02-10-2020, 02:32 PM
Quinnipiac poll, post-impeachment:
On approval:
https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-det...aseID=3655
Trump is evidently in a far weaker position than was Obama in 2012 or Dubya in 2004. The only good thing that one can say is that he has not slid from a stronger position; polling of President Trump has been remarkably stable... and, for an incumbent President, inadequate for getting re-elected so far. 53% disapproval is really awful.
Statewide polls will tell whether Trump can win with a percentage of the popular vote even lower than the 45.62% that Mike Dukakis got in 1988. (Dukakis got only 111 electoral votes in 1988, but it is hard to see how Trump could under-perform that.
Quote:Among all registered voters, Democratic candidates lead President Trump in general election matchups by between 4 and 9 percentage points, with Bloomberg claiming the biggest numerical lead against Trump:
Bloomberg tops Trump 51 - 42 percent;
Sanders defeats Trump 51 - 43 percent;
Biden beats Trump 50 - 43 percent;
Klobuchar defeats Trump 49 - 43 percent;
Warren wins narrowly over Trump 48 - 44 percent;
Buttigieg is also slightly ahead of Trump 47 - 43 percent.
On approval:
Quote:Less than a week after President Trump was acquitted in the Senate impeachment trial and delivered his State of the Union address, the president's job approval continues to match his highest approval number, with 43 percent of voters saying they approve of the job President Trump is doing and 53 percent saying they disapprove. This remains essentially unchanged since mid-December 2019. Broken down along party lines, Republicans approve 89 - 9 percent, Democrats disapprove 94 - 4 percent, and independents are split with 46 percent approving and 50 percent disapproving.
Looking at how President Trump compares to his two predecessors at the same point in their re-election years, voters gave President Obama a slightly negative 45 - 49 percent job approval rating in February of 2012, and President Bush a slightly positive 48 - 45 percent job approval rating in February of 2004. Unlike President Trump, though, both presidents had hit higher approval ratings in their previous years in office. President Obama had hit a high of 59 percent approval in 2009, and President Bush received a high of 83 percent approval in 2001.
"Fresh from acquittal by the Senate, feistily throwing haymakers in every direction, the president presumably has a strong economy to ride all the way to Election Day. The Democrats are facing a reinvigorated and formidable Trump," added Malloy.
https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-det...aseID=3655
Trump is evidently in a far weaker position than was Obama in 2012 or Dubya in 2004. The only good thing that one can say is that he has not slid from a stronger position; polling of President Trump has been remarkably stable... and, for an incumbent President, inadequate for getting re-elected so far. 53% disapproval is really awful.
Statewide polls will tell whether Trump can win with a percentage of the popular vote even lower than the 45.62% that Mike Dukakis got in 1988. (Dukakis got only 111 electoral votes in 1988, but it is hard to see how Trump could under-perform that.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.