12-03-2019, 01:29 AM
(This post was last modified: 12-03-2019, 02:12 AM by Eric the Green.)
(12-03-2019, 01:20 AM)ResidentArtist Wrote: Warren's really dipped a lot from where she was a month ago. Bernie's in the same crowd as her for the most part so it's somewhat of a shock that Buttigieg has been the one to inherit support. On that note, RCP averages in Iowa has doubly surprised me; Buttigieg is leading with 24.0% and Biden has fallen to fourth. I wonder if he takes most of Biden's supporters if the caucuses turn out that way. If so he may assume frontrunner status going into Nevada and South Carolina.
Buttigieg will probably not wear well either. The polls in New Hampshire are by no means clear; each one shows a different front runner among the four. I don't think he will poll as well in the primaries in larger states and in the South. We'll see, but my prediction is that he will likely not be the nominee, but that if he is, he will lose the election.