Presidential election, 2016

[Mikebert]

(10-26-2016, 01:58 PM)X_4AD_84 Wrote:

(10-26-2016, 12:10 PM)The Wonkette Wrote:

(10-25-2016, 03:41 PM)Mikebert Wrote: Here are the outcomes I foresee (based on 538 data). 

10% Democratic victory (Clinton wins and Dems win both houses of Congress)
13% Total Republican defeat (Trump wins & GOP retains both houses of Congress)
30% Total Democratic defeat (Clinton wins, but Dems fail to get Senate)
47% Tie (Clinton wins presidency and Dems win Senate)

This works out to nearly a 1 in 4 chance of a major win for Democrats (either Trump wins or Clinton gets landslide)
a 1 in 3 chance of the a near-extinction event for the Democrats
and a nearly even chance of a standoff between the parties.

Given the stubborn lack of resolution in this 4T I am betting on the third option.

How would Trump winning the Presidency and the GOP retaining control of the House and Senate be a "major win" for the Democrats?

Because Trump is a revolutionary, not an actual Republican. If Trump wins, he will complete the destruction of the Republican brand, especially if he gets impeached and convicted.

Yeah, this is what I had in mind.