Generational Dynamics World View

[Tim Randal Walker]

Actually, during WWII era the USA was in conflict with a non-Caucasian great power, the empire of Japan.

[John J. Xenakis]

** 05-Jun-2019 WW II veterans at commemoration of Normandy invasion



Today the west is commemorating the 75th anniversary of D-Day,
where a convoy of ships carried 156,000 American, British
and Canadian troops across the English Channel, many of whom
were to face certain death upon landing on the Normandy beaches
of northern France, on June 6, 1944.

Hundreds of surviving veterans are attending the commemorations.

However, among the political leaders giving speeches at the
commemoration, only one was an actual veteran of World War II:
Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth II, daughter of King George VI,
who had served in the war as an auto mechanic.

---- Sources:

-- World leaders gather in UK for start of 75th D-Day commemorations
https://www.france24.com/en/20190605-uk-...p-veterans
(France24, 5-Jun-2019)

---- Related:

** Wartime entertainer Vera Lynn returns to pop music charts in UK
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e090901

[John J. Xenakis]

** 07-Jun-2019 World View: Sudan violence realigns Mideast countries

Khartoum, the capital city of Sudan, has descended deep into gruesome,
bloody violence against peaceful protesters. Hundreds are being
killed by live gunfire, and there are numerous reports of atrocities,
such as beating and kicking elderly women as they try to escape the
violence. One witness says that the army is particularly targeting
women, since that's most likely to end the peaceful protests.
In one attack on Monday, at least 108 people were killed and more
than 500 wounded.

The forces doing the killing are the Rapid Support Forces (RSF).
These are the modern day incarnation of the murderous Janjaweed
Militias that perpetrated the massive slaughter in the Darfur
genocide in the 2000s decade.

In mid-April, long-time dictator Omar al-Bashir was ousted by the
military after months of massive peaceful anti-government protests
across the nation. The military promised free elections within three
months. This was hailed internationally as a major change in Sudan,
and a chance for an open, free, democratic society.

However, there was never a chance of this, because it's always been
clear that the military, in the form of the "Transitional Military
Council (TMC)," was still in charge, and would never give up power.
Sudan is deep into a generational Crisis era, and the current
situation certainly spiral into a full-fledged generational crisis
war, its first since World War II.

(In my article last month on the ousting of Omar al-Bashir, I said
that Sudan is in an Awakening era, because I momentarily confused
Sudan with South Sudan, whose last generational crisis war climaxed in
1991. But for Sudan, the last generational crisis war was World War
II, which climaxed in 1945, and so Sudan is in a generational Crisis
era. I apologize for the confusion.)

In fact, when Omar al-Bashir was ousted in April, the person who took
power was Mohamed Hamdan Daglo, known as “Hemetti” -- the commander
who led the Janjaweed forces into the massive atrocities and slaughter
in Darfur. Hemetti is now using those same atrocities on the peaceful
protesters in Khartoum.

The situation has forced countries to choose sides. The situation is
so bad that the African Union, whose member countries normally try to
avoid criticizing each other, suspended Sudan's membership on
Thursday, "until the effective establishment of a civilian-led
transitional authority", which it described as the only way to "exit
from the current crisis."

However, the TMC, Sudan's military government, also has supporters,
particularly Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Egypt, three
of the countries that set up an air, land and sea blockade against
Qatar two years ago.

In 2014, Saudi Arabia launched its war in Yemen against the
Iran-backed Houthis after the Houthis had succeeded in overthrowing
the Saudi-backed government in the capital city Sanaa. The government
that was overthrown is still the internationally recognized government
of Yemen, led by president Abdu Rabu Mansour Hadi, who is living in
exile in Saudi Arabia.

The war has been almost a total disaster for Saudi Arabia, and the
Saudis have been asking for help from other Arab nations. One nation
that has provided assistance, in the form of thousands of soldiers, is
Sudan.

In 2014, with the war in Darfur entering a lull, Omar al-Bashir wanted
to find an alternate task for the Janjaweed Militias / Rapid Support
Forces (RSF), rather than have them wandering around the streets of
Khartoum where they might cause trouble, occasionally robbing a store
or raping a girl. So in return for billions of dollars of financial
aid from Saudi Arabia, Sudan sent the RSF soldiers to Yemen to help
out the Saudis.

Activists are now demanding that the US government somehow force Saudi
Arabia to somehow force Sudan's military leadership to step down and
give power to a civilian government, something that won't happen until
pigs fly.

The Sudan conflict is potentially a major development for northern
Africa and the Mideast. If the violence fizzles, then nothing
significant will happen. But if the violence escalates into a
generational crisis civil war, then it could spread into a larger
Mideast war.


--- Sources:

-- Ethiopian PM Abiy Ahmed begins mediation talks in Sudan
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/06/e...11391.html
(Al Jazeera, 7-Jun-2019)

-- Remember The Darfur Genocide? With Saudi Help, One of the Killer
Commanders There Is Taking Over Sudan
https://www.thedailybeast.com/remember-t...over-sudan
(Daily Beast, 5-Jun-2019)

-- Sudan gets $2.2B for joining Saudi Arabia, Qatar in Yemen war
https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/origina...onomy.html
(Al-Monitor, 23-Nov-2015)

---- Related:

** 26-Dec-18 World View -- Sudan police crack down violently against anti-government protesters -- Recent generational history of Sudan
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e181226

[John J. Xenakis]

** 08-Jun-2019 Announcement: My book, War between China and Japan, is available

My "long awaited" book is now available on Amazon:

World View: War Between China and Japan: Why America Must Be Prepared
(Generational Theory Book Series, Book 2)
by John James Xenakis
Paperback: 331 pages, over 200 source references, $13.99
ISBN-10: 1732738637
ISBN-13: 978-1732738638

https://www.amazon.com/dp/1732738637/

China is like a beautiful child, a helpless child, and you yearn to
reach out to help her, so that she can become an equally beautiful
adult. But every time you reach out to help her, you get your hand
scratched and your face bloodied, and she ends up as helpless as ever.

This book describes China's long, monumental history, from ancient
dynasties to Confucius to the "Century of Humiliation." It describes
China's desire for revenge for Japan's atrocities committed during
World War II, and why America must be prepared.

If you buy the book, please write a 5-star review.

Also please tell all your friends about the book, and post
information about it on other web sites. Thanks.







Table of Contents

Part I. Introduction
Chapter 1. China today
1.1. China since World War II
1.2. Chinese people vs China's government
Chapter 2. Evolution of this book
2.1. Three objectives
2.2. Historical imperative of world wars
2.3. China's preparations for war
2.4. China's historic incompetence compared to Japan
2.5. China's contempt for international law
2.6. Does China deserve sympathy?
Chapter 3. Brief summary of generational eras

Part II. China and Japan since the end of World War II
Chapter 4. China and Japan during and after World War II
Chapter 5. South Korea's postwar economic miracle
Chapter 6. Japan's postwar economic miracle
Chapter 7. Taiwan's postwar economic miracle
Chapter 8. Colonial Hong Kong's postwar economic miracle
Chapter 9. China's postwar economic and governmental disasters
9.1. China's failure at self-government
9.2. The Statistics
9.3. The Great Leap Forward (1958-60}
9.4. Mao's justifications for the Great Leap Forward
9.5. Great Cultural Revolution (1966-76)
9.6. Tiananmen Square Incident (April 5, 1976)
9.7. Tangshan earthquake (July 28, 1976)
9.8. Mao Zedong dies (September 9, 1976)
9.9. Deng Xiaoping's 'Reform and Opening Up' of China (1978-1989)
9.10. Socialism with Chinese Characteristics
9.11. One-Child policy
9.12. Tiananmen Square massacre (June 4, 1989)
9.13. Collapse of the Soviet Union (December 26, 1991)
9.14. China's nationalist anti-Japan propaganda (1989-present)
9.15. Yellow race, black hair, brown eyes, yellow skin
Chapter 10. Rise of China's dictator Xi Jinping
10.1. Biography of Xi Jinping
10.2. Xi Jinping lies about South China Sea (Sept 25, 2015)
10.3. UN Tribunal declares China's South China Sea claims invalid (July 2016)
10.4. Xi Jinping becomes 'the core of the leadership' of the CCP (October 2016)
10.5. Xi Jinping becomes dictator for life (March 20, 2018)
Chapter 11. Xi Jinping adopts harsh, violent, dictatorial policies
11.1. Sources of Xi's policies: Japan and Great Leap Forward
11.2. Document #9 - China's belligerent rejection of Western values (2013)
11.3. Sinicization of religion
11.4. Comparison of Sinicization to Hitler's Kristallnacht
11.5. Genocide and ethnic cleansing of Uighurs in East Turkistan (Xinjiang)
11.6. China's preparations for war
11.7. Role of North Korea and 'denuclearization'
11.8. Japan's and China's views of each other
11.9. Other nations' view of China
11.10. Mutual Defense Treaties of the United States
11.11. China's desire for world hegemony
11.12. The outlook for war between China and Japan
11.13. Winston Churchill vs Neville Chamberlain
11.14. Timing of the war between China and Japan

