Generational Dynamics World View

[John J. Xenakis]

** 23-May-2019 Trade war with China and Vietnam

(05-22-2019, 06:02 PM)David Horn Wrote: > I read a great critique of Trump's trade war as stupid on tactics,
> totally lacking in strategy, but something that needed to be done.
> China has been riding the "developing nation" hobby horse far
> longer than they deserved to ride it. Add their great plans for
> world leadership, but also their weaknesses. They are already
> showing their hand on their one-sided view of trade and political
> relationships. What happens if the world decides that China is
> just too risky to have as a partner on really important things,
> and too domineering on everything else, and decamps for ABC
> (Anywhere But China) for making their things, great and small.
> This can get really messy really fast.

(05-23-2019, 11:04 AM)Tim Randal Walker Wrote: > Moving to Vietnam to avoid tariffs will likely turn out to be a
> short term tactic. Americans will eventually notice (we aren't
> entirely stupid), and the trade war will expand in its geographic
> spread.

In the middle of the US-China trade negotiations, China passed the
Foreign Investment Law in March, which codified the worst corrupt,
extortionist and militaristic policies of the CCP toward foreign-owned
businesses, and then on May 3 eviscerated their own commitments that
would have reversed these corrupt, extortionist and militaristic
policies. The CCP is a global criminal in every possible way.
They're running concentration camps and crematoria (like Hitler's
concentration camps), they're violently cracking down on Uighurs,
Tibetans, Muslims, Buddhists and Christians (as Hitler violently
cracked down on Jews and Roma), they're annexing other countries'
regions (like Hitler's Lebensraum), they have complete contempt for
international law (like Hitler), and they're preparing for war in
every possible way (like Hitler).

Trump has no intention of being this generation's Neville Chamberlain.
He's using the US-China trade negotiations as a tool to derail the
CCP's path to total war. It will not succeed because a world war in
100% certain anyway, but as I've said many times, and I'm not going to
criticize Trump for trying to prevent a world war, even if war is
certain no matter what he does.

There are plenty of reasons why a business might relocate a factory
from China to Vietnam -- substantially lower labor and real estate
costs, and less of the criminality -- corruption and extortion --
that's embedded in Chinese law.

Trump is not going to expand the trade war to Vietnam because Vietnam
will be our ally. He's not that stupid, and he completely baffles the
idiots on the left. Impeach! Impeach! Impeach!

[David Horn]

(05-23-2019, 12:53 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: ** 23-May-2019 Trade war with China and Vietnam

(05-22-2019, 06:02 PM)David Horn Wrote: >   I read a great critique of Trump's trade war as stupid on tactics,
>   totally lacking in strategy, but something that needed to be done.
>   China has been riding the "developing nation" hobby horse far
>   longer than they deserved to ride it. Add their great plans for
>   world leadership, but also their weaknesses. They are already
>   showing their hand on their one-sided view of trade and political
>   relationships.  What happens if the world decides that China is
>   just too risky to have as a partner on really important things,
>   and too domineering on everything else, and decamps for ABC
>   (Anywhere But China) for making their things, great and small.
>   This can get really messy really fast.

(05-23-2019, 11:04 AM)Tim Randal Walker Wrote: >   Moving to Vietnam to avoid tariffs will likely turn out to be a
>   short term tactic. Americans will eventually notice (we aren't
>   entirely stupid), and the trade war will expand in its geographic
>   spread.

In the middle of the US-China trade negotiations, China passed the
Foreign Investment Law in March, which codified the worst corrupt,
extortionist and militaristic policies of the CCP toward foreign-owned
businesses, and then on May 3 eviscerated their own commitments that
would have reversed these corrupt, extortionist and militaristic
policies.  The CCP is a global criminal in every possible way.
They're running concentration camps and crematoria (like Hitler's
concentration camps), they're violently cracking down on Uighurs,
Tibetans, Muslims, Buddhists and Christians (as Hitler violently
cracked down on Jews and Roma), they're annexing other countries'
regions (like Hitler's Lebensraum), they have complete contempt for
international law (like Hitler), and they're preparing for war in
every possible way (like Hitler).

Trump has no intention of being this generation's Neville Chamberlain.
He's using the US-China trade negotiations as a tool to derail the
CCP's path to total war.  It will not succeed because a world war in
100% certain anyway, but as I've said many times, and I'm not going to
criticize Trump for trying to prevent a world war, even if war is
certain no matter what he does.

There are plenty of reasons why a business might relocate a factory
from China to Vietnam -- substantially lower labor and real estate
costs, and less of the criminality -- corruption and extortion --
that's embedded in Chinese law.

Trump is not going to expand the trade war to Vietnam because Vietnam
will be our ally.  He's not that stupid, and he completely baffles the
idiots on the left.  Impeach!  Impeach!  Impeach!

I can't see anything even vaguely resembling a strategy, just a series of stunts the world already knows are bluffs.  When the shit hits the fan, and the US economy starts to tank (and it will), Mafia Don will fold like a cheap paper napkin.  
Relocating industries is extremely expensive, and not justified to the plutocrats who run our companies, unless it benefits them personally.   Don't hold your breath for a mass exit.

