Donald Trump: polls of approval and favorability

[Eric the Green]

This NY Times article lays out the current House situation well. As of now though, Paul Ryan's seat seems to be leaning Democratic. The Democrats have two sharp candidates, and so far no-one except a white nationalist to replace Ryan. That could change, but for now, that seat is definitely in play. And more Republicans might follow Ryan to the exits, and incumbents are always more likely to win. Still, this article suggests that a victory for Democrats in 2018 will not be easy. But they may be overestimating the safety of some of these Republican seats, if they put Ryan's as "solid." I don't think it was ever that. Ryan quit partly because his re-election was getting dicey.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018...wQodIckJ9Q