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  Trump support, Feb 2022 and later
Posted by: pbrower2a - 02-14-2022, 08:24 PM - Forum: General Political Discussion - Replies (16)

Republicans still back Trump but don't want GOP to punish disloyalty - CBS News poll




Republicans still back Trump but don't want GOP to punish disloyalty - CBS News poll
By Kabir Khanna, Anthony Salvanto
February 14, 2022 / 6:00 PM / CBS News



Just over a year since [url=https://www.cbsnews.com/feature/assault-on-the-us-capitol/]the assault on the U.S. Capitol on January 6, 2021, Republicans mostly still support Donald Trump, but it appears as if many would have their party put that day behind them and talk about other issues. 
Many in the GOP don't want the party to take a position on it at all. And while the former president remains a popular figure among the base, the entire rank and file isn't entirely falling into line. In fact, a sizable majority approve of former Vice President Mike Pence's adherence to constitutional procedure that day, and few want to see the party punish Republicans it considers disloyal to Trump.


[Image: gop-response-disloyalty.png]


Rather than directly punish Republicans perceived to be disloyal to Trump, Republicans say the party should perhaps take a different approach — like supporting these incumbents' opponents in primaries. And about half would simply accept these other views within the party, rather than punishing them.
Few Republicans want to see the party take a position of outright support of those who forced their way into the Capitol. A 44% plurality of Republicans say the party shouldn't take a position on these January 6 participants, and a similar number say it should be critical of them.
In addition to staying neutral, Republicans by and large simply don't want political leaders to talk about January 6. Instead, it's the economy, inflation, crime and policing, and immigration that top their list of issues leaders should be discussing.

[Image: gop-position-jan6.png]


Seven in 10 Republicans say Congress should drop their investigation into whether public officials had a role in the events of January 6. This number has grown somewhat since just six weeks ago — a mirror image of other Americans, seven in 10 of whom want Congress to investigate.

(continued)

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  Alternate Name for Nomad/Reactive Generations
Posted by: JasonBlack - 02-10-2022, 12:15 AM - Forum: Generation X - Replies (7)

Imo, neither "nomad", nor "reactive" really characterize this generational archetype well. Instead, I would posit "Survivalist Generation" as a more fitting moniker for the following reasons 
1) Compared to millennials and boomers, I would say that Gen X is actually a less reactive generation as a whole. Boomers are more prone to moralistic crusading, and millennials to collective protesting and cancelation, but either way, both exhibit a sense of outrage over many political matters that leave Gen X thinking "What were expecting? A Disney movie? Lmao! Welcome to the real world kiddo. Fasten your seatbelts..."
2) Neither "reactive" nor "nomad" really characterize a sense of tough mindedness. 
3) Nomad Gens tend to be the black sheep (also a potential name for them tbh) in most of the generational constellations they live through. Survivalist doesn't just imply staying alive, it implies having the fight/push against something to do so. 
4) The basic archetypal roles that Nomad Gens tend to play include capitalists (John D Rockafeller, Elon Musk), generals (George Washington, Dwight D. Eisenhower) crimelords/pirates (Lucky Luciano, Blackbeard, Viktor "Lord of War" Bout), and various protective parental figures. Every one of these has a strong "survivalist" slant. 
5) Nomad Gens are the most cynical generations within the saeculum  and the most likely to believe that they are responsible for their own survival rather than relying on a social system to do so.

PS: I'm a millennial and y'all are my favorite generation. I realize that nothing quite says Gen X like...not speaking up to defend Gen X, but I gotchu fam.

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  Crisis in America (new book)
Posted by: Mikebert - 02-08-2022, 04:38 PM - Forum: Theories Of History - Replies (4)

Over the last two years I wrote a book about the current crisis in America. Here is a pdf of the manuscript.

https://mikebert.neocities.org/America-in-crisis.pdf

I use a secular cycle framework rather than a generational one as in my earlier books. This is because I see the generational framework as failing to match with the actual periodization after T4T was published in 1997. Based on the theory described in Generations and the dating of the Boom, GenX and Millennial generations provided by S&H a 4T necessarily had to begin between 2001 and 2008. The structure of a 4T was outlined in T4T. A gathering sense of crisis during the 3T encounters a triggering event that creates a new social mood that denotes a change in turning from unraveling to fully unraveled (i.e. crisis). Following the crisis the situation gets darker until a period is reached when a definite course of action that will eventually lead to a resolution to the crisis is begun. This is the regeneracy. The selected course of action is pursued, there are advanced and set back until a point comes when the light at the end of the tunnel is revealed, a turning point after which it is just cleanup. This is climax. It seems clear to me that whether you choose 911 or the 2008 crash as the trigger there has been no regeneracy.