[John J. Xenakis]

(05-23-2019, 03:53 PM)David Horn Wrote: > I can't see anything even vaguely resembling a strategy, just a
> series of stunts the world already knows are bluffs. When the
> shit hits the fan, and the US economy starts to tank (and it
> will), Mafia Don will fold like a cheap paper napkin. Relocating
> industries is extremely expensive, and not justified to the
> plutocrats who run our companies, unless it benefits them
> personally. Don't hold your breath for a mass exit.

Lol! Impeach! Impeach! Impeach! Impeach!

[John J. Xenakis]

** 23-May-2019 Gen-Xers and Boomers in Brexit and financial crisis

John Wrote:> The continuing Brexit disaster is a perfect example of what
> happens when Gen-Xers are in charge of running things.

Xeraphim1 Wrote:> John, I've seen you make this statement before, but May, Leadsom
> and Corbyn are all boomers. The problem with Brexit is that even
> though Conservatives generally supported Leave, their MPs are
> still majority Remainers, including May, who don't really want to
> go. May was a bad selection from the start as her incompetence
> since has illustrated well.

> Previously you blamed the CMO crash on X-ers, characterizing the
> Boomers running the issuing firms as some kind of amiable dunces
> who couldn't understand what they were selling. I think you may
> need to revisit your assumptions.

The huge mass of voters today are Millennials and Gen-Xers. May,
Leadsom and Corbyn are all in those positions because of idiotic
Millennial / Gen-Xer policies. You can look at it in two different
ways. One way is that the Boomers know better, but are forced to
implement the policies of their voters. The other way is that the
Boomers are just as stupid as the Xers, and that's the reason they
were elected. Either way, it's the Xers and Millennials who are
deciding the policies.

As for the financial crisis, I've written probably hundreds of
articles on this subject in the last 15 years. Here's a brief
summary:

• Gen-Xers earned their Masters degrees in "Financial Engineering"
  in the 1990s.
  
  
  
• In the 2000s, Gen-Xer "financial engineers" created fraudulent
  sub-prime mortgage backed synthetic securities, and sold them because
  they wanted to screw their fathers and their fathers' generation.
  
  
  
• Their Boomer bosses could not have created these fraudulent
  securities, because had no clue how they worked.
  
  
  
• However, the Boomer bosses should have known that they were
  fraudulent, because they used slicing and dicing to transform
  high-risk B and C rated securities into nominally equivalent AAA-rated
  securities. The Boomer bosses should have known this was going on and
  stopped it, but they were making too much money.
  
  
  
• The quintessential Gen-Xer Barack Obama chose not to prosecute the
  bankers -- the Gen-Xers or the Boomers -- but instead chose to benefit
  from the fraud by accepting billions of dollars in contributions for
  elections and other left-wing projects, such as Obamacare. Obama is
  easily the most corrupt president in my lifetime. Trump's honesty is
  a breath of fresh air.

[John J. Xenakis]

** 24-May-2019 World View: Kim Jong-un says N. Korea denuclearization talks are over

What is becoming increasingly apparent is that the failed February 28
summit meeting in Hanoi between Donald Trump and North Korea's Kim
Jong-un was the climax of North Korea's entire strategy in US-NK
negotiations.

In other words, Kim's entire "charm offensive" strategy was building
to the February 28 summit, where he expected diplomatic pressure to
force Trump to agree to remove the sanctions with nothing in return.
With that strategy having failed on February 28, Kim has nothing left
except threats.

On Friday, the North Korean news service KCNA posted the following:

Quote: "U.S. Is Accountable for Rupture of Hanoi Summit
Talks: DPRK Foreign Ministry Spokesperson

Pyongyang, May 24 (KCNA) -- A spokesperson for the Ministry of
Foreign Affairs of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea
(DPRK) gave the following answer to a question put by KCNA on May
24, as regards the attempt revealing within the United States to
impute to the DPRK the cause for the rupture of the Hanoi
DPRK-U.S. summit talks:

As we have stated before, the underlying cause of setback of the
DPRK-U.S. summit talks in Hanoi is the arbitrary and dishonest
position taken by the United States, insisting on a method which
is totally impossible to get through.

For the sake of building confidence, a main key to an alleviation
of the DPRK-U.S. hostile relations, we took crucial and meaningful
measures of a strategically decisive nature including the
discontinuation of nuclear test and test-fire of intercontinental
ballistic missile, and we also took a broadminded step towards the
realization of the repatriation of the American POW/MIA remains.

However, the United States did not respond to our goodwill
measures in the same manner, but deliberately pushed the talks to
a rupture by merely claiming the unilateral disarmament of the
DPRK.

Notwithstanding the above facts, the United States attempts to
ascribe the setback of the DPRK-U.S. summit talks in Hanoi to a
completely irrelevant issue and to impute the responsibility for
the ruptured talks to the DPRK. Such American ulterior intention
definitely needs to be brought to the attention.

We hereby make it clear once again that the United States would
not be able to move us even an inch with the device it is now
weighing in its mind, and the further its mistrust and hostile
acts towards the DPRK grow, the fiercer our reaction will be.

