UTAH:
Sanders - 33
Trump - 50
Biden - 33
Trump - 50
https://www.deseret.com/utah/2020/3/4/21...er-tuesday
Rather weak for a Republican -- in Utah. I'm guessing that a third-party nominee could easily cut a Trump win in Utah to a mere plurality. But it is still Utah, and we know nothing about third-Party and independent campaigns yet.
Mormons are the definitive family-values conservatives. Donald Trump is still the worst fit for a Republican Presidential nominee for Utah since Thomas E. Dewey... who lost it in 1948. (Goldwater lost Utah in 1964, but he got a higher share of the total vote in 1964 than Trump got in Utah in 2016.
A third-Party independent or conservative nominee could take some votes away from Trump. That Trump barely scrapes 50 (50 does win, of course) means that he will win the state unless the President is rash enough to "triple-dog-dare" Mitt Romney to run against him.
I can't imagine any Democrat winning Utah until the state has demographics like those of neighboring Arizona, Colorado, or Nevada. In a way it would be cute to see a patch of Atlas green indicating that someone not in one of the two main Parties winning Utah without being a racist secession from the Democratic Party -- since 1924.
![[Image: genusmap.php?year=1964&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_...&NE3=0;1;6]](https://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=1964&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=2;;7&AK=0;;4&AZ=1;;2&AR=0;;6&CA=1;;7&CO=1;;7&CT=1;;8&DE=1;;7&DC=0;;9&FL=1;;2&GA=2;;5&HI=0;;7&ID=0;;6&IL=0;;5&IN=0;;5&IA=0;;5&KS=0;;5&KY=0;;6&LA=0;;5&MD=1;;7&MA=0;;6&MI=1;;2&MN=0;;4&MS=2;;7&MO=2;;5&MT=2;;7&NV=1;;2&NH=0;;5&NJ=1;;5&NM=0;;5&NY=1;;7&NC=1;;2&ND=0;;5&OH=0;;5&OK=2;;7&OR=0;;5&PA=1;;5&RI=0;;6&SC=2;;2&SD=0;;5&TN=0;;5&TX=2;;2&UT=2;;5&VT=0;;6&VA=1;;7&WA=0;;5&WV=0;;6&WI=1;;2&WY=0;;6&ME=1;;5&ME1=0;1;5&ME2=0;1;5&NE=0;;5&NE1=0;1;5&NE2=0;1;5&NE3=0;1;6)
Trump 55% or higher
Trump 50% to 54.9%
Trump leading but with less than50%
exact tie (white)
Biden leading with less than 50%
Biden with 50% to 54.9%
Biden with 55% or more
![[Image: genusmap.php?year=1964&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_...&NE3=0;1;6]](https://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=1964&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=2;;7&AK=0;;4&AZ=2;;2&AR=0;;6&CA=1;;7&CO=1;;7&CT=1;;8&DE=1;;2&DC=0;;9&FL=4;;1&GA=2;;5&HI=0;;7&ID=0;;6&IL=0;;5&IN=0;;5&IA=0;;5&KS=0;;5&KY=0;;6&LA=0;;5&MD=1;;7&MA=0;;6&MI=1;;2&MN=0;;4&MS=2;;7&MO=2;;5&MT=2;;7&NV=1;;5&NH=0;;5&NJ=1;;5&NM=0;;5&NY=1;;7&NC=2;;2&ND=0;;5&OH=0;;5&OK=2;;7&OR=0;;5&PA=1;;2&RI=0;;6&SC=2;;2&SD=0;;5&TN=0;;5&TX=2;;2&UT=2;;5&VT=0;;6&VA=1;;7&WA=0;;5&WV=0;;6&WI=4;;1&WY=0;;6&ME=1;;5&ME1=0;1;5&ME2=0;1;5&NE=0;;5&NE1=0;1;5&NE2=0;1;5&NE3=0;1;6)
Trump 55% or higher
Trump 50% to 54.9%
Trump leading but with less than 50%
exact tie (white)
Sanders leading with less than 50%
Sanders with 50% to 54.9%
Sanders with 55% or more
Sanders - 33
Trump - 50
Biden - 33
Trump - 50
https://www.deseret.com/utah/2020/3/4/21...er-tuesday
Rather weak for a Republican -- in Utah. I'm guessing that a third-party nominee could easily cut a Trump win in Utah to a mere plurality. But it is still Utah, and we know nothing about third-Party and independent campaigns yet.
Mormons are the definitive family-values conservatives. Donald Trump is still the worst fit for a Republican Presidential nominee for Utah since Thomas E. Dewey... who lost it in 1948. (Goldwater lost Utah in 1964, but he got a higher share of the total vote in 1964 than Trump got in Utah in 2016.
A third-Party independent or conservative nominee could take some votes away from Trump. That Trump barely scrapes 50 (50 does win, of course) means that he will win the state unless the President is rash enough to "triple-dog-dare" Mitt Romney to run against him.
I can't imagine any Democrat winning Utah until the state has demographics like those of neighboring Arizona, Colorado, or Nevada. In a way it would be cute to see a patch of Atlas green indicating that someone not in one of the two main Parties winning Utah without being a racist secession from the Democratic Party -- since 1924.
Trump 55% or higher
Trump 50% to 54.9%
Trump leading but with less than50%
exact tie (white)
Biden leading with less than 50%
Biden with 50% to 54.9%
Biden with 55% or more
Trump 55% or higher
Trump 50% to 54.9%
Trump leading but with less than 50%
exact tie (white)
Sanders leading with less than 50%
Sanders with 50% to 54.9%
Sanders with 55% or more
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.