Election 2020

[Eric the Green]

Polling averages Oct.29, 2 PM
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pol.../national/
The Supreme Court decided to cut off votes from mail-in ballots received after election day, so I figure this vote suppression makes it necessary to have about 5% or better margin to be a leaning state for Biden. So I am putting PA as tossup. Democrats in Philadelphia have been estimated as voting by mail by a margin of 17-1. This could disenfranchise the state when the decision comes down. North Carolina as well as PA could also be disenfranchised by this method, according to reports about pending lawsuits. This has already happened to Wisconsin, but the margin for Biden is about 8 to 9% there. I wonder how many more states the Trump Court could do this to, even after election day. If they are going to do this, then I assume the Democrats will need to add 4 justices to the Court right away if we are going to get our democracy back-- IF they still get control. This method could cut this off too.
https://www.newsmax.com/politics/supreme.../id/994083
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Update: Barrett did not participate as the Court refused to overturn the lower court decision to allow counting of absentee ballots in PA AND NC postmarked by Nov.3 but which arrive after election day. So I put PA back to lean Biden. Barrett says she did not have time yet to read about the case. If Biden can hold on and win in these two states, he wins. But the Supreme Court could decide to take up these cases after the election, so nothing is settled.

75 million already voted.

National Biden +9.0

Alaska Trump +7.4
Arizona Biden +2.8
Florida Biden +2.2
Georgia Biden +1.6
Indiana Trump +8.8
Iowa Biden +1.5
Kansas Trump +9.4
Maine CD-2 Biden +2.7
Michigan Biden +8.1
Minnesota Biden +8.0
Missouri Trump +6.7
Montana Trump +5.6
Nevada Biden +6.2
New Hampshire Biden +10.6
North Carolina Biden +2.2
Ohio Trump +2.3
Pennsylvania Biden +5.2
South Carolina Trump +7.8
Texas Trump +1.4
Wisconsin Biden +8.4