Unless the United States puts aside the current method of
calculation and comes forward with a new method of calculation,
the DPRK-U.S. dialogue will never be resumed and by extension, the
prospect for resolving the nuclear issue will be much gloomy.

The U.S. would be well advised to wake up to reality and learn
anew how to have dialogue and negotiation."

The statement doesn't explain what "device" is being referred to. It
also doesn't explain what the "completely irrelevant issue" is,
through I assume it's the request by the American side to provide a
list of all nuclear and missile development sites.

The only "crucial and meaningful measures" that the North Koreans have
taken were easily reversible. The major one was blowing up the
Punggye-ri nuclear test site, but later satellite imagery sgiwed that
the site is still usable, and that several dozen personnel are still
working there.

The US has also taken a reversible "meaningful measure" -- namely
canceling all joint military drills with the South Koreans. However,
some drills have resumed, because ending them hasn't been
reciprocated.

Three weeks ago, the North Koreans tested some short-range ballistic
missiles, claiming that they didn't violate the existing agreement
with the US. However, these are exactly the kinds of missiles that
the North would use to attack Seoul.

The point is that nothing has really changed since the February 28
summit, and nothing is expected to change -- unless the North begins
testing nuclear weapons and missiles again, and that would trigger a
strong reaction.

The NK News has published an article listing the seven things that are
really pissing the North Koreans off. The article is long, but there
are the seven things:

• 1: FRUSTRATION WITH THE NO-DEAL SUMMIT
  
  
  
• 2. HATRED OF OBSTRUCTORS - blaming John Bolton and Mike Pompeo
  
  
  
• 3. IRRITATING BY BAD ADVICE - this refers to the bad advice that
  Kim received that led to the February 28 summit disaster
  
  
  
• 4. LACK OF PROGRESS ON THE INTER-KOREAN FRONT - blaming South
  Korea for not providing humanitarian assistance (money)
  
  
  
• 5. EMBARRASSED BY THE “MEDIATOR” - blaming South Korea President
  Moon Jae-in for siding with the US rather than with North Korea
  
  
  
• 6. OUTRAGE OVER MILITARY DRILLS - fury at the military drills
  between US and South Korea
  
  
  
• 7. INSULTED BY FOOD AID - fury at South Korea linking food aid to
  the North-South relationship

Another issue is that in April 2018, Indonesia seized the Wise Honest,
North Korea's second-largest cargo ship, because it was transporting a
large amount of coal, in violation of the United Nations sanctions.
On May 9, the US took control of the ship, and is still holding it.
On Tuesday, North Korea's UN ambassador called the seizure illegal,
and threatened: "The United States should deliberate and think over
the consequences its outrageous acts might have on the future
development."

The real question is what will happen if/when the North Koreans resume
tests of nuclear weapons and long-range ballistic missiles.

As I've pointed out in the past, China does not want North Korea to
resume these tests. Thanks to the North Korea tests, South Korea has
deployed a THAAD missile defense system that China absolutely hates.
What China wants is for America to withdraw forces from the region,
but North Korea's tests cause the opposite. They also provide support
to Japan's hawks to implement its own nuclear weapons. A resumption
of tests would probably bring more US forces into the region.



--- Sources:

-- U.S. Is Accountable for Rupture of Hanoi Summit Talks: DPRK Foreign
Ministry Spokesperson
http://kcna.kp/kcna.user.article.retriev...List.kcmsf
(KCNA, North Korea, 24-May-2019)


-- North Korea warns U.S. nuclear talks will never resume without 'new
calculation'
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-north...SKCN1SU0Z6
(Reuters, 24-May-2019)

-- North Korea’s seven Furies: what’s got Kim Jong Un hot under the
collar?
https://www.nknews.org/2019/05/north-kor...he-collar/
(NK News, 24-May-2019)

-- At rare UN news conference, North Korea warns US over seized ship
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/05/r...16437.html
(Al-Jazeera, 22-May-2019)

-- North Korea's Joe Biden 'imbecile' insult and what it tells us
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-48367261
(BBC, 22-May-2019)

[John J. Xenakis]

** 25-May-2019 World View: Long queues of Mount Everest climbers wait to reach summit

• Line of climbers near the Mount Everest summit

The above photo, which was taken last week by someone climbing Mount
Everest, has gone viral. It shows the long lines of people who have almost
reached the summit, and who must now wait in line for hours to complete
the climb.

The climbers are waiting in an area 26,200 feet above sea level called
"The Death Zone." At that point, an exhausted climber must deal with
everything from thin air to vertigo, not to mention high winds,
blinding snow, and freezing temperatures. 17 people have died so far
this year, making it the worst season in decades. Some are blaming
the deaths on overcrowding.

Nepal’s tourism ministry issued 381 climbing permits this year, the
highest number on record. Mount Everest climbers form a major source
of income for Nepal and for the Sherpas who serve as guides.