Part III. China's preparations for war
Chapter 12. China's war preparations through cyber war
12.1. Theft of intellectual property
12.2. Huawei's hack of African Union headquarters
12.3. China's National Intelligence Law (June 27, 2017)
12.4. China's weaponization of Huawei
12.5. Installing a hardware backdoor - Technical details
12.6. Installing an undetectable software backdoor - Technical details
Chapter 13. China's Social Credit Score system
13.1. Development of China's Social Credit Score system
13.2. Huawei's 'big data' cloud database
13.3. China extends its 'social credit score' system to Americans and Westerners
13.4. China's economy -- Huawei the only money making private company
Chapter 14. United Front Work Department (UFWD) and Magic Weapons
14.1. China's biggest resource: billions of expendable people
14.2. History of China's United Front
14.3. United Front Work Department in New Zealand
14.4. China's infiltration of Australia
14.5. United Front Work Department (UFWD) in Australia -- mind control
14.6. University of North Florida closes its Confucius Institute
14.7. Controversy over China's Confucius Institutes
Chapter 15. Belt and Road Initiative and Debt Trap Diplomacy
15.1. Debt Trap Diplomacy
15.2. The secret BRI deals and Debt Trap Diplomacy
15.3. The Belt and Road (BRI) contract in Kenya
Chapter 16. China's claims to the South China Sea
16.1. China's Nine-Dash Map
16.2. China's 'ironclad proof' of South China Sea claims revealed as hoax
16.3. China's humiliating repudiation by UNCLOS court
16.4. China's claims in South China Sea -- Nationalism, Rejuvenation, Lebensraum
Chapter 17. America's preparation for war
17.1. Will America survive world war with China?
17.2. Will America's young people refuse to fight for their country?
17.3. Preparing yourself and your family for war
Part IV. Theory of War: The phases of World War III
Chapter 18. How do world wars begin in general?
18.1. How World War I started (1914-18) - an unexpected assassination
18.2. How the Israel-Hezbollah war started (2006) - an unexpected abduction
18.3. How World War II started (1937-1945) - someone had to pee
18.4. Do genocide and ethnic cleansing start a world war?
18.5. Neutrality
Chapter 19. The early and middle phases of World War III
19.1. The early days -- neutrality and the salami method
19.2. The euphoria phase: The declaration of war
19.3. The public panic phase: The Regeneracy
19.4. Moral degeneration during a generational crisis war
Chapter 20. World War III in Asia - Forecasts and predictions
20.1. A divided America - is civil war in America possible?
20.2. 'Mass Incidents' and civil war in China
20.3. Chinese Civil war and the United Front
20.4. Civil war in China and its effect on Taiwan
20.5. America and China -- Preparedness for war
20.6. China's military strategy
20.7. World War III lineup: 'The Allies' vs 'The Axis'

Part V. China's ancient dynasties
Chapter 21. Reference list of China's dynasties
Chapter 22. China's population
Chapter 23. Early civilizations of the world
23.1. Peking Man (700,000 BC)
Chapter 24. Earliest dynasties
24.1. Xia dynasty (c. 2070-1600 BC)
24.2. Shang Dynasty (c.1500 - 1050 BC)
Chapter 25. Zhou dynasty (1050 - 221 BC)
25.1. Western (1070-771 BC) and Eastern (770-221 BC) Zhou dynasties
25.2. Eastern Zhou: China's Spring and Autumn period (770-476 BC)
25.3. Eastern Zhou: China's Warring States period (481/403 - 221 BC)
Chapter 26. Qin (Chin, Ch'in) Dynasty (221-206 BC)
Chapter 27. Han Dynasty (206 BC - 220 AD)
27.1. The Silk Road
27.2. Invention of paper
27.3. Yellow Turban uprising - 184 AD
27.4. End and legacy of the Han Dynasty
Chapter 28. Sui Dynasty (581-618 AD) and Korea's Goguryeo Kingdom
28.1. Reunification of Northern and Southern China
28.2. Defeat by Korea's Goguryeo Empire (37-688) and Battle of Salsu River (612 AD)
28.3. The Goguryeo Stele

Part VI. Religious and cultural teachings in China
Chapter 29. China's harsh 'Sinicization' policy of religions (April 2018)
29.1. Number of religious believers in China
29.2. Equivalence of Islam, Christianity and Buddhism to CCP
29.3. CCP administrative control of religion
29.4. CCP attitude toward religion
29.5. Pope's betrayal of Chinese Catholics
29.6. Imperialist China view of religion
29.7. Chinese government attitude towards non-indigenous religions
29.8. Rules governing Christian Churches in China
Chapter 30. Sun Tzu / The Art of War (500 BC)
30.1. The Art of War
30.2. Sima Qian's biography of Sun Tzu
Chapter 31. Confucius (551-479 BC)
31.1. Confucius sayings and aphorisms
31.2. Confucius Analects
31.3. Confucius theology: Tian and the Mandate from Heaven
31.4. Confucius theology: Maintaining stability and harmony
31.5. Relevance of Confucius and Sun Tzu to today's world
31.6. North Korea denuclearization - deception and manipulation
Chapter 32. Laozi (Lao Tzu) (-533 BC) and Daoism
32.1. Confucians vs Daoists
32.2. Description of the Dao de jing
32.3. Excerpts from the Dao de jing
Chapter 33. Buddhism
33.1. Justification for Buddhism in China
33.2. Secret Societies
33.3. White Lotus Society and Red Turban Rebellion (1351-68)
33.4. White Lotus Rebellion (1796-1804)
33.5. Tibetan Buddhism
33.6. Qigong and Falun Gong
Chapter 34. Christianity -- Catholicism and Protestantism
34.1. Catholicism
34.2. Catholicism and Taiwan
34.3. Protestantism - Taiping Rebellion (1850-64)

Part VII. China's 'Century of Humiliation'
Chapter 35. China today: Xi Jinping's view of the Century of Humiliation
35.1. Xi Jinping's speech to National Peoples' Congress (March 2018)
35.2. Do the Chinese have only themselves to blame?
Chapter 36. China and Japan prior to 1840
36.1. The 'Middle Kingdom' and China's tributary system
36.2. European trade with China 1557-1838
36.3. Japan's Tokugawa era or Edo era (1603-1868)
Chapter 37. Clash of civilizations: China vs Japan after the Opium Wars (1840-70)
37.1. The 'bad marriage' of China and Japan
37.2. First Opium War (1839-42)
37.3. Taiping Rebellion (1852-64) and the rise of Marxism
37.4. Japanese view of China's Opium War
37.5. American Commodore Matthew Perry comes to Japan
37.6. Second Opium War (1856-60)
37.7. The 1860 Treaty of Tianjin (Tientsin) and international law
37.8. Consequences today of the 1860 Treaty of Tianjin (Tientsin)
37.9. Tianjin Massacre of Catholic orphanage (1870)
Chapter 38. China and Japan prior to World War I (1870-1912)
38.1. European scramble for East Asia (Late 1800s)
38.2. The Joseon Dynasty in Korea (1392-1910)
38.3. Imjin Wars and Battle of Myongnyang (Myeongnyang), October 26, 1597
38.4. Japan's revolutionary social, political and economic changes
38.5. Japan's relations with Korea, China, Russia, Britain and France
38.6. First Sino-Japanese war - 1894-95
38.7. Significance of the First Sino-Japanese war (1894-95)
38.8. Treaty of Shimonoseki on April 17, 1895
38.9. Open-Door Policy (1899-1900)
38.10. Boxer Rebellion (1900)
38.11. Anglo-Japanese Alliance (1902, 1905, 1911)
38.12. Russo-Japanese War (1905)
38.13. Japan's annexation of Korea (1905, 1910)
38.14. Sun Yat-Sen and the Republican Revolution (1911)
Chapter 39. China and Japan during World War I (1910-1919)
39.1. China versus Japan at beginning of 1910s decade
39.2. Sun Yat-Sen versus Yuan Shikai
39.3. European and Asian alliances prior to World War I
39.4. China and Japan in World War I
39.5. Twenty-One Demands - May 9, 1915 - China's National Humiliation Day
Chapter 40. The aftermath of World War I
40.1. New Culture Movement (1915-1920)
40.2. The Versailles Betrayal (1919)
40.3. The May Fourth Movement (1919)
40.4. The Washington Naval Arms Limitation Conference (1921-22)

