Election 2020

[Marypoza]

(11-04-2019, 04:02 PM)Eric the Green Wrote:

(11-03-2019, 09:17 AM)Marypoza Wrote: Well Dave looks like u were wrong about Beto. Not gloating, just saying. It's impossible 2 tell any more who will catch on & who won't. I never thought Mayor Butthead would make it this far. & Amy what's her face? Who is she & how is she being propped up?

Amy Klobuchar, Minnesota senator, is running in the "moderate lane." She is an effective lawmaker. She has one of the better scores among the losers, 7-7. She does well in red districts, so she still has some support. But below the top 3 or 4 candidates, the others are not getting much traction. The worst-scoring candidate running is Kamala Harris (4-16), who also faces a Saturn Return. She got some strong support from establishment backers and people who appreciated her forthright approach in senate hearings and such. And people in the Party liked the demographic she comes from. But she doesn't have the talent as a candidate, and she is constantly fading.

Mayor Butthead, ha ha, can come across as smart and competent. But his status is too low to run for president on. His score is one of the higher ones among those who score well enough in polls to make all the debates so far, 7-8. Andrew Yang has a bad score (8-15), but is doing better than many others anyway. He has good ideas. But he too will fade; he is not much of a leader and he has no qualifications.

Many of the candidates with low scores have already dropped out: Beto (11-26), Gilllibrand (7-13), Hickenlooper (6-12), De Blasio (12-17), Swalwell (4-6), Inslee (3-7), Tim Ryan (3-12), and Moulton (9-10); and Sestak (3-10) is being dropped from lists because he consistently gets zero in polls.

Among the losers, your favorite (and my worst choice) Tulsi Gabbard has the best score (11-6), and she is hanging in there. Tom Steyer entered late but has some native talent and lots of money, if little qualification (11-7). Steve Bullock (10-7) and Michael Bennet (9-9) entered late and have not gotten traction. Cory Booker's score is mediocre and he is losing ground (6-7). Williamson (13-14) is not getting very far. Castro (8-13) has a poor score and is fading fast. 

Hillary is reputedly considering a run, but should not run (9-11 J = Jupiter rising, can give a candidate a boost, but this is uncertain). Delaney has been running a long time and getting nowhere (7-5). His score is one of the better mediocre ones, but his qualifications are minor. 

Wayne Messam (15-8) has some native talent, but he is running as a very-small town mayor, and no-one has ever heard of him. Perhaps he's someone to reckon with in the future if he can get elected governor or something. He has been dropped from poll lists for consistently scoring zero.

Hillary Clinton, 9-11 J
Bernie Sanders, 14-7
Joe Biden, 14-7
Elizabeth Warren, 8-7
Kamala Harris, 4-16*
Beto O'Rourke, 11-26
Pete Buttigieg, 7-8
Cory Booker, 6-7
Amy Klobuchar, 7-7
Kirsten Gillibrand, 7-13 ("Mrs. Firebrand" would score 9-11 if born before 6 AM)
Joe & Julian Castro, 8-13
Tulsi Gabbard, 11-6
Steve Bullock, 10-7
Marianne Williamson, 13-14
Andrew Yang, 8-15
John Delaney, 7-5*
John Hickenlooper, 6-12
Bill DeBlasio, 12-17*
Eric Swalwell, 4-6
Jay Inslee, 3-7
Michael Bennet, 9-9*
Seth Moulton, 9-10
Tom Steyer, 11-7
Tim Ryan, 3-12
Joe Sestak, 3-10

* = Saturn Return due for this candidate. If this happens in the first 3 years of the term sought, the candidate loses (or in one historical case was soon killed in office).

http://philosopherswheel.com/presidentia...ScoredWhat

-- thanx 4 your analysis Eric. Looks like the Dems need 2 get behind Bernie or be stuck with 4 more years of the Donald