Election 2020

[Isoko]

I'm still looking at the Rasmussen poll. The Trafalgar poll I am a sceptic on and I agree with Eric and Pbrower on that one. However the Rasmussen poll is interesting. 

They did accurately predict the huge Biden lead two weeks ago when he was actually 12 points ahead. Then a week ago they dropped it to 5 points ahead. Now today they have Trump 1 point ahead of Biden with the potentiality of a Florida win.

I think if Trump was doing really badly, Rasmussen wouldnt change the polls so drastically. 

That said, I think it's only Trumps base who are super charged to turn out for him. I think that last time around in 2016, you did have moderates who held their noses and voted for Trump because they did not like Hilary Clinton. Those moderates this time around I think will back Biden because of the covid thing.

Plus when I check out the tweets that Trump posts, the responses are usually very negative towards him. 

I don't know honestly. If I was to offer advice, I would say better to stay on the side of caution and take note of the Rasmussen poll as it could be indicating the mood of where things are going.