Part VIII. China turns to Communism
Chapter 41. China's alignment with Soviet Russia against the West
41.1. Historic relationship between Russia and China
41.2. Aftermath of the May 4th Movement
41.3. China's disillusionment with 'imperialism' and the West
41.4. Details of the Versailles betrayal and return of Shandong
41.5. Bolshevik government renounces privileges and interests in China
Chapter 42. Nationalists vs Communists - Chiang Kai-shek vs Mao Zedong -- 1920-1949
42.1. Warlord era (1916-1927)
42.2. The rise of communism
42.3. The 1927 Nanking Incident (3/24/1927) and Battle of Shanghai
42.4. Aftermath of the Nanking incident (1927) -- assigning blame
42.5. Japan invades Manchuria -- the Mukden incident (1931)
42.6. The rise of Japan's militarism
42.7. The Soviet Communist Republic of China
42.8. Mao Zedong's Long March (1934-35)
Chapter 43. Sino-Japanese War (1937-45) - World War II in Asia
43.1. Japan's conquest of Manchuria (1931)
43.2. Unit 731 - chemical and biological warfare (1936-45)
43.3. Marco Polo Bridge Incident (July 7-9, 1937) and Sino-Japanese War
43.4. Aftermath of the Marco Polo Bridge incident
43.5. Battle of Nanking / Rape of Nanking (December 13, 1937)
43.6. Regeneracy and the United Front
43.7. The United Front and Hong Kong
43.8. American support for China before Pearl Harbor (1937-41)
Part IX. Appendix: China's neighbors on the South China Sea
Chapter 44. History of Vietnam
44.1. The earliest settlers -- the Sa Huynh
44.2. The Cham people and the Champa Kingdom
44.3. North Vietnam versus South Vietnam (Champa Kingdom)
44.4. Unity and disunion in Vietnam
44.5. French conquest of Indochina (1865-85)
44.6. America's Vietnam war
44.7. China's Vietnam war
Chapter 45. History of Philippines
45.1. China's history with the Philippines
45.2. Ancient history of the Philippines
45.3. Philippines Spanish colonial period (1521-1898)
45.4. Philippines under American control (1898-1946) and Japanese occupation (1941-45)
45.5. Modern generational history of the Philippines republic
Chapter 46. Brief generational history of Cambodia
Chapter 47. Brief generational history of Thailand
Chapter 48. Brief generational history of Myanmar (Burma)

Part X. The End
Chapter 49. About Generational Theory
49.1. Intuitive description of generational theory
49.2. Use of GenerationalDynamics.com web site
49.3. Theoretical core for Generational Dynamics
Chapter 50. Leon Festinger and Cognitive Dissonance
Chapter 51. About John J. Xenakis
Chapter 52. Acknowledgments

Part XI. Footnotes / References

[John J. Xenakis]

** 09-Jun-2019 World View: Massive Hong Kong demonstrations threaten CCP


It's now the middle of the night on Monday morning in Hong Kong,
and police are using batons and pepper spray to remove the
thousands of remaining anti-Beijing protesters. There are
violent clashes between protesters and police outside the Hong
Kong legislature building.

During the day on Sunday, there were hundreds of thousands of peaceful
protesters filling the streets, despite the sweltering heat.
Organizers say that the number was close to one million, while Hong
Kong police put the count at 240,000. Either way, this is the most
massive protest since 2003, and possibly the largest since 1997, when
Britain turned its Hong Kong colony over to China.

• Hundreds of thousands of protesters filled the Hong Kong
  streets on Sunday (Hong Kong Free Press)

The demonstrators are protesting a proposed extradition law, which
would permit someone in Hong Kong accused of a crime to be transferred
to mainland China for trial by Chinese Communist Party (CCP) thugs,
rather than in the Hong Kong courts.

The law will apparently also permit any international traveler passing
through Hong Kong on the way to another destination to be arrested in
Hong Kong airport and abducted to China.

The law will be debated on Wednesday and, if passed, will take effect
by the end of the month. The protesters targeted Carrie Lam, Hong
Kong’s chief executive, hand-picked by Beijing in violation of their
1997 promise to Britain and the world of free and fair elections. The
CCP thugs reinterpreted that promise to mean, "We'll pick a couple of
candidates, and you can vote freely and fairly among those two."

So now Carrie Lam and the CCP thugs are saying that the proposed
extradition bill contains "safeguards," and that Hong Kong would
protect citizens from illegal abductions. That's laughable, since
China has already been conducting illegal abductions. Since 2016,
Chinese thugs have abducted dissident publishers and business
executives off Hong Kong’s streets without the legal cover of
extradition proceedings. The proposed law would legalize the
abductions of dissidents to China, where they can be freely tortured,
beaten, raped and executed.

• Protester holding up a 'no extradition' sign

Sunday's protesters were much larger than anyone expected, and they're
sure to put the CCP thugs in Beijing into full-scale panic. These
massive protests will remind them of the 1989 Tiananmen Square student
pro-democracy protests, which led to massive slaughter of thousands of
young people, and to new policies that clamped down violently on
religions and dissidents. It also led to the adoption of a vitriolic
nationalistic CCP hate campaign towards Japan, in order to deflect the
pro-democracy sentiments.

It's clear that the Hong Kong dissidents are not going to back down.
And it's also clear that these growing protests will lead to panic in
Beijing, with resulting plans for wide retaliation. The timing and
form of that retaliation is yet to be seen, but it's sure to be
violent and bloody.

---- Sources:

-- Over a million attend Hong Kong demo against controversial
extradition law, organisers say
https://www.hongkongfp.com/2019/06/09/ju...l-new-law/
(HongKongFreePress, 9-Jun-2019)

-- China Seizes Toilet Paper Bearing Face of Hong Kong Leader
https://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/hong-k...er-n302066
(NBCNews/AP, 7-Feb-2015)

-- Hong Kong protest draws hundreds of thousands over extradition bill
https://www.foxnews.com/world/hundreds-o...ition-bill
(FoxNews, 9-Jun-2019)

-- Hong Kong plunged into political crisis after huge protest against
extradition law
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-hongk...TA05L?il=0
(Reuters, 9-Jun-2019)

-- China / Vast protest in Hong Kong against extradition law
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/j...-law-china
(Guardian, 9-Jun-2019)

-- Factbox: What Hong Kong people are saying about controversial China
extradition bill
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-hongk...SKCN1TA05R
(Reuters, 9-Jun-2019)


----- Related:

World View: War Between China and Japan: Why America Must Be Prepared
(Generational Theory Book Series, Book 2)
by John James Xenakis
Paperback: 331 pages, over 200 source references, $13.99
https://www.amazon.com/dp/1732738637/

[John J. Xenakis]

** 09-Jun-2019 World View: Chinese migrants in Australia join Hong Kong anti-Beijing protests


An interesting related story is that Chinese migrants in Sydney,
Australia, are joining Hong Kong in anti-Beijing protests. They're
urging Australia's government to condemn the proposed Hong Kong
extradition law, as the US, Canada and the EU have already done.

Their motivation, beyond fraternal support, is that Chinese
expatriates who pass through Hong Kong on their way to another
destination could be arrested and abducted to China.

Australia, with a population of 25 million, has a large Chinese
diaspora. More than 500,000 people born in China and more than 86,000
people born in Hong Kong were in Australia as of the 2016 census.

There's a wider question here: in a war between China and the West,
would the Chinese diaspora in Western countries side with China or
with the West?

We can look for analogies in America in World War II.
Japanese-Americans were viewed very suspiciously as being on the side
of the Japanese, though they denied this, and the US set up internment
camps for Japanese-Americans. On the other hand, there were no
internment camps for German-Americans, since there was little fear
that they would side with the Nazis.