---- Sources:

-- Deadly human traffic jams have formed near the summit of Mount
Everest
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/deadly...2019-05-24
(Market Watch, 24-May-2019)

-- British climber dies on Mount Everest; death toll reaches 10
https://www.foxnews.com/great-outdoors/b...reaches-10
(Fox News, 25-May-2019)


----- Related
** At the end, the world still remembers Hillary's remarkable climb to the top
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e080111

[John J. Xenakis]

** 26-May-2019 Takin' a trip to China

The following is an edited version of my e-mail response to a web site
reader:

Dear Mark,

Quote:> Firstly, What are you views on the US policy on Huawei and
> potentially DJI and Hikvision.

As you know, my personal experience spending five years implementing
board level operating systems for embedded systems has made it clear
that it would be easy for a Huawei engineer with the right skills to
install undetectable backdoors in Huawei chips. Huawei is also
required by China's National Intelligence Law, passed in 2017, to
fully cooperate with China's military in collecting intelligence, so
installation of these undectable backdoors is required by Chinese law.

China's military is preparing for war in every possible way. By
aggressively subsidizing Huawei's 5G products, the CCP's strategy is
to have as much of the global internet running on Huawei devices as
possible. When China launches its war, China's control of the global
internet will give China's military an enormous advantage.

Trump's policy on Huawei has less to do with trade and more with
trying to cripple China's military strategy. This is going to be a
major international issue, especially since the US-China trade talks
have collapsed after China reneged on previous agreements.

So despite wishful thinking on the part of some people, the US policy
is here to stay, and will trigger increasingly hostile responses by
the CCP.

With regard to Hikvision and DJI, they have just been banned by the
US, like Huawei. China is using these products for massive
surveillance of Chinese citizens, especially in Xinjiang. Any city in
the world that installs these cameras should be aware that Hikvision
and DJI are required by China's military to cooperate in collecting
foreign intelligence, and these cameras would have undetectable
backdoors that allow them to send surveillance data back to the
Chinese military.

I understand why investors can't simply ignore these three companies,
but at the very least having anything to do with them is playing with
fire.

Quote:> Secondly, I am about to fly to Shenzhen, I was just warned that
> the city now has a mandatory video photo at every and has cameras
> across the city. A foreign fund manger was recently detained at
> exit as he was seen taking numerous photos around the city with
> his cameras. Given this technology is being exported globally this
> makes me very uncomfortable.

You have every reason to be uncomfortable. My web site,
GenerationalDynamics.com, has been under a continual low-level DDOS
attack from Chinese IP addresses since 2011. The CCP has arrested
Canadian citizens and threatened them with execution in retaliation
for the arrest of Huawei's CFO Meng Wanzhou.

The CCP is getting more and more countries pissed off at them, and
they would like to reduce that level of international hostility. As
far as I know, the UK is not currently a target country, and they
would not wish to create an international incident by arresting
someone like you. However, I would not do anything (like taking
pictures) that might be misinterpreted by the CCP.

By the way, as an international traveler you would be well known to
China's military. They're setting up their "social credit system,"
which is a database of every person in China and it's been extended to
people around the world by hacking hundreds of millions of records
from personnel, airline, hotel, and other private and government
databases in every country.

[Tim Randal Walker]

I am aware of the military build up in Japan. The new aircraft carrier construction is probably the most obvious. Online I came across a reference to land based anti-ship missiles, which Japan could base on the island countries of east Asia. I also came across an online reference to a "hypersonic glide bomb".

Japan is known to have the technical means to build a nuclear deterrent.. I don't know if they are, but such a project wouldn't surprise me. My guess that such a project might have been initiated a few years back when North Korea flew a missile over Japan.

If the USA were to withdraw its military from east Asia, Japan might be-at the least-a major distraction for China.

[pbrower2a]

Japan is a sleeping Great Power -- the sort of country that can be big trouble if provoked. The Japanese thug empire kicked American @$$ all the way to Guadalcanal and Midway, and it came close to defeating the Allies in the Pacific Theater. A Japanese conquest of Hawaii would have cut off supply lines between the United States and both Australia and New Zealand.

The reason for the defeat of the Japanese thug empire was that it was so thuggish. Thug regimes never win the peace even if they take the territory. Japan is not a thug empire this time.

A warning to any white racist fascists in America: you do not want a war with Japan. America might have to take anywhere between two and five stars off its flag after such a war.

[Tim Randal Walker]

Conceivably, the USA could avoid war with China by accepting a Japanese sphere of influence in east Asia.

[John J. Xenakis]

** 27-May-2019 World View: Media goes nuts over Trump's trip to Japan

Both Japan's prime minister Shinzo Abe and Trump's national security
adviser John Bolton have in the last couple of days condemned
the recent North Korean short-range missile tests as "quite a
regrettable act" that violated United Nations resolutions.

However, in a joint press conference on Tuesday in Tokyo with Shinzo
Abe, Trump said: "My people think it could have been a violation. I
view it differently." Abe didn't react to the statement, and they
were both smiling when the press conference ended.

This has caused hysteria in the media.

Today on the BBC, I heard an analyst say that the administration
is in chaos, as Trump contradicts Bolton on Abe.

On Al-Jazeera, I heard an analyst say that Abe is making a fool
of Trump by stroking Trump's ego.

