(06-02-2016, 10:54 AM)X_4AD_84 Wrote: Interestingly, I was thinking about 1992 just this morning. There is no doubt that the Rightist vote will be divided in November. No doubt at all. All French and other alternatives need to siphon off is a few percent. Most such siphoning will be in so called Purple states, where demographics among likely GOP(ish) and indy voters do not favor Trump.
Yea, David French as well as Gary Johnson and his Libertarian Party won't make much of a dent on a national basis, but it would be really interesting what they could do in certain states. The DC GOP Establishment that live in Northern VA could go with French and put that swing state even farther out of Trump's reach. Texas has a strong Libertarian presents that combined with a huge increase in Hispanic voter registration could make things more interesting there - not likely enough to deny Trump the electoral votes but it might make him have to spend some big money there that they usually don't have to. In all cases, it might not be the actual votes, or even the money, it might just be additional reasons to not be too enthusiastic and harm their GOTV efforts. Fingers crossed for good luck!