An interesting example that I looked at some years ago was the Spanish
Armada war (1588), when Spain (a Catholic country) launched its
Invincible Armada to invade England (a Protestant country).

The Catholic New Advent encyclopedia described how the Catholics in
England sided with the Protestant English against the Catholic French:

Quote: "Among the many side-issues which meet the student of
the history of the Armada, that of the cooperation or favor of the
Pope, and of the Catholic party among the English, is naturally
important for Catholics. There can be no doubt, then, that though
the Spanish predominance was not at all desired for its own sake
by the Catholics of England, France, and Germany, or of Rome, yet
the widespread suffering and irritation caused by the religious
wars Elizabeth fomented, and the indignation caused by her
religious persecution, and the execution of Mary Stuart, caused
Catholics everywhere to sympathize with Spain, and to regard the
Armada as a crusade against the most dangerous enemy of the
Faith. ...

There is no doubt that all the exiles for religion at that time
shared Allen's sentiments, but not so the Catholics in
England. They had always been the most conservative of English
parties. The resentment they felt at being persecuted led them to
blame the queen's ministers, but not to question her right to
rule. To them the great power of Elizabeth was evident, the forces
and intentions of Spain were unknown quantities. They might,
should, and did resist until complete justification was set before
them, and this was in fact never attempted. Much, for instance, as
we know of the Catholic clergy then laboring in England, we cannot
find that any of them used religion to advance the cause of the
Armada. Protestant and Catholic contemporaries alike agree that
the English Catholics were energetic in their preparations against
it.

These examples show that people tend to side with the country they're
living in, rather than the country of their ancestors, and that
actually makes sense.

So we can look at these historical examples as support for the
proposition that Chinese-Americans and Chinese diaspora in other
foreign countries could very well side with the West against China.

It's a little more complicated than that, though. The Japanese in
World War II were a united country at war with China and the US.

But China in WW II was in a bloody north-south civil war (Mao's
communist revolution), and that refighting that civil war is expected
in the coming years.

The people of Hong Kong and Taiwan are largely from southern China, so
they would be expected to side with the West against the
northern-based CCP thugs.

However, there are many northerners in the Chinese diaspora in the
West, and so the question of which side the Chinese diaspora will be
on won't be decided until they're forced to make a choice.

---- Sources:

-- Hong Kong protests against extradition law spill into Sydney
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-hongk...SKCN1TA06L
(Reuters, 9-Jun-2019)


-- The Spanish Armada
http://www.newadvent.org/cathen/01727c.htm
(New Advent Encyclopedia)


----- Related:

World View: War Between China and Japan: Why America Must Be Prepared
(Generational Theory Book Series, Book 2)
by John James Xenakis
Paperback: 331 pages, over 200 source references, $13.99
https://www.amazon.com/dp/1732738637/

[John J. Xenakis]

** 10-Jun-2019 World View: Mongolia's economy expected to continue fast growth

Mongolia's GDP growth rate is being described by analysts as
"explosive," after reaching 6.9% growth in 2018, up from
5.1% GDP growth in 2017.

Exports now account for more than half of Mongolia’s GDP. The main
export commodities are copper, apparel, livestock, animal products,
cashmere, wool, hides, fluorspar, other nonferrous metals, coal and
crude oil.

It hasn't always been like that. Mongolia became an independent
democracy in 1991, with the collapse of the Soviet Union. Since then
it showed steady growth, mainly fueled by exports of coal and copper,
as well as by foreign direct investment.

In 2011, Mongolia's economy grew by an astronomical 17.5%, thanks to
its huge reserves of copper, coal and gold, making the economy seem
invincible. Instead of saving some of that money, Mongolia borrowed
billions of dollars more to invest in huge road and infrastructure
projects.

By 2014, deeply in debt, Mongolia's economy began to collapse because
of falling commodity prices, triggering reduced foreign investments
and reduced purchases by China. Mongolia's economy experienced a near
collapse in the 2014-2016 period, with GDP growth falling
to 1.2% in 2016.

After 2016, with the rise in commodity prices, all the factors were
reversed. Coal mining saw a 63.1% annual surge, due to growing coal
exports to China, which replaced North Korean coal with Mongolian coal
in 2017 as part of a sanctions response against North Korea's nuclear
testing activities. Mongolia has also been receiving support from a
number of sources, including the International Monetary Fund (IMF),
the World Bank, the Asian Development Bank and the International
Investment Bank.

With the growing economy, citizens became more affluent as well. The
sectors that attract most foreign investment are mining, oil and
construction. Other investment sectors include raw materials,
livestock, mining, food processing, telecommunications and tourism.


**** Reducing dependency on China and Russia

As a landlocked country, Mongolia is dependent on its big neighbors,
Russia and China. Mongolia imports almost all of its crude oil from
Russia. 90% of Mongolia's exports, particularly coal and copper, go
to China. Major Chinese companies operating in Mongolia include Bank
of China Ulan Bator Representative Office and Air China Mongolia.

The dependency on China is symbiotic to some extent. China is heavily
dependent on the import of commodities, and Mongolia is one of its
main suppliers. This dependency may be growing because of growing
tensions with Australia, which historically has been China's main
supplier of copper and coal.

China-Australia tensions have been growing over numerous issues,
including China's infiltration into Australia's government,
cybersecurity, and China's influence in the Pacific Island nations.
Because of the tensions, clearing times through China's customs have
doubled to more than 40 days. China has sharply reduced purchases of
Australian coal, and Mongolia has been the biggest beneficiary, with
coal exports rising 15% to 7.8 million metric tons in the first
quarter.

But the problem with being dependent on China is that China giveth,
and China taketh away, as in the Australia case. Another example is
South Korea in 2017, when China's government was enraged because South
Korea permitted deployment of the THAAD defensive missile system, to
protect itself from North Korean missiles. China retaliated by
banning South Korean goods for sale in China, South Korean pop stars
and entertainers, and packaged tours, cruise tours and charter flights
to Korea.

Mongolia was also targeted by China's petty retaliation. In 2016,
Mongolia's economy was in crisis because of huge debts incurred from
borrowing money for infrastructure projects. Mongolia requested a
large loan from China to get through the crisis. But in November of
that year, the Buddhist leader the Dalai Lama visited Mongolia's
capital city Ulaanbaatar in November for a six-day visit. More than
half of Mongolia's population are Buddhist, and tens of thousands of
them flocked to see the Dalai Lama, with some traveling hundreds of
miles.

China does not like the Dalai Lama, as he is worshipped by millions
of Buddhists in Tibet, where China is violently cracking down on
Buddhist worshippers. So China punished Mongolia by blocking the loan
and by closing part of the border, leaving hundreds of trucks carrying
copper and coal backed up on the highway in sub-zero temperatures.
Mongolian officials were forced to apologize, and promised never,
never, never to invite the Dalai Lama again.

So in the last few years, China has used massive economic retaliation
against Australia, South Korea and Mongolia, and has threatened many
other countries and organizations with economic retaliation unless
they sided with China on the Taiwan question. In view of China's
policies of using this kind of retaliation for something as simple as
inviting a Buddhist leader to visit, it's pretty obvious why Mongolia
would like to reduce its dependency on China.

Furthermore, there is centuries-old history that makes ordinary people
in Mongolia suspicious of China's motives. Anti-Chinese sentiment has
been mobilized by politicians as part of a wider nationalist
narrative.

In order to reduce its dependency on China, Mongolia in the last year
has been taking steps to improve the country's legal framework in
order to encourage foreign investment from other countries. The steps
taken include:

* Remove regulations and restrictions that make it difficult for
foreign investors to do business in Mongolia.

* lift the moratorium on new mining exploration licenses

* find ways to maximize foreign investment in natural resources, by
providing related goods and services that go beyond mining. An
example is coal washing.

* reach out to Japan, South Korea, US and Australia for investors

* at the same time, diversify to attract foreign investment in
other, non-mineral activities. Some targets include tourism and
hospitality, e-commerce, and agribusiness.

*** Investment sectors -- mining, real estate, retail, tourism

Mongolia has a relatively young population, with about 42% under the
age of 24. A quarter of the population is under the age of 14. The
Mongolian people are well educated, with a literacy rate of 97%, one
of the highest in the world. Mongolia is a huge land, containing an
estimated $1.5-2 trillion in minerals. These basic facts mean that in
the long run, Mongolia is an excellent target for foreign investment,
with a great deal of profit potential in the next decade.

