Election 2020

[Bob Butler 54]

I’m not going to address Trump for once.  I can go pretty much with your rejection of him and the GOP.

But I am not sure at all you can bring the Industrial Age turnings into the Information Age.  My current perspective…

The Boomer idealist generation was split.  Rather that a single point of view getting ready for the transformational crisis, the split idealistic generation guaranteed nothing moved, not only in the unraveling, but in what would have been the crisis as well.

Everything transformational the Blue Boomers were going to do was done in the Awakening of their youth.  In the process they left behind a future shock which left the Red Boomers refusing change hard.  If either group “won” for a time, the independents would lean away for a term or two, giving the other faction power.  Thus, a see saw of power back and forth.

There was no regeneracy with the boomers holding onto power pushing the new values using force.  Thus, the crisis never really fit the old Industrial Age pattern.

We may have a transformation time coming back again.  The progressives had their ascendancy from the New Deal through Great Society.  The conservatives pretty much froze things from Nixon though Trump.  But it will not be so much a crisis as the boomers have pretty much aged out of power.

It may have elements of a 1st turning.  As McCarthy rejected communism in the last 1T, I could easily see lying politicians being very unpopular for a time.  Trumpism will be rejected.  The spirit of OK Boomer could mesh in with a rejection of short term greed and dominance of ecological thinking.  There would have to be a massive infrastructure project, very 1T, to rebuild the energy infrastructure.  Something of the old generations might catch, even if the transformational crises doesn’t.

But we will have to see if Sanders or Warren caches fire and takes 2020.  There is some chance for a true crisis yet, even with crisis wars being obsolete and the idealists split.