On MSNBC, I heard a young girl snowflake, described as an "expert,"
declare that Kim Jong-un is playing Trump, and making a fool
of him.

The sheer stupidity of these people is beyond belief. It's pretty
obvious that Trump and Bolton are playing good cop/bad cop. This is
as obvious as the nose on your face.

I did hear one analyst suggest that this is the strategy, and added
that secretary of state Mike Pompeo is playing his part by telling the
North Koreans that they'd better do as Trump asks them, or he'll turn
Bolton loose on them. This is all "The Art of the Deal" that the
mainstream media are mostly too stupid to grasp, having majored in
college in sociology and women's studies.

There's another aspect to this that the mainstream media completely
misses. To the media, the only purpose of this meeting was to
talk about trade.

But both Trump and Abe are well aware that China is preparing for war
against Japan, to get revenge for World War II. The Japanese people
have lived in the same world as the Chinese all their lives. They
understand political correctness when they speak, but they also know
how much they hate the Chinese, and how much the Chinese hate them.
They understand the nuances of Chinese politically correct speeches.
They're able to read between the lines of Chinese statements and
understand meanings that Americans are oblivious to. They also are
brilliantly aware of what they did to the Chinese. Many Japanese are
Buddhists, and I understand that the Japanese word for Karma is
Karuma. Whatever the correct word is, the Japanese know what's
coming, and at some visceral level, dictated by Karma/Karuma, they
feel that they may deserve it.

So when Abe and Trump had their private meeting, they probably talked
a bit about trade, but the major topic of discussion would have been
the strategy to prepare for China's attack. They also would have discussed
Trump's good cop / bad cop strategy, and the press conference remarks
were probably planned.

So when Politico writes an idiotic article titled, "Trump finds
himself increasingly alone on North Korea," you can be pretty sure
that the snowflake reporters at Politico know nothing about history
prior to the last five years, and probably can't find China on a map.

---- Source:

-- Trump finds himself increasingly alone on North Korea
https://www.politico.com/story/2019/05/2...ea-1345034
(Politico)

[Tim Randal Walker]

Yes, the Japanese would know their part of the world much better than we do.

[Hintergrund]

(05-24-2019, 07:27 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: ** 23-May-2019 Gen-Xers and Boomers in Brexit and financial crisis

John Wrote:>   The continuing Brexit disaster is a perfect example of what
>   happens when Gen-Xers are in charge of running things.

Xeraphim1 Wrote:>   John, I've seen you make this statement before, but May, Leadsom
>   and Corbyn are all boomers. The problem with Brexit is that even
>   though Conservatives generally supported Leave, their MPs are
>   still majority Remainers, including May, who don't really want to
>   go. May was a bad selection from the start as her incompetence
>   since has illustrated well.

>   Previously you blamed the CMO crash on X-ers, characterizing the
>   Boomers running the issuing firms as some kind of amiable dunces
>   who couldn't understand what they were selling. I think you may
>   need to revisit your assumptions.

As for the financial crisis, I've written probably hundreds of
articles on this subject in the last 15 years.  Here's a brief
summary:

[*]Their Boomer bosses ... had no clue how they worked.


[*]However, the Boomer bosses should have known that they were
fraudulent, because they used slicing and dicing to transform
high-risk B and C rated securities into nominally equivalent AAA-rated
securities.  The Boomer bosses should have known this was going on and
stopped it, but they were making too much money.

[*]

I've marked the only parts of your post that are correct.

Apparently you haven't read 4th Turning or forgot everything. The chapter about 3T tells a lot about the influence of Silents in the financial industry, who added risk to the economy.

Why exactly should the Xers be better, after being treated by three older generations like that? We don't owe you a motherfucking thing.

[John J. Xenakis]

** 27-May-2019 Financial Topics: SPLC

aeden Wrote:> http://gdxforum.com/forum/search.php?keywords=splc
> how you know your government is past stupid
> https://donate.splcaction.org/sslpage.aspx?pid=1549

> ===========================================================
> The SPLC is a left-wing, racist, racially bigoted, religiously bigoted
> hate group, one of the worst in the country. It's a sign of the
> dramatic rise of left-wing hate groups in America, matching the
> dramatic rise of organized left-wing violence around the world.
> Thu Jun 03, 2010 12:13 pm
> John
> ==========================================================

> Now they are offshoring a untold amount in theft and its tax free
> for them. Truly we are governed by half wits.

Whew! I'm flattered that you saved that.

The SPLC is the latest in a long line of Democratic party
hate groups:

• During the Civil War, it was the Republicans that wanted to
  abolish slavery, and the Democrats who wanted to continue it.
  
  
  
• After the war, the Ku Klux Klan was formed as a militant
  arm of the Democratic Party.
  
  
  
• 70 years ago, the Ku Klux Klan branch of the Democratic party was
  a racist hate group targeting something like 12 million blacks.
  
  
  
• Today the SPLC and the same Democratic party are racially targeting
  60 million Trump supporters. They spread racist venom and they
  incite violence against Trump supporters. If Antifa beats the crap
  out of a Trump supporter, that's a good thing because, after all,
  he's a Trump supporter.
  