With plenty of land, the real estate sector has been booming, though
not for speculation purposes. The country has only three million
people, but is three times the size of France, which has 67 million
people. So speculative real estate investments are not likely to pay
off.

But with Mongols having more disposable income than they've had in the
recent past, the real estate boom is being led by the retail sector,
with shopping centers displaying many luxury brands like Versace
Collection and Burberry. Investment opportunities in the retail
segment include expansion of the smartphone market and digital
communications, and financial services. Emerging companies such as
LendMN and Ard Financial Service use AI-based sophisticated technology
to build fast growing applications in solvable markets.

More than 100 international brands have opened up exclusive franchises
or wholly owned outlets in Ulaanbaatar to date. At the same time,
there is still a need for brands targeted at mass market consumers to
cater to the growing local appetite for conspicuous consumption.

However, pollution is a major problem for Ulaanbaatar. Many people
burn coal and plastic just to survive temperatures as low as minus 40
degrees. Ulaanbaatar is one of the most polluted cities on the
planet, alongside New Delhi, Dhaka, Kabul, and Beijing.

Besides the danger of retaliation from China, potential investors
should keep watch for one more development: Under the guise of
fighting corruption, Mongolia's President Khaltmaa Battulga has pushed
through the parliament a law that gives him control of the courts,
including the ability to assign or remove judges, or to reassign
cases. This could mean that commercial disputes will be decided
politically, rather than by democratic institutions.

---- Sources:


-- Mongolia coal exports surge 15 pct in Q1 after China Australia ban
https://www.reuters.com/article/mongolia...SL3N21X1QX
(Reuters, 15-Apr-2019)

-- Doing business in Mongolia: Mongolia trade and export guide
https://www.gov.uk/government/publicatio...o-mongolia
(UK Government, 8-Feb-2018)

-- Moody's upgrade brings FDI optimism for Mongolia
https://www.fdiintelligence.com/News/Moo...r-Mongolia
(FDI Intelligence, 22-Feb-2018)

-- Mongolia: Foreign investment
https://en.portal.santandertrade.com/est...nvesting-3
(Santander Trade, Sept 2018)

-- FDI / The World Bank in Mongolia
https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/mongolia/overview
(World Bank, 28-Sep-2018)

-- Investment Reform Map for Mongolia
https://www.ifc.org/wps/wcm/connect/f2a8...OD=AJPERES
(World Bank / IFC, June 2018)

-- China and Japan’s Investment Competition in Mongolia
https://thediplomat.com/2018/08/china-an...-mongolia/
(Diplomat, 1-Aug-2018)

-- Tapping into hidden potentials and new opportunities in Mongolia
https://blog.mongolia-properties.com/hid...n-mongolia
(Mongolia Properties, 11-Feb-2019)

-- Big names are moving into Mongolia
https://blog.mongolia-properties.com/big...cial-space
(Mongolia Properties, 7-Jan-2019)

-- Mongolia’s GDP growth at 6.9% in 2018, official data shows
https://www.bne.eu/mongolia-s-gdp-growth...ws-156555/
(Business New Europe, 19-Apr-2019)

-- Toxic air tears apart families in Mongolia
https://phys.org/news/2019-03-toxic-air-...lia_1.html
(AFP, 31-Mar-2019)

-- Battulga Khaltmaa / Genghis Khan's Biggest Fan Is Testing
Mongolia's Democracy
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/...-democracy
(Bloomberg, 16-Apr-2019)

-- Khaltmaagiin Battulga / Mongolia’s President Is Slicing Away Its
Hard-Won Democracy
https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/03/29/mon...democracy/
(ForeignPolicy, 29-Mar-2019)

[John J. Xenakis]

** 12-Jun-2019 World View: Will China screw up Hong Kong?


I've written in the past that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
cynically makes use of Hong Kong for foreign investment and diplomacy
with people who don't want to deal with the thugs in the CCP,
but can instead deal with China through happy, carefree Hong Kong.

Anti-Beijing protests were renewed on Wednesday, though much smaller
than the million-man protests on Sunday. They are protesting a
proposed new extradition law that will make it legal for Chinese
security forces to abduct anyone in Hong Kong and bring him back to
Beijing for trial.

Wednesday's protests provoked a great deal of violence by Hong Kong
police, who used rubber bullets, water cannons and tear gas to force
the peaceful protesters to disperse.

I heard a pro-Beijing analyst on the BBC this morning say that the
extradition law is perfectly OK. He said:

Quote: "Why should Beijing screw up Hong Kong? You tell me.
Because if Hong Kong is just like Shanghai, it will be utterly
useless to Beijing."

To me, this is a very weird insight into the mindset of
the pro-Beijing view. No concern about human rights, freedom
of speech, or freedom of assembly in Hong Kong. The only concern
is whether Hong Kong is useful or useless to Beijing.

The CCP sees any large public pro-democracy protest as an existential
threat to the CCP, in the same way that pro-democracy protests in
Moscow brought about the collapse of Soviet communism.
The CCP would like to send in the army and turn Hong Kong into
a lake of blood, as it did in the 1989 Tiananmen Square massacre.
However, it can't do that -- not because it's bad for human rights,
but because Hong Kong would then be "useless" to Beijing.

Hong Kong's "usefulness" to Beijing depends on
on the "one country two systems" agreement
under which Britain turned it's Hong Kong colony over to
China in 1997. An important part of that
agreement is that Hong Kong and China have separate legal
systems, with separate laws and separate processes. The
proposed extradition agreement begins to merge the two legal
systems.

International investors like to deal with Hong Kong rather than with
the thugs in Beijing because Hong Kong is very friendly to business
and finance, and that's how the CCP "uses" Hong Kong. If the
perception grows that Hong Kong is no longer friendly to business and
finance, and that anyone visiting Hong Kong can be abducted to
Beijing, then it will be just like Shanghai, and will be "useless" to
Beijing. What a country.

---- Sources:


-- Hong Kong Police Fire Tear Gas
https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/Ag...e-tear-gas
(AP, 12-Jun-2019)

-- Hong Kong extradition bill: thousands of protesters block city
streets and prepare for worst as riot police gather nearby
https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/poli...ters-start
(South China Morning Post, Hong Kong, 12-Jun-2019)


-- Hong Kong Markets Roiled by Interbank Rate Squeeze Amid Protests
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/...lock-roads
(Bloomberg, 11-Jun-2019)

[John J. Xenakis]

** 12-Jun-2019 World View: Xi Jinping's problems with Hong Kong

According to China analyst Gordon Chang on Fox Business Network this
morning:

• Hong Kong is Xi Jinping's portfolio, so hardliners in Beijing are
  blaming him for the problems in Hong Kong
  
  
  
• Xi is also being blamed for the failure so far of the US-China
  trade negotiations
  
  
  
• So Xi has two crises on his hands, just before the G20 talks.
  This weakens Xi at a time when there are hardliners in Beijing just
  waiting for Xi to fail so that they can take over.
  
  
  
• Xi has never failed to take the most violent hardline approach.
  However, creating a bloodbath in Hong Kong would make Hong Kong
  "useless," for the reasons I gave in the previous posting.
  
  
  
• Many businesses have headquarters and regional offices in Hong
  Kong. If the CCP becomes violent in Hong Kong, or starts abducting
  tourists and executives off the streets and sending them back to
  Beijing, then these businesses will move their headquarters back to
  New York, and regional offices to Singapore, Tokyo, or Taipei.
  
  
  
• There is a garrison of Chinese army soldiers in Hong Kong.
  They've been there since 1997, but they're remained in their barracks.
  Xi Jinping could bring them out to violently bring Hong Kong under
  Beijing's control.

Hong Kong's legislature was forced to delay its discussion of the
extradiction law, which was very publicly scheduled for Wednesday at
noon. But the protesters blocked access to the legislature building,
and the delay is being chalked up as a major victory for the
pro-democracy protesters. This will both embolden the protesters and
infuriate the CCP, which means that the next confrontation could be a
lot bloodier.

