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Election 2020
The current polling map for July 22 according to fivethirtyeight.com, using 270towin map to share here and for states with no polling. +-3= tossup, 3-9 leaning, 9-15 likely, 15+ solid. (one poll put Arkansas as +2 Trump, but that's only one poll this year, so I am keeping it lean Republican)

[Image: QlkV4]
"I close my eyes, and I can see a better day" -- Justin Bieber

Keep the spirit alive;
Eric M
Reply
Swing state polls on http://fivethirtyeight.com today July 24:

Alaska Trump +1
Arizona Biden +2.9
Arkansas Trump +2
Florida Biden +7.6
Georgia Trump +1.3
Iowa Trump +0.3
Michigan Biden +7.4
Minnesota Biden +11.0
Missouri Trump +5.4
Montana Trump +8.9
Nevada Biden +6.7
New Hampshire Biden +7.5
North Carolina Biden +2.2
Ohio Biden +2.1
Pennsylvania Biden +6.8
South Carolina Trump +6.6
Texas dead even
Utah Trump +8.6
Virginia Biden +10.3
Wisconsin Biden +7.1
"I close my eyes, and I can see a better day" -- Justin Bieber

Keep the spirit alive;
Eric M
Reply
The current polling map for July 27 according to fivethirtyeight.com, using 270towin map to share here and for states with no polling. +-3= tossup, +3-9 leaning, +9-15 likely, +15+ solid. Blue states are Democratic, red states Republican. (one poll put Arkansas as +2 Trump, but that's only one poll this year, so I am keeping it lean Republican)

[Image: DWRyn]

As of now, Georgia and Iowa are tilting Republican, Ohio and North Carolina are tilting Democratic, and Texas is tied. I'm not sure about Maine District 2.

Swing state polls on http://fivethirtyeight.com today July 27:

Alaska Trump +1
Arizona Biden +3.2
Arkansas Trump +2
Florida Biden +7.1
Georgia Trump +1.3
Iowa Trump +0.3
Michigan Biden +7.6
Minnesota Biden +9.2
Missouri Trump +5.3
Montana Trump +8.9
Nevada Biden +6.8
New Hampshire Biden +7.6
North Carolina Biden +2.9
Ohio Biden +1.4
Pennsylvania Biden +6.7
South Carolina Trump +7.6
Texas dead even
Utah Trump +8.5
Virginia Biden +10.4
Wisconsin Biden +7.1
"I close my eyes, and I can see a better day" -- Justin Bieber

Keep the spirit alive;
Eric M
Reply
Pipe dream time. But what if Trump loses by a landslide and takes the senate down with him and puts it back to where it was when Obamacare finally passed in the Fall of 2009? This is how it could happen.

[Image: M4LvBM]
"I close my eyes, and I can see a better day" -- Justin Bieber

Keep the spirit alive;
Eric M
Reply
The AP has Trump floats election ‘delay’ amid claims of voting fraud.  CNN has it as well.

We have been sort of waiting for an attempt by Trump to extend his power.  This one is kind of flimsy.  The election laws have specific dates for the election and inauguration.  He has no evidence of the fraud.  Injunctions by the Democrats to the courts should turn any real attempts aside.

But he is feeding his base with conspiracy theory and widening that gap between realities.
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British pollster, so it is, I presume, disinterested.

https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/...o-24-july/

Redfield & Wilton swing state polls

Wisconsin, July 19-24, 742 LV

Biden 45
Trump 35


Michigan, July 19-24, 811 LV

Biden 49
Trump 37


Arizona, July 19-23, 858 LV

Biden 46
Trump 38


Pennsylvania, July 19-21, 1016 LV

Biden 48
Trump 41


Florida, July 19-21, 1121 LV

Biden 48
Trump 41


North Carolina, July 19-21, 919 LV

Biden 43
Trump 42

Biden isn't at 50 in any of these polls, but Trump has not crossed 42 yet in any of them.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist  but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.


Reply
fivethirtyeight polls
July 31, 2020

National Biden +8.3
Arizona Biden +3.9
Colorado Biden +13.2
Florida Biden +6.0
Georgia Trump +1.2
Iowa Trump +1.0
Maine Biden +11
Maine 1 Biden +20
Maine 2 Biden +3
Michigan Biden +8.0
Minnesota Biden +7.7
Mississippi Trump +12
Missouri Trump +5.4
Montana Trump +8.4
Nebraska 2 Biden +9
Nevada Biden +6.6
New Hampshire Biden +9.3
North Carolina Biden +2.0
Ohio Trump +0.5
Pennsylvania Biden +6.6
South Carolina Trump +8.0
Tennessee Trump +11.5
Texas Biden +0.6
Utah Trump +8.7
Virginia Biden +10.7
Wisconsin Biden +7.1
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pol.../national/
"I close my eyes, and I can see a better day" -- Justin Bieber

Keep the spirit alive;
Eric M
Reply
The current polling map for August 1 according to fivethirtyeight.com, using 270towin map to share here and for states with no polling. +-3= tossup, +3-9 leaning, +9-15 likely, +15+ solid. Blue states are Democratic, red states Republican. (one poll put Arkansas as +2 Trump, but that's only one poll this year, so I am keeping it lean Republican)

[Image: VoRR6]
"I close my eyes, and I can see a better day" -- Justin Bieber

Keep the spirit alive;
Eric M
Reply


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