Presidential election, 2016

[Warren Dew]

(11-14-2016, 10:13 AM)Anthony Wrote:

(11-13-2016, 11:45 PM)Warren Dew Wrote:

But isn't the "gold standard" of these sort of charts the AmeriTrust chart, which observes the year 1790 as the start of its trend line?

I would post a link to the complete chart if I could find it.  Maybe one of you here would have better luck?

Here is one that starts with 1870 that shows essentially the same trend line as above.  It doesn't show anything after 2009, but the data is roughly a diagonal line at about a 45 degree angle from the 2009 data point, which shows the same gap:



I'm not familiar with the Ameritrust chart, but it's hard to see how its trend line could be substantially different.