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Presidential Election Predictive Cycle
#1
Here's the link: https://medium.com/@mishaley/how-history...04e6ac19bd

I had been thinking through something similar (it may be in a post around here) but this one lays it out pretty well. 

I was also able to find a podcast online with the author: https://midatlanticshow.com/2019/10/09/e...leybovich/

One note I would make, is that I do not believe Joe Biden fits this cycle at all.  I think he is something different than what we've seen in being a transitional figure but we will see.
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#2
Whoops just realized i already posted this in a different forum. My bad Smile .
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