[John J. Xenakis]

** 12-Jun-2019 World View: Hong Kong protests an existential threat to CCP

utahbob Wrote:> Not much will happen openly. I wonder how much infrastructure the
> Ministry of State Security (MSS) has in place to surveil the
> populace. Can they collect SIM or phone numbers from the cell
> phone system to start pattern analysis and identify key
> individuals to suppress future operations/opponents? It is not the
> PLA people should worry about, it is the People's Armed Police
> Force (PAP) and the MSS. There is supposedly no PAP in HK, but I
> wonder if they have advance party there conducting reconnaissance
> and preparations drills. It would take too long to move the PAP
> into HK with sufficient forces to do anything. The HK government
> will do what Beijing orders them to do or start disappearing
> people without consulting with anybody. Kind of going Argentina?
> The CPC will not do much since HK is separate and any protest
> there is not an existential threat to its legitimacy unlike
> Tiananmen Square.

When you're considering the question of what the CCP considers to be
an existential threat, then you can't apply reasoning that's anywhere
remotely rational. For example, the CCP considers the cartoon
character Winnie the Pooh to be an existential threat -- not because a
cartoon character is going to do anything, but because the cartoon
character can be used as a symbol around which there may be a massive
rebellion.

For example, the massive multi-year Taiping Rebellion was led by a guy
who believed that he was the son of the Christian God, a younger
brother to Jesus.

The Hong Kong demonstrations, per se, are no threat to the CCP.

But China's history is filled with small demonstrations that spread
and grew into huge rebellions. The CCP considers even a small "mass
event" anywhere in China as an existential threat.

The protests that led to the June 4, 1989 Tiananmen Square massacre
didn't just begin a day earlier. The protests began early in May in
commemoration of the huge protests on May 4, 1919, that launched the
"May 4th Movement." That movement also had to be crushed. By June 4,
1989, the CCP were convinced that the pro-democracy demonstrations
were going to spread and threaten them.

A small demonstration in Hong Kong could easily spread to cities in
the south. Mao's Long March began in the south. The Taiping
Rebellion began in the south. A new rebellion could start in the
south and, if not crushed immediately, could spread north to Beijing
and bring down the CCP.


----- Related:

World View: War Between China and Japan: Why America Must Be Prepared
(Generational Theory Book Series, Book 2)
by John James Xenakis
Paperback: 331 pages, over 200 source references, $13.99
https://www.amazon.com/dp/1732738637/

[John J. Xenakis]

** 13-Jun-2019 World View: Explosions on two oil tankers in Gulf of Oman

• Two oil supertankers were attacked near the Strait of Hormuz
  on Thursday morning.

There were explosions on two oil supertankers in the Gulf of Oman on
Thursday morning, near the Strait of Hormuz. Nobody has claimed
credit. Oil prices rose after news of the explosions, but only
slightly. The small size of the oil price increase is being
attributed to the fact that the United States now produces enough for
its internal needs, and has become energy independent.

The explosions come a few weeks after four other oil tankers were
sabotaged off the port city of Fujairah in the United Arab Emirates.
Subsequent investigations revealed that those four oil tankers were
sabotaged by frogmen who attached remote-controlled limpet mines to
the ships' hulls. The successive explosions in the Gulf of Oman also
point to the use of some form of remotely-controlled explosive device.

• Site of the two explosions on Thursday (marinetraffic.com)

Iran is suspected as the perpetrator or backer of all of these
attacks, though Iran denies it.

Tensions are rising in the Mideast in Yemen, after the Houthis
launched a missile, believed to have been supplied by Iran, that
attacked a Saudi Arabia civilian airport, injuring dozens of
travelers. The Saudis are expected to retaliate.


---- Sources:

-- Gulf of Oman / The Latest: Targeted tankers carried Saudi, Qatar,
UAE cargo
https://abcnews.go.com/International/wir...a-63680064
(AP, 13-Jun-2019)

-- Explosions on two supertankers carrying Gulf oil. Crews evacuated
https://www.debka.com/explosions-reporte...-gulf-oil/
(Debka, 13-Jun-2019)

-- Incident in Gulf of Oman, ‘explosions’ affect two oil tankers -
report
https://www.jpost.com/Middle-East/Incide...ort-592351
(Jerusalem Post, 13-Jun-2019)

-- Explosions reported on two tankers in Gulf of Oman
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/06/u...02630.html
(Al-Jazeera, 13-Jun-2019)

-- Yemen war: Houthi missile attack on Saudi airport 'injures 26'
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-48608213
(BBC, 12-Jun-2019)

---- Related:


Author of: "World View: Iran's Struggle for Supremacy -- Tehran's
Obsession to Redraw the Map of the Middle East"
(Generational Theory Book Series, Book 1)
Paperback: 153 pages, over 100 source references, $7.00
https://www.amazon.com/World-View-Suprem...732738610/

[John J. Xenakis]

** 13-Jun-2019 Ebola spreads from DR Congo to Uganda

Ebola continues to spread in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo
(DRC), in North Kivu and Ituri provinces. There have been over 2,000
cases of Ebola, with over 1,400 deaths since the outbreak began in
August, 2018. There is a huge ethnic war going on in those two
provinces, and the war is preventing health workers from containing
the disease.

The World Health Organization (WHO) has been reluctant to declare the
oubreak as "A Public Health Emergency of International Concern," since
up until this week the diseased has not crossed national borders into
Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi or South Sudan. However, with two cases
confirmed in Uganda in the last three days, WHO is holding an
emergency meeting to make a new assessment.

Apparently a Uganda family recently crossed over into DRC to attend
the funeral of a relative who had died of Ebola. When they returned
to Uganda, family members started showing fevers and other symptoms of
Uganda. The family's five-year-old boy died on Tuesday, and his
50-year-old grandmother died on Thursday morning. Other members of
the same family are exhibiting symptoms.

Health officials have reacted by sending the entire family back to
DRC. That means that there are no longer any confirmed Ebola cases in
Uganda. However, contact tracing is continuing in Uganda to track
down people who had come in contact with the family, and hundreds of
health workers in western Uganda are being vaccinated. In addition,
Uganda has banned all public gatherings in the Kasese district, in
western Uganda.

Health officials in DRC are now using clear plastic body bags at
funerals, rather than black body bags. This permits family members to
see their dead relatives at funerals, without having to touch them and
risk contracting Ebola.


---- Sources:

-- Ebola spreads in Uganda—2 deaths, 27 in contact—as WHO calls
emergency meeting
https://arstechnica.com/science/2019/06/...y-meeting/
(ArsTechnica, 13-Jun-2019)

-- Ebola / DRC / Uganda bans public gatherings in Kasese district amid
Ebola fears
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/06/u...14340.html
(AlJaz, 13-Jun-2019)

-- DRC / Ebola outbreak: Grandmother dies in Uganda
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-48622635
(BBC, 13-Jun-2019)

[John J. Xenakis]

** 13-Jun-2019 War Between China and Japan - Kindle version

The Kindle version of my new book is now available:

World View: War Between China and Japan: Why America Must Be Prepared
(Generational Theory Book Series, Book 2)
by John James Xenakis
Paperback: 331 pages, over 200 source references, $13.99
https://www.amazon.com/dp/1732738637/

Kindle: $9.99
https://www.amazon.com/dp/B07T1FDC8W

[John J. Xenakis]

** 15-Jun-2019 World View: Hong Kong government backs down on extradition law

After a week of Hong Kong's largest pro-democracy protests
since the 1997 handover of Britain's colony to China, and
perhaps the largest since the 1989 Tiananmen Square massacre,
Hong Kong's government temporarily backed down on the passage
of the disputed extradition law.

The law would permit Hong Kong's government to extradite anyone in
Hong Kong -- citizens, businessmen and tourists alike -- to China, to
be tried by Chinese Communist Party (CCP) thugs in Beijing courts.
When Britain handed Hong Kong over to China in 1997, there was a "one
country, two systems" agreement that would allow HK to retain its own
social legal and political systems. There was a strong firewall in
the agreement between the two legal systems that the extradition law
would breach.

China already feels free to abduct people in Hong Kong, and has done
so. But these abductions have generated bad publicity for the CCP.
Under the extradition law, the CCP can simply order Hong Kong to
arrest anyone, even someone passing through the airport, and ship him
off to the CCP thungs in Beijing.

With activisits planning massive new pro-democracy demonstrations on
Sunday, Hong Kong leader Carrie Lam, who was selected by Beijing,
announced on Saturday:

Quote: "After repeated internal deliberations over the last
two days, I now announce that the government has decided to
suspend the legislative amendment exercise, restart our
communication with all sectors of society, do more explanation
work and listen to different views of society."

Activists are demanding that the extradition law be scrapped
completely, so this temporary suspension will not satisfy
activists.