  
  
• This began well before Trump took office. For years, Democrats
  and the SPLC have described conservatives as "teabaggers," which is as
  offensive to them as "n-----r" is to blacks.

For whatever reason, in every era the Democratic Party seems always to
be the party of hate groups, and the SPLC is one of the leading hate
group organizations today.

[John J. Xenakis]

** 31-May-2019 World View: North Korea may have killed denuclearization negotiator as punishment

• Chief negotiator Kim Yong-chol (L) and Kim Hyok-chol, another
  negotiator

• Kim Yo-jong, the dictator's younger sister, along with Kim
  Song-hye, and Shin Hye-yong, the negotiators' female support
  group

According to the South Korean news service, Chosun Ilbo, North Korea's
child dictator Kim Jong-un has executed the North's chief negotiator,
as punishment for the failed February 28 summit president Donald
Trump.

Some analysts are pointing out that some previous reports of North
Korean executions have turned out not be true. The US is attempting
to verify whether that execution actually took place. In fact, there
are reports that the entire negotiating team, both men and women, have
been told to "lay low," although only chief negotiator Kim Yong-chol
is said to be dead.

There's no doubt that Kim's entire "charm offensive" strategy that
he's been following for the last year and a half completely crashed
and burned at the Hanoi summit. That was the moment when Kim was
going to diplomatically force Trump to agree to remove at least some
of the sanctions, with nothing in return. That would have been a
major global diplomatic victory for Kim, and would have enormously
humiliated Trump in the same way that Kim's father had humiliated
president George Bush. Instead, Trump refused, and instead demanded
that Kim at least take the simple step of providing a list of all the
nuclear weapons and ballistic missile development and test site. Kim
refused, and the Hanoi summit collapsed.

Instead, it was Kim that was enormously humiliated, and since then
it's been clear that Kim has no further strategy. Kim has simply
lost, and has nowhere to go.

The one place that Kim might have to go is to resume open testing of
nuclear weapons or long-range ballistic missiles. That would cause a
major international crisis. All signs are that China is opposed to
any such move by North Korea, because it would bring more American
forces into the region, and China would like fewer American forces.

It was just a week ago that North Korea announced that all
negotiations with the US were over, and the new reports would seem to
provide very strong confirmation of that.

According to the official North Korean Rodong Sinmun:

Quote: "Acting like one is revering the leader in front but
dreaming of something else when one turns around is an anti-party,
anti-revolutionary act that has thrown away the moral fidelity
toward the leader, and such people will not avoid the stern
judgment of the revolution.

There are traitors and turncoats who only memorize words of
loyalty toward the leader and even change according to the trend
of the time."

I guess the ultimate crime in North Korea is to dream of something
else except Kim Jong-un.

At any rate, there are two conclusions: (1) there is no expectation
that the UN and US sanctions targeting North Korea are going to be
lifted any time soon; and (2) North Korea's government is in total
chaos, and may do something desperate.


----- Sources:

-- North Korea / Kim Jong-un 'Brutally Purged Officials' After Failed
Summit
http://english.chosun.com/site/data/html...01126.html
(Chosun Ilbo, South Korea, 31-May-2019)


----- Related:

-- 24-May-2019 World View: Kim Jong-un says N. Korea denuclearization talks are over
http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php?...845#p45845

[John J. Xenakis]

** 01-Jun-2019 World View: Saudi Arabia and Qatar may be close to unifying against Iran

The last three days in Mecca, Saudi Arabia, have seen joint summit
meetings of three Sunni organizations -- the Gulf Coordination Council
(GCC), the Arab League, and the Organization of Islamic Cooperation
(OIC). The three summits were calledon an emergency basis by Saudi
Arabia, in response to bombing attacks on Sunday, May 12, on four
Saudi oil tankers in UAE's Fujairah port. Iran denies responsibility,
but the Saudis claim to have proof that Iran was responsible.

What's possibly most significant about the meeting is that the prime
minister of Qatar attended the meeting and that, furthermore, he shook
hands with both King Salman and Crown Prince Salman.

It's been two years since Saudi Arabia, joined by United Arab Emirates
(UAE), Bahrain and Egypt, broke relations with Qatar and imposed an
air, sea and land blockade on Qatar. I've never fully understood the
reason for that blockade, but apparently the core of the disagreement
is related to Arab tribal differences that go back to World War I and
the collapse of the Ottoman Empire. Saudi Arabia accused Qatar of
supporting terrorism by the Muslim Brotherhood and by Iran.

Since then, there has been no sign that the blockade would be lifted.
There was no talk of lifting the blockade at the three-day summit
meeting, but the mere fact that Qatar's prime minister Sheikh Abdullah
bin Nasser Al-Thani attended the meeting at all is being taken as
a sign that a reconciliation might be possible.

At the very least, the bombing of the four Saudi oil tankers in UAE's
Fujairah port seems to have united the Arab countries against Iran for
the first time in years.

