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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 12-Nov-21 World View -- Israel holds joint naval exercises with UAE, Bahrain, affirming Abraham Accords

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Bahrain, UAE, Israel, US hold joint exercises in Red Sea
  • After one year, the military drills affirm the continuation of Abraham Accords

****
**** Bahrain, UAE, Israel, US hold joint exercises in Red Sea
****


[Image: g211111b.jpg]
Signing ceremony for Abraham Accords at the White House on 15-Sep-2020, with officials from Bahrain, Israel, USA and UAE

Israel's navy is taking part in joint maritime drills with the United
Arab Emirates (UAE), Bahrain, and the United States in the Red Sea.
This is the first time that Israel's navy has publicly taken part in
naval drills with Gulf Arab states.

According to a statement by the US Naval Fifth Fleet, which is
headquartered at a base in Bahrain:

<QUOTE>"The five-day exercise includes at-sea training aboard
amphibious transport dock ship USS Portland (LPD 27) focused on
visit, board, search and seizure tactics. The training will
enhance interoperability between participating forces' maritime
interdiction teams.

"It is exciting to see U.S. forces training with regional partners
to enhance our collective maritime security capabilities," said
Vice Adm. Brad Cooper, commander of NAVCENT, U.S. 5th Fleet and
Combined Maritime Forces. "Maritime collaboration helps safeguard
freedom of navigation and the free flow of trade, which are
essential to regional security and stability."<END QUOTE>


This statement doesn't say so, but the drills are aimed at Iran. In
March and April, Iran and Israel allegedly attacked each others ships
in the Persian Gulf with missiles and explosive. And the US Navy had
to fire warning shots during encounters with Iranian vessels in the
Gulf.


****
**** After one year, the military drills affirm the continuation of Abraham Accords
****


The Abraham Accords were announced on August 13, 2020, and signed by
the participants in September. The Accords were negotiated by Donald
Trump's administration between Israel and UAE, later joined by
Bahrain, Morocco and Sudan. Trump described the Accords as historic
because they were the first public normalization of relations between
Israel and an Arab country since the agreement with Jordan in 1994 and
the agreement with Egypt in 1979.

There was a lot of skepticism that the Accords would survive for long,
but after a year they've even survived an 11-day war between Israel
and Gaza. Israel has exchanged ambassadors with the other
signatories, and has initiated trade relations with them. The joint
naval exercises that Israel is holding with UAE and Bahrain indicate
that the Accords are continuing as intended.

One (simplistic) way of looking at the Mideast is that Israel is part
of two major fault lines.

One fault line is Sunni vs Shia. This conflict is pitting Iran versus
the Arab Gulf nations, and Israel against its will has been drawn into
this conflict by Iran. The Abraham Accords directly address this
fault line.

The other fault line is Israel vs Palestinians. This conflict comes
out of the bloody 1948 war that followed the partitioning of Palestine
and the creation of the state of Israel. This fault line is
completely unrelated to the Abraham Accords, and is still headed for
conflict as much as before.

As I've written many times, Generational Dynamics predicts that there
is an approaching Clash of Civilizations world war, pitting the "axis"
of China, Pakistan and the Sunni Muslim countries against the
"allies," the US, India, Russia and Iran. Part of it will be a major
new war between Jews and Arabs, re-fighting the bloody the war of
1948-49 that followed the partitioning of Palestine and the creation
of the state of Israel. The war between Jews and Arabs will be part
of a major regional war, pitting Sunnis versus Shias, Jews versus
Arabs, and various ethnic groups against each other.

Sources:

Related Articles:



KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Bahrain, Israel, Iran,
United Arab Emirates, UAE, US Naval 5th Fleet,
Abraham Accords, Morocco, Sudan, Jordan, Egypt

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John J. Xenakis
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RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 05-14-2016, 03:21 PM
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RE: 58 year rule - by Tim Randal Walker - 04-01-2020, 11:17 AM
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