are permitting only
about 100 people to cross the border into China each day. The
restrictions were put in place in June because of the instability in
Myanmar, and also because the delta variant of the Covid virus is
spreading in China, and steps are being taken to block it.
In addition, there's also been a sharp increase in cross-border crimes
against China or Chinese citizns, such as telecommunications and
internet fraud, gambling and money laundering. Chinese citizens
living in northern Myanmar are being told register their identities,
and to confess any crimes they've committed.
Ruili is a city of 260,000 residents, and they've suffered almost 200
days under lockdown, because of the two factors -- China's Covid
policy and the turmoil in Myanmar. According to the city's mayor:
"The epidemic has ruthlessly looted [Ruili] over and over again,
draining the city’s last trace of life and devouring the hope of its
residents. Please save this hero city! Please pay attention to this
beautiful border town!"
There is also anti-Chinese violence in Myanmar far from the Chinese
border. Many people in Myanmar blame China for supporting the junta
in its violence against peaceful protesters, and Chinese factories and
citizens in Yangon have been attacked in Yangon. The Chinese have
deflected these accusations by blaming the attacks on incitement by
the United States.
China is actually pursuing a dual strategy in Myanmar. At the top
level, and in the national media, China is not referring to a "coup,"
but to euphemisms like a "cabinet reshuffle." On the other hand,
local media in China are referring to the violence in Myanmar
following the "coup."
****
**** Myanmar's threat to China's geopolitical strategy
****
The coup and the threat of civil war in Myanmar have been a lot more
than a mere annoyance to the Chinese. They represent a threat to
China's grand geopolitical strategy for world domination.
China has for years been supplying weapons to Myanmar's government,
led by Aung San Suu Kyi until the February 1 coup. Since then, the
Chinese have cautiously maintained good relations with the junta,
because of Myanmar's part in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).
As I've written in the past, China's grand plan is that it will become
the leader of the world within 5-10 years, and that almost all
countries will gladly accept China's leadership. This goes beyond
invading and annexing Taiwan. It also means that the 20+ border
disputes that China has with India, Russia, Vietnam, Kazakhstan and
other countries will be settled amicably in China's favor, and that
includes China's control of the South China Sea.
China's vision is like Isaiah 2:4, which says: "The Lord will judge
between the nations and will settle disputes for many peoples. They
will beat their swords into plowshares and their spears into pruning
hooks. Nation will not take up sword against nation, nor will they
train for war anymore." This is exactly China's delusional vision,
except that the role of the Lord will be played by the Chinese
Communist Party. (Incidentally, that's why China is promising to stop
increasing coal production by 2030.)
According to the delusion, the only possible reason why this plan
might fail is that the United States would be jealous of China's power
and might come to the defense of Taiwan and Japan. That's why China
is developing hypersonic and ballistic nuclear missiles, in order to
attack the United States and bring about this millennium of peace.
So now getting back to Myanmar, the major BRI project in Myanmar is
the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC), which is strategically
essential to China's grand plan, since it provides a corridor for the
transport of people and goods between China's Yunnan province and the
Indian Ocean, through Myanmar's ports on the Andaman Sea. This is
similar to the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), which connects
China's Xinjiang province to Pakistan's Gwardar port, which China now
controls.
Both CMEC and CPEC are essential to China's delusional grand plan, and
so the civil war in Myanmar represents a threat in two different ways
-- because it could spill over into the population of China, and
because it would threaten the strategically important CMEC.
So China is taking a cautious approach to the Myanmar junta. The
junta leaders couldn't care less what a United Nations agency says,
but they might listen to what the Chinese say. However, what's going
on in Myanmar is a generational crisis civil war, and the drive to
fight the war is deeply organic and buried deep in the DNA of all the
parties. The Chinese probably understand that because of their own
deeply organic ethnic atrocities, so all they can do is hope that the
Myanmar war will fizzle out, which is highly improbable in a
generational Crisis era.
