Election 2020

[Eric the Green]

Ah, good news. Sanders back ahead of Warren in today's real clear politics poll average. There's still hope the Democrats will nominate a candidate with a horoscope score that indicates a good chance to win, which are only Sanders and Biden. It's still a crap shoot no matter who among the candidates now running is nominated. Patrick is not in the averages list yet.

Commentators still say Booker's debate performances are so good that his poll numbers should rise. I haven't see that yet. His score is only 6-7.

So far only candidates with negative scores have dropped out.

Democratic Presidential Nomination average Nov.22 with horoscope scores and generation
Biden 29.8 14-7 war-baby silent
Sanders 19.3 14-7 war-baby silent
Warren 18.5 8-7 boomer
Buttigieg 7.8 7-8 or 7-9 early millennial
Harris 4.0 4-16 Xer
Yang 2.8 8-15 Xer
Bloomberg 2.3 7-5 war-baby silent
Gabbard 2.0 11-6 late Xer
Klobuchar 1.5 7-7 Jones boomer
Steyer 1.3 11-7 boomer
Booker 1.3 6-7 Xer
Castro 1.0 8-13 Xer
Bennet 0.8 8-9 Xer
Delaney 0.8 7-5 Xer
Bullock 0.5 10-7 Xer
Williamson 0.3 13-14 boomer

Biden +10.5

Trump seems to be getting a bump from the impeachment hearings. Well, no-one ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American people.

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/...hment-poll

Remember I have said that Wisconsin is the key state to watch, although the MSNBC commentator points out that the Democrat would win by losing WI and winning the two districts in Nebraska and Maine.

If it goes to House though (if the Democrat only wins one of those districts), then the Democrats will have to pick up seats in a few states to get a majority of the states, because in the House vote for president each state gets one vote.

The count now is 26 Rep., 23 Dem, 1 tie (PA). Florida has +1 Rep., WI has +1 Rep. with 1 vacancy.
AZ, MI and CO have +1 Democratic
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cu...e_by_state