Presidential election, 2016

[playwrite]

(05-08-2016, 08:33 PM)pbrower2a Wrote: Here is how the States and DC aligned in 2012.

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538.com has an insightful piece about "tipping states" being more important than "swing states" and identifying Pennsylvania as being perhaps the key tipping state this election.  While appearing to still be solid Blue, PA has actually been trending toward more GOP with the eastern half formerly steel and coal mining unions being replaced by more dog-eat-dog energy fracking; if anything, their coal heritage has them pissed off at Hillary and welcoming Trump's mirage that he actually gives a crap about them.  The PA cities on the other hand, of particular note, Pittsburg are becoming much more diverse and sophisticated and thereby even more Blue - it's' a horse race to see if the 'Kentucky-like' rural areas can offset that.

By the way, VA is solidly Blue; that will be apparent in this election.  Florida will follow in 2020 with Texas, Georgia being the replacement as the battleground states joining Ohio which will remain as the only one of the three major battleground states (OH, FL, VA) from the last two elections