Sources:
Related Articles:
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Myanmar, Burma, Min Aung Hlaing,
Tatmadaw, Rohingyas, Rakhine State, Chin State,
Nicholas Koumjian, United Nations, Yangon,
China, Ruili, Belt and Road Initiative, BRI, Isaiah 2:4,
China-Myanmar Economic Corridor, CMEC, Yunnan province,
China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, CPEC, Xinjiang province
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 2-03C [New apartment]
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- UN warns Myanmar / Burma of 'crimes against humanity' and threats of civil war
- Violence and crime along the China-Myanmar border
- Myanmar's threat to China's geopolitical strategy
****
**** UN warns Myanmar / Burma of 'crimes against humanity' and threats of civil war
****
Globe showing China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) (Switzerland's Federal Intelligence Service)
For six weeks after the February 1 military coup in Myanmar, the army,
known as the Tatmadaw, took a measured approach to the peaceful
pro-democracy demonstrations. However, this was followed by "an
uptick in violence and much more violent methods used to suppress the
demonstrators," according to a UN report issued on Friday:
<QUOTE>"We do feel now having observed the events and
collected preliminary evidence that the facts show a widespread
and systematic attack on the civilian population amounting to
crimes against humanity.
This was happening in different places at the same time,
indicating to us it would be logical to conclude this was from a
central policy. And, also, we saw that particular groups were
targeted, especially for arrests and detentions that appear to be
without due process of law. And this includes, of course,
journalists, medical workers and political
opponents."<END QUOTE>
According to Nicholas Koumjian, the UN official who issued the report,
there are more and more groups within Myanmar calling for a full civil
war, which is not surprising, as the junta continues to escalate its
violence.
It's worth pointing out that the junta really couldn't care less what
some United Nations agency claims. Myanmar is in the opening stages
of a full-scale generational crisis civil war, and no outside
political pressure can have much of an effect, just as a tsunami could
not be stopped by a UN agency.
In fact, none of this is particularly surprising. Myanmar entered a
generational Crisis era in 2016, and the Buddhist army began by
committing genocide and ethnic cleansing of Muslim Rohingyas. So now,
the army is performing the same "clearance operations" against the
Chin people in northern Myanmar, and is preparing similar operations
against other non-favored ethnic populations.
****
**** Violence and crime along the China-Myanmar border
****
According to China's state media, there are over 10,000 Chinese
nationals in Myanmar waiting to cross the border into Ruili, China.
Regulations and restrictions by China's government are permitting only
about 100 people to cross the border into China each day. The
restrictions were put in place in June because of the instability in
Myanmar, and also because the delta variant of the Covid virus is
spreading in China, and steps are being taken to block it.
In addition, there's also been a sharp increase in cross-border crimes
against China or Chinese citizns, such as telecommunications and
internet fraud, gambling and money laundering. Chinese citizens
living in northern Myanmar are being told register their identities,
and to confess any crimes they've committed.
Ruili is a city of 260,000 residents, and they've suffered almost 200
days under lockdown, because of the two factors -- China's Covid
policy and the turmoil in Myanmar. According to the city's mayor:
"The epidemic has ruthlessly looted [Ruili] over and over again,
draining the city’s last trace of life and devouring the hope of its
residents. Please save this hero city! Please pay attention to this
beautiful border town!"
There is also anti-Chinese violence in Myanmar far from the Chinese
border. Many people in Myanmar blame China for supporting the junta
in its violence against peaceful protesters, and Chinese factories and
citizens in Yangon have been attacked in Yangon. The Chinese have
deflected these accusations by blaming the attacks on incitement by
the United States.
China is actually pursuing a dual strategy in Myanmar. At the top
level, and in the national media, China is not referring to a "coup,"
but to euphemisms like a "cabinet reshuffle." On the other hand,
local media in China are referring to the violence in Myanmar
following the "coup."
****
**** Myanmar's threat to China's geopolitical strategy
****
The coup and the threat of civil war in Myanmar have been a lot more
than a mere annoyance to the Chinese. They represent a threat to
China's grand geopolitical strategy for world domination.
China has for years been supplying weapons to Myanmar's government,
led by Aung San Suu Kyi until the February 1 coup. Since then, the
Chinese have cautiously maintained good relations with the junta,
because of Myanmar's part in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).
As I've written in the past, China's grand plan is that it will become
the leader of the world within 5-10 years, and that almost all
countries will gladly accept China's leadership. This goes beyond
invading and annexing Taiwan. It also means that the 20+ border
disputes that China has with India, Russia, Vietnam, Kazakhstan and
other countries will be settled amicably in China's favor, and that
includes China's control of the South China Sea.
