03-10-2020, 01:40 PM
(03-10-2020, 12:26 PM)David Horn Wrote:(03-09-2020, 05:07 PM)Eric the Green Wrote: … I am more upset about Sanders' loss (and about older Americans) than I thought I would be. I suppose I will hold my nose and vote for Biden in November. But I still have major doubts about him both as a candidate and as a potential president.
I note though, that I was correct about his chances as a candidate, given his horoscope score, more so than many others were as his campaign went downhill in the first 3 primary states and during the debates.
All 3 surviving candidates have the best scores of any Democrats who ran. Only Trump has a marginally higher score, and he has a marginal advantage.
But Biden has all but sown up the nomination now, barring a severe attack of dementia on Joe's part in the next few weeks.
Joe is the choice of the scared-to-death crowd, who fully dominate the electorate this year. I doubt that he'll be a great President, and will not enjoy the benefit of a compliant Congress for longer than his first two years -- assuming the panic to get rid of the Donald carries over to the lower tier races.
He's a decent guy who should have won the job 30 years ago, when his philosophical bent fit the times better than today. Assuming he decides to hand the torch to his VP, rather than run again, that choice will decide whether there will be a Progressive end to the 4T or not. My guess is not. He'll need to find a woman or a man of color to take the job. His oil-on-troubled-waters style says it will be Stacey Abrams -- not a paragon of Progressivism, but a symbolic best-choice.
Yes, that would be a good one, with some chance of actually being elected, assuming the Republicans pick a weak candidate such as Mike Pence. As of now, the Republicans only have weak candidates to offer after Trump is deposed or retires. Her national status and profile is somewhat low though, so that might lead Joe to pick someone else. Tammy Baldwin is one possibility.
But his choice will not decide the nominee of the Party in 2024, necessarily, although (s)he may be a strong favorite. I don't see any true progressives on the scene for the Democrats who can likely win, now that Sanders seems likely to be defeated by Joe. If the Democrats think their candidate must be someone of color or a woman, that narrows the field so that a defeat is more likely.