As positions have hardened, this issue has taken on a symbolism
that goes far beyond Hong Kong.

Hardliners in Beijing will be strengthened, and are blaming
the situation of Xi Jinping, who has personal responsibility
for Hong Kong. Xi's position as "dictator for life" is
not 100% secure, and a palace coup would undoubtedly bring
to power someone younger and even more bellicose and belligerent.

Hardliners in Taiwan will also be strengthened. China has been using
a carrot and stick approach with Taiwan. On the one hand, Chinese
officials say that any move toward independence would result in
military reprisals. On the other hand, China has been on a continual
charm offensive to convince the Taiwanese people how much better off
they'd be as a province of China. Part of that charm offensive has
been to claim that Taiwan could have the same "one country, two
systems" perks that Hong Kong has. The protests in Hong Kong have
emboldened the pro-independence factions.

In my new book, War between China and Japan, I emphasized that my
criticisms of China are with the CCP, not with the Chinese people.

The following table appears later in my book. The table shows the
average IQ (intelligence) and income for several countries, ranked by
IQ, based on 9 international studies conducted between 1990-2010:

Code:

Rank    Country                IQ   Income per capita
    1     Singapore              108  $25,407
    2     Hong Kong              108  $25,419
    3     Taiwan                 106  $25,000
    4     South Korea            106  $13,710
    5     Japan                  105  $36,785
    6     China                  104  $ 1,375
    27    United States           98  $36,609

You can see from this table that the Chinese people are extremely
intelligent, but that the income of the Chinese people in Taiwan
and Hong Kong is ten times as great as that of the Chinese
people in China, and the quality of life is much better. The
same is true of Hong Kong, which was a British colony until 1997.

This is an important point. Some people who reviewed early versions
of this book criticized it because it seemed to be racist to say that
the Chinese people were totally incompetent. But this is not about
race. The Chinese are great people, and very intelligent. The really
stupid people in China are those in the CCP, who only care about
keeping their power and their money and their mistresses, and don't
care about the devastation they're causing to the great Chinese
people.

Every year, the Chinese people in Taiwan (and Hong Kong) are
substantially more successful than the Chinese people in China. This
is a major embarrassment and humiliation to the CCP. No wonder the
CCP would like to destroy Taiwan's government, so that the Chinese
people in Taiwan will be as poor and miserable as the Chinese people
in China.

The same is also true of Japan. Japan has repeatedly and consistently
bested China in all areas -- economically, diplomatically, militarily,
and in governance. The bottom line appears to be the fact that the
reason that China suffered a "Century of Humiliation" is because they
were inferior to Japan, time after time.

This is not because the Chinese people are inferior. In fact, the
same Chinese people in Taiwan and colonial Hong Kong have also beaten
the Chinese people in China, by a factor of ten. It's the Chinese
government that's inferior to the governments of Japan, Taiwan and
South Korea. The great and brilliant Chinese people are being led by
corrupt idiots in the CCP.

The Chinese are running out of time in Hong Kong and Taiwan, and they
know it. The survivors of Mao's Communist Revolution are almost all
gone now, and the younger generations are increasingly anti-communist
and pro-democracy and pro-independence. At the same time, China's own
economy is hugely unstable and under pressure from the US tariffs.
China's entire business model, which involves stealing intellectual
property from the West, is also under attack.

China cannot tolerate this situation much longer. For 30 years, China
has been conducting a vitriolic hate campaign against Japan, and has
been planning for war to annex Taiwan and exterminate the Japanese.
The Chinese do not want war with the US (because they like us), but
they've been preparing for full-scale war with the US because they
know that the US will defend Japan and Taiwan.

----- Sources:

-- Bowing to pressure, Hong Kong leader suspends extradition bill
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-hongk...SKCN1TG01Z
(Reuters, 15-Jun-2019)

-- Hong Kong unrest alarms Taiwan with wary eye on China
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asi...l-11629986
(ChannelNewsAsia/AFP, 15-Jun-2019)

-- Hong Kong tycoons start moving assets offshore as fears rise over
new extradition law
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asi...n-11628446
(ChannelNewsAsia/Reuters, 14-Jun-2019)

-- China's Hard Line in Hong Kong Boosts Beijing Critics in Taiwan
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/...-in-taiwan
(Bloomberg, 13-Jun-2019)

---- Related:

World View: War Between China and Japan: Why America Must Be Prepared
(Generational Theory Book Series, Book 2)
by John James Xenakis
Paperback: 331 pages, over 200 source references, $13.99
https://www.amazon.com/dp/1732738637/

[John J. Xenakis]

** 16-Jun-2019 Trade negotiations Japan 1980s vs China today

A magazine editor is writing an article comparing today's trade
war with China vs the trade war between Reagan and Japan
in the 1980s. The following are her questions and my responses:

Quote: 1) Is this trade war between China and the US in any
way similar to the one led by Reagan between Japan and the US,
where Tokyo had been accused of intellectual property theft among
other things? If so, can the US and China learn anything from
it?"

The 1980s trade war with Japan is almost completely irrelevant, since
it was much smaller, involving only a few specific products, and
because Japan is an honest negotiator, unlike China. The 1980s trade
war was actually about trade, while the current trade war is about
geopolitics and national security.

China is contemptuous of international law, claiming that it suffered
from "a century of humiliation" because of "unfair treaties." In
researching my book, this led me to a question that I've never seen
discussed: Since the West tried to impose the same "unfair treaties"
on Japan, why didn't Japan also suffer a "century of humiliation"?


What I discovered is that Japan has repeatedly and consistently
bested China in all areas -- economically, diplomatically, militarily,
and in governance. The bottom line appears to be the fact that
the reason that China suffered a "Century of Humiliation" is because
they were inferior to Japan, time after time.

This is not because the Chinese people are inferior. In fact, the
same Chinese people in Taiwan and colonial Hong Kong have also beaten
the Chinese people in China, by a factor of ten. It's the Chinese
government that's inferior to the governments of Japan, Taiwan and
South Korea. The great and brilliant Chinese people are being led by
corrupt idiots in the CCP.

So when you compare trade negotiations with Japan and China, you
have to understand that Japan is committed to observing international
law and its own commitments, whereas China has no intention of
observing international law and its own commitments, and has repeatedly
said that international law is irrelevant compared to Chinese law.
We see this in the South China Sea, where the Chinese have become
international criminals with respect to international law (which they
say doesn't apply to them), and in Xinjiang province, where they're
conducting genocide and ethnic cleansing of Uighurs.

When the Chinese recently reneged on their agreements with the US
trade negotiators, what they suddenly threw out was all the written
agreements related to stealing intellectual property.

In fact, it's much worse than that. The Chinese really said "f--k
you" to the American negotiators when they passed the Foreign
Investment Law in March. It allows any Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
official to visit any foreign-owned business and demand copies of all
confidential company business records and company data, as well as its
source code and all other intellectual property. Compliance is
required.

This is the law of the land now in China, and it's the way that the
Chinese do business, unlike the Japanese. So US-Japan trade
deals are completely irrelevant to US-China trade negotiations.

Quote: "2) Do you think this trade war could escalate in a
real war? What could trigger it? China has recently said it won't
shoot first but Beijing will be ready to fight if the US launches
an attack."

If you want to compare the current trade negotiations to historical
trade issues with Japan, the correct analogy is not the 1980s.
The correct analogy is 1941.

Japan invaded China in 1937, and on August 1, 1941, US president
Franklin Roosevelt showed his displeasure by establishing an embargo
on oil and gasoline exports to Japan. Three months later, Japan
attacked Pearl Harbor.

The CCP government is highly dysfunctional and delusionsal, and is
losing control of many of its 1.4 billion people. They're already
violently attacking Buddhists, Christians, Muslims and Falun Gong
practitioners, out of a paranoid fear that any of these religious
groups could trigger an anti-government rebellion.

So we're headed to a world war with China with 100% certainty. And it
might be triggered by the trade dispute, but the CCP is so
dysfunctional and delusional that there are many other events and
incidents that could trigger it.

In my opinion, a more likely scenario that could start a world war
could come out of China's aggressive illegal fishing operations.
https://www.businessinsider.com/us-warns...war-2019-1

This past week, a Chinese vessel intentionally rammed and sank a
Philippines fishing vessel. This kind of thing could easily trigger a
war.
https://www.rappler.com/nation/233107-ph...ip-assault

If you get my book, then read section 18.3: "How World War II started
-- someone had to pee." In today's febrile world, any event of any
kind can start a war.