As long-time readers are aware, and as I've written many times,
Generational Dynamics predicts that the Mideast is headed for a major
regional war refighting the 1948 war between Jews and Arabs that
followed the partitioning of Palestine and the creation of the state
of Israel. The war will also pit Sunnis versus Shias, and various
ethnic groups against each other.Generational Dynamics predicts that
in the approaching Clash of Civilizations world war, the "axis" of
China, Pakistan and the Sunni Muslim countries will be pitted against
the "allies," the US, India, Russia and Iran.

---- Sources:

-- Saudi Arabia says reconciliation with Qatar possible if 'right
path' is followed
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/saudi...h-followed
(Middle East Eye, 31-May-2019)

-- Iran rejects Saudi Arabia's 'baseless' allegations at Arab summit
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/05/i...14467.html
(Al-Jazeera, 31-May-2019)

-- PM's presence at Makkah (Mecca) summits shows Qatar's keenness for
peace in region
https://www.gulf-times.com/story/632875/...-in-region
(Gulf-Times, Qatar, 30-May-2019)

-- Kuwait Emir: GCC summit didn’t address end to Qatar embargo
https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/201906...r-embargo/
(Middle East Monitor, 1-Jun-2019)

-- Saudi FM: Gulf solution possible if Qatar returns to 'right path'
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/05/s...45299.html
(Al-Jazeera, 31-May-2019)

-- Mecca summit supports Palestinians, backs Saudis in Iran standoff
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/06/m...21981.html
(Al-Jazeera, 1-Jun-2019)



---- Related

*** 16-May-2019 World View: Mideast tensiions grow after attacks attributed to Iran
http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php?...656#p45656

** 4-Dec-18 World View -- Qatar withdraws from Saudi Arabia-led OPEC
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e181204


** 6-Jun-17 World View -- Saudi Arabia and other Arab nations cut ties with Qatar in new Mideast crisis
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e170606

[John J. Xenakis]

** 02-Jun-2019 World View: China prepares for June 4 anniversary of Tiananmen Square massacre

• Iconic photo of 'tank man' - student blocking row of tanks in
  Tiananmen Square on June 5, 1989

Tuesday is the 30th anniversary of June 4, 1989, Tiananmen Square
massacre of thousands of peacefully protesting pro-democracy students.

The protests were a seminal moment for the Chinese Communist Party
(CCP), because it showed that democracy, rather than "communism" was
increasingly the ideology of choice for young people, especially
because of Mao Zedong's disastrous communist policies that resulted in
deaths of millions of Chinese people by starvation, execution, and
riots in the disastrous Great Leap Forward and Cultural Revolution.

This caused the CCP to launch a vitriolic nationalist hate campaign
against Japan, to divert the calls for more democracy. That
anti-Japan hate campaign is close to reaching a climax today, as China
prepares to launch a war with Japan.

At the same time, the CCP launched a policy of violence against
Western religions, including Buddhism, Christianity and Islam. This
is also reaching a climax in the last couple of years, as the CCP is
committing genocide and ethnic cleansing of Muslim Uighers, destroying
Christian and Buddhist churches and temples, and jailing and torturing
anyone who prays to Jesus or to anyone except Xi Jinping.

Since 1989, the CCP has harshly cracked down on any mention of the
Tiananmen Square massacre in public, in the media, or on the internet.
In recent weeks, as the anniversary date is approaching, the communist
censors have been working overtime to scrub all the social media sites
of anything that references the massacre even obliquely. The same CCP
that's terrified of the cartoon character Winnie the Pooh because he
looks like Xi Jinping is even more terrified of any mention of the
Tiananmen Square massacre. Anyone in China who mentions the massacre
risks being abducted and thrown into a pit by the CCP goons.

The Tiananmen Square massacre is discussed frequently in the West, of
course, much to the annoyance of the CCP. They're particularly
furious that the "Tank Man" picture shown above, which showed a
college student confronting a convoy of army tanks, appears in Western
media constantly. Incidentally, the identity of Tank Man is still not
publicly known today. In the actual event, which was recorded on
video, two of his college friends ran out into the street, grabbed
him, and pulled him back into the crowd, and safety.

So it was a big surprise on Sunday when China's foreign minister Wei
Fenghe not only admitted that the massacre had taken place, but said
that it was the "correct" policy. Wei was speaking at a regional
security meeting in Singapore known as the "Shangri La Dialogue." Wei
was asked a question about the massacre, and the usual practice would
have been to say it was all Western propaganda, blah, blah, blah.

But Wei Fenghe became furious at the question and shouted:

Quote: "Everybody is concerned about Tiananmen after 30
years.

Throughout the 30 years, China under the Communist Party has
undergone many changes - do you think the government was wrong
with the handling of June Fourth? There was a conclusion to that
incident. The government was decisive in stopping the turbulence.

That incident was a political turbulence and the central
government took measures to stop the turbulence which is a correct
policy.

Due to this, China has enjoyed stability, and if you visit China
you can understand that part of history."

Reports indicate that there is no mention of this outburst in the
Chinese media. It's not clear whether Wei's outburst was planned, or
whether he simply lost his temper.

Saying that the massacre was necessary for China's stability is the
usual CCP fantasy. There are always massive demonstrations in
Washington by feminists, blacks, and other activist groups, and next
week there will be large anti-Trump demonstrations in London. But
it's laughable to think that calling out the tanks to massacre
peaceful feminist, blacks, or Trump haters would increase stability.
It's only from the Chinese that we hear ridiculous nonsense like that.

