Election 2020

[Bob Butler 54]

(10-09-2020, 04:39 AM)Arkarch Wrote: As I expressed in a "Howe and the 1T" forum post, I believe we have just passed the 4T tipping point.  What worked for Trump in 2016, maybe even early 2020, will no longer work.  I believe we have now toppled every institution we hold dear - to include health, police, post office and the Supreme Court.  "Law and Order" strategy is just kicking at ghosts.

I believe people are now looking for stability so that new ideas may flourish.  If the first debate was any indication, people are turned off by the fighting.  Also true in culture - a spoken word poet won AGT.  Singers are releasing introspective songs.  We'll see where the movies and TV go, but flashy seems out.

National Polls are rapidly moving - and I believe the election is no longer ideological-driven  Many centrist Republicans have joined the Biden side.  People are just tired of kicking sand castles.

I agree we have passed a 4T tipping point.  The question is less have we reached it at this point, but what we have reached and why?  I have been trying to figure out the cultural divide from years.   I’ve come to look at it from a bunch of angles.  Which one is most relevant?  What element once leaned towards the conservatives and is now leaning the other way?

After a little thought, the answer seems all of the above.

There are now more working poor votes than racist votes.  The selfish period of the S&H turnings has passed.  It is time to sacrifice for the community rather than be selfish.  We have taken ignoring problems, small government and low taxes too far.  The corruption of government is becoming not tolerable.  We have ignored science too much.  COVID is too deadly.

While all of the above might have flipped in time, Trump in his desperation to cling to power, has made parts of America that are neither red or blue not work.  He has hurt our elections, our post office, well, everything Arkarch mentioned above.  Folks that would have clung to one aspect or another of the old regime have to reconsider.

I am not sure people are tired so much as the Republicans have split themselves hopelessly.  The Trump Base, the establishment and the true conservatives are going to have to fight for the remnants leaving the Democrats a time of being dominant.  Not sure which Republican faction will come out on top.  The transition of power has to happen first, which is looking interesting enough.