Election 2020

[Eric the Green]

Polling averages Oct.25, 11 PM EDT
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pol.../national/
The polls are still a bit unsettled from hour to hour. Biden declining from his 10.7 high a week ago to 9.2 today. FL and NC back into tossup status, and AZ wobbling back and forth on the edge. White voters in red states, especially in the heart of Dixie, seem ready to roll over and line-up more solidly behind their racist dear leader, and senate races in KS and SC may be affected. But some of the swing states such as MI and WI seem to be holding steady or getting bluer. Montana's red tinge, with its important senate race, is getting lighter, and Texas may be flipping. Biden's lead in California has been trimmed by about 2 points in recent days, which can move the national needle. But CO is getting more blue.

CA will count mail-in and early ballots as soon as they come in, and FL, NC and AZ will count ballots fast. If Biden can hold his slim lead in the sun belt swing states, the election might be called before election night is over. If not, since counting in PA, MI and WI will be slow we might not know for weeks. And Trump's Court challenges will be stronger.

National Biden +9.2

Alaska Trump +6.1
Arizona Biden +3
Florida Biden +2.4
Georgia Biden +0.4
Indiana Trump +10.1
Iowa Biden +1.2
Kansas Trump +10
Maine CD-2 Biden +2.1
Michigan Biden +8
Minnesota Biden +8
Missouri Trump +6.6
Montana Trump +6.7
Nevada Biden +6.3
New Hampshire Biden +11.2
North Carolina Biden +2.5
Ohio Trump +1.5
Pennsylvania Biden +5.6
South Carolina Trump +8.5
Texas even
Utah Trump +10
Wisconsin Biden +6.7