Also at the same meeting, Wei Fenghe made the usual threats about
annexing Taiwan and the South China Sea by military force.

----- Sources:

-- Wei Fenghe / Tiananmen crackdown was justified: China
https://www.smh.com.au/world/asia/tianan...51toe.html
(Reuters, 2-Jun-2019)

-- Wei Fenghe / China says Tiananmen crackdown was 'correct' policy
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/j...ect-policy
(AFP, 2-Jun-2019)

-- Wei Fenghe / Tiananmen Square: China minister defends 1989
crackdown
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-48489002
(BBC, 2-Jun-2019)

-- China still gets annoyed with images showing the famous Tiananmen
Square 'Tank Man,'
https://www.businessinsider.com/china-ti...ing-2019-5
(Business Insider, 2-Jun-2019)

-- China Vows Military Action if Taiwan, Sea Claims Opposed
https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articl...ms-opposed
(AP, 2-Jun-2019)

-- China and U.S. clash again on trade and regional security
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-asia-...SKCN1T300X
(Reuters, 2-Jun-2019)

---- Related:

** 18-Jul-17 World View -- China bans Winnie The Pooh because Xi Jinping looks like him
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e170718



** 5-Jun-13 World View -- Hong Kong commemorates the 1989 Tiananmen Square massacre
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e130605

[John J. Xenakis]

** 02-Jun-2019 World View: Taiwan ridicules China with inflatable Tank Man

• A Taiwanese man takes a selfie with an inflatable tank man at
  the Liberty Square in Taipei, Taiwan

Like many Westerners, people in Taiwan have been ridiculing the
bizarre, self-destructive policies of the Chinese Communist Party
(CCP).

The latest bit of mockery and derision is an inflatable "Tank Man"
display, appearing in Liberty Square in Taiwan's capital city Taipei.

In China, even mentioning Tank Man can get you arrested and tortured,
but in Taiwan, ridiculing its neighbor China is common.

---- Sources:

-- Inflatable tank man in Taiwan marks Tiananmen Square anniversary
https://nypost.com/2019/06/01/inflatable...niversary/
(NY Post, 1-Jun-2019)

-- Taiwanese township shocked by order for 600 million socks as Trump
tariffs kick in
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3713908
(Taiwan News, 30-May-2019)

[John J. Xenakis]

** 02-Jun-2019 Racism in China

Quote:> On the U.S. side, a senior State Department official, during a
> forum last month in Washington, warned of a deepening
> confrontation with China that she cast in something close to
> racial terms.

> In the Cold War with the Soviet Union, said Kiron Skinner, the
> State Department’s director of policy planning, Washington at
> least faced fellow Caucasians, whereas with Beijing, Washington
> faces a nonwhite culture.

> “In China we have an economic competitor, we have an ideological
> competitor, one that really does seek a kind of global reach, that
> many of us didn’t expect a couple of decades ago,” Skinner
> said. “And I think it’s also striking that this is the first time
> that we will have a great-power competitor that is not
> Caucasian.”
> https://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-p...story.html

Guest Wrote:> AND someone besides me finally says there is a racial component to
> all this. And just think, I thought it was just white males that
> caused trouble...

Saying that American policy on China is based on racism against the
Chinese people is ridiculous. If it were, then there would also be
racist policies toward Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, North Korea, the
Philippines and Vietnam.

In fact, to show how ridiculous the idea is, the same Chinese people
live in Taiwan and in colonial Hong Kong (when it was a British colony),
and there was no harsh policy towards those Chinese people.

On the other hand, it's China that is deeply immersed and drenched in
racism, considering themselves the Master Race, and everyone else in
the world to be inferior vassals.

China's hatred of the Japanese is all about racism, as is the Japanese
hatred of the Chinese.

I've described the anti-Japan hate campaign that the CCP launched
after the pro-democracy demonstrations and the Tiananmen Square
massacre. This is all about race.

Everyone (including the Chinese) refers to China as the "Middle
Kingdom." Are you aware that this is a racist term, dating back
millennia? The Chinese view the universe in three layers. The
highest layer is the Kingdom of Heaven. The second layer is China,
the Middle Kingdom -- yellow race, black hair, brown eyes, yellow
skin. And the bottom layer is you and me -- the barbarians. This
is ironic because the real barbarians are Xi Jinping and the CCP.

[John J. Xenakis]

** 05-Jun-2019 Pushing the 'Publish' button for my book

Guest Wrote:> When will your book on China be published?

My problem is that I keep finding interesting stuff to put into the
book, and this keeps delaying publication.

But this morning, I made some final changes to the draft.

At 11 am this morning, I finally pushed the "Publish" button.

Amazon will now review the book, and if there are no problems (and I
don't expect any), then the book should be available in three days.

World View: War Between China and Japan: Why America Must Be Prepared
By John James Xenakis
331 pages, $13.99 USD
Edition 1, ISBN: 978-1-7327386-3-8
Xenakis Publishing, Generational Theory Book Series