China's vision is like Isaiah 2:4, which says: "The Lord will judge
between the nations and will settle disputes for many peoples. They
will beat their swords into plowshares and their spears into pruning
hooks. Nation will not take up sword against nation, nor will they
train for war anymore." This is exactly China's delusional vision,
except that the role of the Lord will be played by the Chinese
Communist Party. (Incidentally, that's why China is promising to stop
increasing coal production by 2030.)
According to the delusion, the only possible reason why this plan
might fail is that the United States would be jealous of China's power
and might come to the defense of Taiwan and Japan. That's why China
is developing hypersonic and ballistic nuclear missiles, in order to
attack the United States and bring about this millennium of peace.
So now getting back to Myanmar, the major BRI project in Myanmar is
the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC), which is strategically
essential to China's grand plan, since it provides a corridor for the
transport of people and goods between China's Yunnan province and the
Indian Ocean, through Myanmar's ports on the Andaman Sea. This is
similar to the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), which connects
China's Xinjiang province to Pakistan's Gwardar port, which China now
controls.
Both CMEC and CPEC are essential to China's delusional grand plan, and
so the civil war in Myanmar represents a threat in two different ways
-- because it could spill over into the population of China, and
because it would threaten the strategically important CMEC.
So China is taking a cautious approach to the Myanmar junta. The
junta leaders couldn't care less what a United Nations agency says,
but they might listen to what the Chinese say. However, what's going
on in Myanmar is a generational crisis civil war, and the drive to
fight the war is deeply organic and buried deep in the DNA of all the
parties. The Chinese probably understand that because of their own
deeply organic ethnic atrocities, so all they can do is hope that the
Myanmar war will fizzle out, which is highly improbable in a
generational Crisis era.
Sources:
- Myanmar Emergency Update (1 November 2021) (ReliefWeb, 1-Nov-2021)
- China is not happy about Myanmar’s coup (Economist, 10-Jul-2021)
- Chinese Media’s Conflicting Narratives on the Myanmar Coup (Diplomat, 14-Aug-2021)
- Myanmar locals urged not to be incited by West as 32 Chinese factories in Yangon suffer from attacks (Global Times, Beijing, 15-Mar-2021)
- Chinese nationals in northern Myanmar told to register identities amid crime fight (Global Times, Beijing, 23-Jun-2021)
- Over 10,000 Chinese waiting at China-Myanmar border city to turn themselves in: official (Global Times, Beijing, 2-Oct-2021)
- Myanmar: Systematic attack on civilians, rights mechanism reveals (United Nations, 5-Nov-2021)
- UN investigator: Crimes against humanity under Myanmar junta (AP, 6-Nov-2021)
- Attacks on civilians in Myanmar ‘crimes against humanity’: UN (Al-Jazeera, 6-Nov-2021)
- China envoy visits Myanmar as new route to Indian Ocean opened (Reuters, 1-Sep-2021)
- Myanmar villagers tear down Chinese fences built along the border (Radio Free Asia, 6-Nov-2021)
- Chinese border town Ruili ‘ruthlessly looted’ after almost 200 days of COVID-19 lockdown (Globe And Mail, 28-Oct-2021)
Related Articles:
- Myanmar/Burma civil war gathers steam as ASEAN watches (02-Nov-2021)
- China's delusional geopolitical strategy (16-Dec-2020)
- Myanmar/Burma army fights new militia in Mandalay as civil war spreads (24-Jun-2021)
- Myanmar ethnic groups in Shan State launch coordinated attack on Burmese military (11-Apr-2021)
- Myanmar/Burma protests turn into ethnic civil war (29-Mar-2021)
- Devastating UN report on Burma shows scale of ghastly atrocities by Buddhists targeting Muslim Rohingyas (04-Feb-2017)
- Meiktila, Burma, violence has echoes of Kristallnacht (05-Apr-2013)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Myanmar, Burma, Min Aung Hlaing,
Tatmadaw, Rohingyas, Rakhine State, Chin State,
Nicholas Koumjian, United Nations, Yangon,
China, Ruili, Belt and Road Initiative, BRI, Isaiah 2:4,
China-Myanmar Economic Corridor, CMEC, Yunnan province,
China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, CPEC, Xinjiang province
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 2-03C [New apartment]
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
