04-13-2019, 01:23 AM
(04-12-2019, 08:34 PM)Classic-Xer Wrote:(03-29-2019, 12:53 PM)pbrower2a Wrote: To Trump or not to Trump, as I put it, with apology to the Bard:I think you should ignore that fact and continue what you've been doing for the last decade. In other words, you should continue lying and promoting/advancing a false sense of hope to liberal voters.
50% or more against Trump, margin 9% or higher
50% or more against Trump, margin 5% to 8%
50% or more against Trump, margin 4% or less
The usual margin of error is 4%, and twice that is not close.
I have yet to see any state poll asking such a question as "Do you want to re-elect Donald Trump or do you want someone else?" or "Do you plan to vote for Trump or for the Democratic nominee?" in which this question comes back positively -- yet. This is different from approval, probably suggesting that one likes the results even if one despises the President. Opposing Trump may not mean that one has fallen in love with liberalism; it may mean that one would rather have some different expression of conservatism as President.
Yeah, sure. This map shows people saying that they would rather vote for someone else than for Trump. The question might not be asked quite the same, and it shows only 145 electoral votes. If Trump loses only the states that I show with pink or with red shades, then he wins re-election by a margin of 393-195.
Well, that map is already obsolete, as I found a similar question asked of California, Maine, Massachusetts, and Virginia.
To Trump or not to Trump, as I put it:
50% or more against Trump, margin 9% or higher
50% or more against Trump, margin 5% to 8%
50% or more against Trump, margin 4% or less
So if he wins everything in gray, he still wins 309-227. Yeah, sure --- he is going to win several of Minnesota, New Hampshire, Colorado, Oregon, Washington, New York, Illinois, New Jersey, New Mexico, Connecticut, Vermont, Rhode Island, Delaware, Hawaii, and the District of Columbia. If you really believe that, then I could post a video that shows how absurd you are -- except that I do not mock people with mental illness. I do not make handicap, LGBT, or ethnic jokes, either.
I have seen the polling -- and Trump is more likely to lose such states as Georgia, Iowa, and Ohio than win any of the states that I mentioned above.
To win re-election from being at this level, Donald Trump must undo much of the ill will that he has created among voters on the margin, voters who voted for Obama but rejected Hillary Clinton.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.