10-21-2016, 07:44 PM
(This post was last modified: 10-21-2016, 07:44 PM by Eric the Green.)
(10-19-2016, 07:36 PM)pbrower2a Wrote: Another angle -- probability of winning (before Debate #3)
Chance of winning (saturation)
pct sat
99%+ 9
95-98.9 7
90-95 5
75-90 4
65-75 3
50-65 2
Utah (my guess) 55% McMullen
blue -- Trump,
red -- Clinton
green -- independent
I have predicted 347-191. That would mean Iowa comes around to Hillary, and Utah and Arizona stay with Trump. But I am rooting of course for UT to go McMullen and AZ to go HRC! That would be 358 to 185.