Quote: "3) Trade war, Huawei and tensions in the South China
Sea: why do you think China seems to have become a major source of
problems for Washington from an economic, tech/security and
political point of view?"

I've been writing about Huawei since the whole subject became public
because of statements by Leon Panetta in 2012.

** 14-Oct-12 World View -- Huawei scandal exposes potential
'Cyberwar Pearl Harbor' from China
http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/x...tm#e121014

So let me make this clear. I'm the expert on this subject. I worked
for five years developing board-level systems software for embedded
systems. You can ask some politician what he thinks, or some banker
or investor what he thinks, but unless he's worked in the trenches as
I have, then he doesn't know crap. And if you ask a politician, then
chances are he's being paid off by the CCP anyway with bribes and
kickbacks.

So I'm telling you two things: I have the skills to easily implement
an undetectable backdoor in any device like a Huawei router, and there
are many Chinese engineers who also have the skills. I provided some
of the technical details in my book. So the Chinese military could
easily implement an undetectable backdoor in Huawei's devices. All
the military needs to do is take control of a small group of engineers
within Huawei. China has militarized its entire fleet of thousands of
fishing boats, and if it's doing that, then you can be sure that
they've militarized Huawei's chips, which is far easier to do.

And as if we needed any more proof, the Chinese are no longer even
pretending. In November 2017 they passed their National Intelligence
Law that requires all Chinese companies to cooperate with the
military, even when doing so breaks the law. Like the Foreign
Investment Law that was passed in March, the National Intelligence Law
was a real "f--k you" to the entire West.

So here are two things: It's really easy for the Chinese military
to install undetectable backdoors in Huawei devices, and Chinese law
requires Huawei and any other Chinese company to cooperate with
the Chinese military in stealing foreign intelligence. That law
even commits the military to protecting anyone who violates the
law in stealing foreign intelligence.

China's military is preparing for war in every possible way. By
aggressively subsidizing Huawei's 5G products, the CCP's strategy is
to have as much of the global internet running on Huawei devices as
possible. When China launches its war, China's control of the global
internet will give China's military an enormous advantage.

In a related story, China has heavily subsidized the camera drone
company DJI. DJI has sold many thousands of these camera drones in
many countries, and they're used by many organizations for law
enforcement and to examine infrastructure. This past week, the US
Dept of Homeland Security warned that these DJI cameras were sending
sensitive information back to the Chinese military.
https://cbs4indy.com/2019/05/20/homeland...teal-data/

China's military will analyze the images sent back, using artificial
intelligence algorithms (probably supplied by Google), to create a map
of all the vulnerable targets and people in other countries.

---- Related:

World View: War Between China and Japan: Why America Must Be Prepared
(Generational Theory Book Series, Book 2)
by John James Xenakis
Paperback: 331 pages, over 200 source references, $13.99
https://www.amazon.com/dp/1732738637/

[pbrower2a]

China still has hundreds of millions of peasant farmers that the other countries do not have. See also India, whose political system is not so objectionable.

[John J. Xenakis]

** 16-Jun-2019 Peasant farmers in China

(06-16-2019, 01:13 PM)pbrower2a Wrote: > China still has hundreds of millions of peasant farmers that the
> other countries do not have. See also India, whose political
> system is not so objectionable.

So you're excusing the genocide and ethnic cleansing of Uighurs, and
the violence against Christians, Buddhists, Falun Gong and Muslims
because of the peasant farmers?

It's always amazing to watch people on the loony left find ways to
excuse the inevitable bloodbaths and economic disaster of Socialist
economies, or to watch them praise the likes of Bernie Sanders and
AOC, who are the possibly the two stupidest idiots in public today, or
to watch them make idiotic attacks on Trump and the 60 million Trump
supporters, who have actually improved the lives of Americans, such as
when the black unemployment rate hit historic lows.

At any rate, after WW II there were peasant farmers in Japan, Taiwan,
colonial Hong Kong and Korea. And yet, all of those countries except
China have gone beyond that poverty and have repeatedly humiliated the
CCP in one decade after another by producing per capita incomes
several times higher than China's.

So why does China still have so many peasant farmers, anyway? The
answer is that the loony left idol Mao Zedong engineered the Great
Leap Forward, to prove that Communism was better than capitalism.

500,000,000 peasants were taken out of their individual homes
and put into communes, creating a massive human work force. The
workers were organized along military lines of companies, battalions,
and brigades. Each person's activities were rigidly supervised.
The family unit was dismantled. Communes were completely
segregated, with children, wives and husbands all living in separate
barracks and working in separate battalions. Communal living was
emphasized by eating, sleeping, and working in teams.

This was the stupidest and most disastrous agricultural policy of any
country at any time in history, and it was based on the same loony
left socialist theory that you love. It destroyed China's
agriculture. Tens of millions of Chinese died of starvation or
execution. It completely proved the superiority of Capitalism to
Socialism, Communism and Marxism.

So now, you people on the loony left are using the "peasant farmers"
of today to excuse genocide and ethnic cleansings in China. But why
are there so many peasant farmers in China? It's because the
Great Leap Forward, followed by the Cultural Revolution, completely
destroyed Chinese agriculture, and set them back decades.

Meanwhile, the Capitalist economies of Japan, Taiwan and colonial Hong
Kong repeatedly humiliated the CCP by doing many times better, in one
decade after another. You would have to be a complete moron to
support Socialism, Marxism or Communism after the disasters in China
of the last 70 years.

So that's how you people on the loony left operate. Instead of
supporting capitalism and people who actually accomplish things and
improve people's lives, the loony left supports the idiots who want to
create bloodbaths and economic disasters. That's why we're headed for
a world war.

As for India, to my knowledge they aren't committing genocide and
ethnic cleansing the way China is, and they don't have a policy of
violently attacking Christians, Muslims, Buddhists and Falun Gong.

[pbrower2a]

I am excusing a lower GNP per capita (see what I said of India, which has never had a bloodthirsty government since independence), and not the well-documented oppression of ethnic minorities and religious dissidents. Add to this, none of the other countries went through anything after 1955 at all analogous to the Great Leap Forward. The Great Leap Forward retarded the development of China as an industrial power, and the Cultural Revolution destroyed centuries of intellectual precedent in China that China had to recreate the hard way.

I have no illusion of China as some 'socialist' paradise. Out of necessity China has abandoned Marxist socialism without abandoning the dictatorial system that the CCP established. The CCP still calls itself Communist and the system keeps iconic images of Marx, Engels, Lenin, and Mao. Chinese currency still has images of Mao Zedong, whose economic madness is largely abandoned.

...If you assume that because I despise Donald Trump that I am a Marxist -- you are wrong. I oppose him less for his economic changes than for his unusual level of despotic and dictatorial tendencies, and for his pervasive corruption and contempt for the 'loyal opposition'. The current President is setting a bad example for later Presidents who might imitate such despotic and dictatorial tendencies in the service of some 'socialist' agenda.

Marxist prescriptions for hastening economic development by dispossessing and expelling capitalists have proved obsolete. A healthy society needs capitalists to have some economic rationality so that people are not raising pork to feed pigs, so to speak, and bankers to discourage 'LSD deals'.

[John J. Xenakis]

India's population has an average iq of 81, which is the explanation
of India's low per capita income. China's population has a very high
iq, and a very low per capita income, and that can only be ascribed to
Communism, Socialism and Marxism, which are total disasters wherever
they're tried, when some dictator pushes them onto a miserable
population.

[pbrower2a]

(06-16-2019, 10:43 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: India's population has an average iq of 81, which is the explanation
of India's low per capita income.  China's population has a very high
iq, and a very low per capita income, and that can only be ascribed to
Communism, Socialism and Marxism, which are total disasters wherever
they're tried, when some dictator pushes them onto a miserable
population.

Without question, Marxism-Leninism as an economic policy is an economic disaster. Marxism-Leninism as a political order is a human calamity. Either way Marxism-Leninism will retard economic growth (a market at the least punishes wastes of resources) and novel creativity. What Marxism-Leninism is good at creating other than human suffering is weaponry -- hardly a surprise in militarized countries.  Thus the beloved AK-47 and MiG fighters of the Soviet Union, East German missiles, and the infamous plastic explosive Symtex of Commie-era Czechoslovakia. Pour resources into such things with few restraints and there will be spectacular results.