Presidential election, 2016

[Kinser79]

(11-09-2016, 11:31 PM)Warren Dew Wrote:

(11-09-2016, 06:49 PM)taramarie Wrote: Someone posted this. What are your thoughts?

The Supreme Court will be dominated by conservative justices for a generation.

- Yes if Kennedy retires or Trump wins a second term, as is likely.

Same-sex marriage will likely be outlawed on a national level.

- No since it would take a constitutional amendment.

A woman's right to choose will end.

- No, not even if Roe v. Wade is overturned, which is unlikely since the Chief Justice said he'd uphold it.  If it's overturned, states will make their own choices, so abortion will be banned in some states and permitted in others.

Social Security will be cut. Or even eliminated.

- This is going to happen eventually anyway because the money will run out.  Whether it can be cut on purpose to sustainable levels depends on how much pull Ryan has - and if Trump is smart, it won't happen until after the 2020 election.

The rich will get more tax breaks.

- Billionaires already pay no taxes.  That won't change.

Medicare will be cut or repealed.

- It might be cut.  It won't be repealed.

Obamacare will be repealed.

- Outright repeal is still unlikely since it can be filibustered; however, Obamacare is collapsing financially, so it will probably be cut beyond recognition.

We are likely to head into a recession, possibly a depression.

- Doubtful in my opinion.  There may be a recession if enough illegal immigrants are deported, but that will only hurt the billionaiires as median wages will rise as deportations outpace the fall in GDP.

There will be no action on climate change.

- No substantive action at the federal level, yes.  But that was likely true anyway.

Our international relationships will be destroyed.

- No.  People deal with us because we are the most powerful nation in the world, not because they like us.  That won't change.

NATO will be crippled or disbanded.

- Unlikely.  Congress understands the importance of NATO even if Trump doesn't.

Oil drilling, fracking, and pipelines will get tax benefits and govt subsidies.

- No new subsidies will be passed.  Regulations may be relaxed.  The keystone pipeline will be approved.

We are likely to end up in a war with Iran.

- I don't think so, but it depends mostly on how irrational Iran is.

We might see the end of the free press.

- No.  Citizen's United guarantees a free press and it won't be reversed.

And, because this man believes in revenge, there may be mass incarcerations.

- No.  Trump won't pursue mass prosecutions, and federal law enforcement doesn't have the manpower anyway.

If you're not terrified, you haven't been paying attention.

- If you're not relieved, you haven't been paying attention.

I'm quoting this because it is 100% accurate.