Election 2020

[Eric the Green]

(10-29-2020, 12:28 AM)jleagans Wrote: Wherever you are it won't be needed.  I've gamed this out and if he wins I'm convinced California and Texas secession should be expected.  California just won't abide his rule and destruction of law, and Texas (and I'm saying this as a Texan) has a self-identity that won't allow California to secede first .

That's true, there have been ideas afloat about secession for a while. It depends on how far it goes. I had predicted this idea might be floated in the 2020s since way back in the 1970s based on my reading of the planetary cycles.

I doubt CA and TX would secede under the same circumstances. TX is now a purple state, so it might not go now, although when Perry was governor he proposed secession. Blue states might secede if Trump gets installed by Court order, and red states might secede if Trump loses. 

I have thought 2025 would be about the time this happens, though, figuring that after the 2024 election things could get more drastic all the way around. I didn't know about Kamala Harris in the 1970s, obviously, but now it appears that if she is the nominee in 2024, she will lose and thus force a return of trumpism (under the most-likely candidate, Tom Cotton). Kamala is not a winning candidate. She should not have been chosen VP. Blue states might then secede. Alternatively, if a younger and more powerful candidate than Biden wins the Democratic nomination over Kamala, and gets elected, the red states might feel the pinch of new taxes and gun laws and rebel. I have thought this is the more-likely scenario, at least before Kamala was chosen VP.

So I'm not sure if now is the time for secession. The Court just allowed ballots postmarked on election day but received days later to be counted in PA and NC. They are not allowing them in WI. Barrett did not interfere, saying she didn't know enough about the case. It seems like despite their eagerness to get Barrett on the Court so it would rule the other way on this, they were too late for their power play after all. So, things are looking up, at least for now. Biden is up in WI, and holding on in PA and NC.

Update: it appears Kavanaugh and the other 3 reactionaries may have only postponed a decision in this issue, and they could get Barrett's vote next time. Right now I think the repugs could pull off suppressing the late-arriving ballots in PA, but Biden has a fairly steady lead in PA and so far the ballots outstanding would cut off almost as many Republicans as Democrats if not allowed. The North Carolina case may be harder for Barrett to stomach, since state law allows late-arriving ballots in emergencies. Stay tuned.