Ten years ago or more at the old site there was a guy always talking about how the time will come when millennials who will already be operating the controls of our civilization, will just overrule their out-of-touch elders nominally in charge, in a word, revolution. Classic-Xer has been hinting at civil war for years. Polls now suggest many people think some sort of civil strife may be in our future.

In both cases the sense is anticipatory, of a looming danger still in the future. This is a 3T sense, there same sort of brooding sense of "this can't go on forever" that was present in the 1990's and seen as characteristic. Back then I and others saw many parallels with the 1920's. Today the action on financial markets is again very reminiscent of the 1920's. But the political situation is often compared to the 1850's. Both are 3Ts.  Also, a regeneracy must necessarily have happened already, yet I haven't seen one. So, I very much doubt we began a 4T over 2001-2008 and this rules out the S&H theory with the generations S&H identified.  Note, since century-long saecula were once common, we could have a 4T beginning as late as the early 2030's and it still be "normal" but this would require new generations with a prophet gen born roughly 1945-70, a nomad gen born over 1971-2995, and a hero gen born after 1995. I rather doubt 1960's GenXers becoming Boomers would sit well with them. And this scheme would eliminate millennials altogether.

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  Ishkur’s Guide to Electronic Music
Posted by: Lemanic - 02-03-2022, 11:27 PM - Forum: Entertainment and Media - No Replies

So, anyone been to this site before? What do you think about it?

http://music.ishkur.com/

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  Ukraine is definitely in a 1T
Posted by: galaxy - 02-01-2022, 12:33 PM - Forum: General Discussion - Replies (38)

I wasn't sure before, but I am now. The way the country is responding to the current situation makes that very clear. The Ukrainian 4T was from sometime around the collapse of the Soviet Union to 2014, somewhere between 22 and 26 years.


This raises interesting questions about the possibility of war between Ukraine and Russia. If it happens, it's entirely possible that the state of things after the war will be almost identical to before the war except for a whole lot of death and destruction having happened, and yet both countries will be happy about it. Which is ridiculous, but I guess that's just how 1Ts work.

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  Generation X as Film and Television Creators
Posted by: sbarrera - 01-31-2022, 12:12 PM - Forum: Entertainment and Media - Replies (1)

In a lot ways the twenty-first century has been the heyday for my generation (Generation X) in film and television. This is despite the fact that the old Boomer and even Silent creators are still going strong (Martin Scorsese, for example). But ever since the Star Wars sequels and Marvel Avengers movies eclipsed James Cameron at the box office, it's been a Gen X dominated industry. Here's a thread for discussing our favorite Gen X creatives in film and television. I'm going to start off with a post I just published on my blog.

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  Is It Time For Wage and Price Controls?
Posted by: Anthony '58 - 01-27-2022, 04:35 PM - Forum: Economics - Replies (1)

I say it is - and if the usual suspects kvetch about it, Biden can always point out that Republican Richard Nixon did the same thing half a century ago.

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  Hot stuff: Lab hits milestone on long road to fusion power
Posted by: pbrower2a - 01-26-2022, 07:51 PM - Forum: Technology - Replies (1)

With 192 lasers and temperatures more than three times hotter than the center of the sun, scientists hit — at least for a fraction of a second — a key milestone on the long road toward nearly pollution-free fusion energy.
Researchers at the National Ignition Facility at the Lawrence Livermore National Lab in California were able to spark a fusion reaction that briefly sustained itself — a major feat because fusion requires such high temperatures and pressures that it easily fizzles out.
The ultimate goal, still years away, is to generate power the way the sun generates heat, by smooshing hydrogen atoms so close to each other that they combine into helium, which releases torrents of energy.
A team of more than 100 scientists published the results of four experiments that achieved what is known as a burning plasma in Wednesday’s journal Nature. With those results, along with preliminary results announced last August from follow-up experiments, scientists say they are on the threshold of an even bigger advance: ignition. That’s when the fuel can continue to “burn” on its own and produce more energy than what’s needed to spark the initial reaction.


