Election 2020

[Eric the Green]

(08-15-2020, 05:17 PM)pbrower2a Wrote:

(08-15-2020, 12:30 PM)Eric the Green Wrote:

(08-15-2020, 07:10 AM)David Horn Wrote:

(08-13-2020, 02:04 PM)Eric the Green Wrote: The Lincoln Project and other non-trumpers do not amount to much as a percentage of the Republican voters. Trump commands well over 90% of his party and they are still enthusiastic about their dear leader. I would not distinguish too much between the trumpists and the "establishment." Trump represents the establishment, and the nonsense about his being a populist who appeals to the angry is just window dressing. I have very little confidence that the Republicans will regroup any time soon. They remain dedicated to their trickle-down economics and, whether in the closet or out, their racist prejudices and fears and their superstitions and conspiracy theories.

The GOP has always been a party of internal loyalists.  The military is primarily Republican for that very reason.  They tend to follow the orders of their clan, so 180 degree shifts in position are easily shrugged off.  Yes, Trump is the current capo d' tutti capo of that mafia family.  I'm not sure how permanent that is though.  

Eric the Green Wrote:Shifts happen and the pendulum swings, whether deserved or not. That's the way things go. Conservatives find a leader or a slogan to deceive the people for a while. But with Harris on the ticket, the danger is great for another Republican resurgence just at the most decisive time in the history of the world, the year 2025. If no-one steps up who can be a great leader to challenge Harris, the results will be tragic to say the least. Another near-fascist Republican is likely to take over, because our 4T will NOT be over. Likely a he, perhaps Tom Cotton, he will be able to crush any left revolt and consolidate the oligarchy for generations. The USA will officially be a banana republic. It remains to be seen whether America will heed my warning, and for Democrats to choose another better leader in 2024. Or we are in real trouble again. And 2024 is tomorrow.

Unlike the GOPpers, Dems tend to be divisive at all times.  If Biden-Harris is a bomb, or worse: a snoozer, someone will rise up to challenge.  The Progressives are biting their collective tongues right now.  In 4 years, I don't see that still being true.  In fact, it may arrive on January 21st, 2021.

I'm sure of it. Whether it will prevail in actual elections remains to be seen.

And it depends on the quality and campaigning skill of the candidates, who actually gets elected. Some people are talking about AOC for president in 2024. I love her and support her work, but president? Democrats need to consider more carefully whom the independents and silent Democrats are likely to see as a leader, regardless of policies. My horoscope scores should be heeded. AOC doesn't measure up. She is just too small.

Kamala's score is 4-16. She is just not a very capable leader. People are not realizing this.

People have bigger problems in life than their "stars". FDR was a literal cripple, and somehow he turned out well.

The horoscope scores are a good indication of how well a candidate can connect with voters. Whether you believe this or not, the empirical research shows that the scores do correspond to performance remarkably well. FDR's score of 21-4 was one of the best ever.

Kamala Harris's campaign in 2020 fizzled as her audiences dwindled, because she doesn't connect well. Democrats will need to realize this in 2024. They can get away with Biden choosing a veep that may work for other reasons now. But when the campaign for 2024 starts, they'd better consider voter connectivity when they choose a presidential candidate. 

This candidate will need to be exceptionally capable in this regard, like Mitch Landrieu (score 16-2), and not exceptionally poor, like Kamala Harris (score 4-16), if they are going to win in 2024 and keep the pendulum from swinging back to the excrement called Republican presidencies as it has done ever since 1968.

http://philosopherswheel.com/presidentia...tions.html