“We’re very close to that next step,” said study lead author Alex Zylstra, an experimental physicist at Livermore.
[*]
Nuclear fusion presses together two types of hydrogen found in water molecules. When they fuse, “a small amount (milligrams) of fuel produces enormous amounts of energy and it’s also very ‘clean’ in that it produces no radioactive waste,” said Carolyn Kuranz, a University of Michigan experimental plasma physicist who wasn’t part of the research. “It’s basically limitless, clean energy that can be deployed anywhere,” she said.
[*]
Researchers around the world have been working on the technology for decades, trying different approaches. Thirty-five countries are collaborating on a project in Southern France called the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor that uses enormous magnets to control the superheated plasma. That is expected to begin operating in 2026.
[*]
Earlier experiments in the United States and United Kingdom succeeded in fusing atoms, but achieved no self-heating, said Steven Cowley, director of the Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory, who wasn’t part of this study.
But don’t bank on fusion just yet.
[*]
“The result is scientifically very exciting for us,” said study co-author Omar Hurricane, chief scientist for Lawrence Livermore’s fusion program. “But we’re a long way from useful energy.”


Maybe decades, he said.
It’s already taken several years inside a lab that is straight out of Star Trek — one of the movies used the lab as background visuals for the Enterprise’s engine room — and many failed attempts to get to this point. One adjustment that helped: Researchers made the fuel capsule about 10% bigger. Now it’s up to the size of a BB.
[*]
That capsule fits in a tiny gold metal can that researchers aim 192 lasers at. They heat it to about 100 million degrees, creating about 50% more pressure inside the capsule than what’s inside the center of the sun. These experiments created burning plasmas that lasted just a trillionth of a second, but that was enough to be considered a success, Zylstra said.
[*]
Overall, the four experiments in the Nature study — conducted in November 2020 and February 2021 — produced as much as 0.17 megajoules of energy, That’s far more than previous attempts, but still less than one-tenth of the power used to start the process, Zylstra said. A megajoule is about enough energy to heat a gallon of water 100 degrees Fahrenheit (38 degrees Celsius).
[*]
Preliminary results from experiments done later in 2021, which are still being reviewed by other scientists, pushed energy output to 1.3 megajoules and lasted 100 trillionths of second, according to a government press release. But even that is shy of the 1.9 megajoules needed to break even.
[*]
“The major problem with fusion is that it is hard,” said Princeton’s Cowley. “Otherwise, it might be the perfect way to make energy -- sustainable, plentiful, safe and minimal environmental impact.”
___
sociated Press Health and Science Department receives support from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute’s Department of Science Education. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

[*]
https://apnews.com/article/science-fusio...dc80b8dd07

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  Supreme Court-- will it stay reactionary
Posted by: Eric the Green - 01-26-2022, 04:12 PM - Forum: General Political Discussion - Replies (4)

Breyer to retire from Supreme Court, giving Biden a chance to appoint successor.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme...t-n1288042

I just hope he retires soon, since the Senate may go Republican next year. And even then, remember Manchin voted for Kavanaugh.

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  The music is getting old
Posted by: pbrower2a - 01-25-2022, 01:18 PM - Forum: Entertainment and Media - Replies (2)

I have my idea for a story out of The Twilight Zone. If it sounds like a well-known series, such is the pattern. A very lonely person goes into a thrift store and out of curiosity looks in the LP bin full of records once played often and loved whose owners passed away some time ago. The loved ones of their old owner were delighted to give those records, often hokey and sentimental, away. Needless to say, those records can't even be given away to new owners who appreciate them.

The main character finds a record by Perry Como, buys it, and takes it home. He starts to play it (gender is immaterial), and back come the spirits of now-deceased people who used to enjoy this music -- old relatives and neighbors. It's one big, happy reunion.

Unite with something cast off as old-hat, and you might meet those who used to love it -- in the Twilight Zone.

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